Werder Bremen vs
SC Paderborn 07• Bundesliga, Germany
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 18:18 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 4.26 | 4.21 | 1.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 4.22 | 3.97 | 3.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 4.20 | 4.10 | 3.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 4.15 | 4.10 | 4.4% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 8.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.84 | 4.26 | 4.21 | 1.6% |
| Average | 1.79 | 4.09 | 4.03 | 5.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:51 UTC
Werder Bremen
4W 3D 3L · goals 19:22 · per match 1.9 for, 2.2 against
| 9 Oct | A | Borussia Dortmund | 2-2 | D |
| 2 Oct | A | Twente | 0-7 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | FC Augsburg | 3-2 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | 1. FC Köln | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | RB Leipzig | 3-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | SC Freiburg | 1-4 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Lüneburger SK Hansa | 3-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Auxerre | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | SC Paderborn 07 | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | Energie Cottbus | 4-2 | W |
SC Paderborn 07
5W 2D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against
| 10 Oct | H | VfB Stuttgart | 0-2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | DC United | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Borussia Dortmund | 0-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | SC Freiburg | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-0 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | Phönix Lübeck | 4-2 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Werder Bremen | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | VfL Osnabrück | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Jul | H | Fagiano Okayama | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
9 meetings · goals 21:15 · last 9: 4W 3D 2L for Werder Bremen
| 8 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | Werder Bremen2-2SC Paderborn 07 |
| 30 Oct 2024DFB Pokal | DFB Pokal | SC Paderborn 070-1Werder Bremen |
| 19 Oct 2022DFB Pokal | DFB Pokal | SC Paderborn 072-2Werder Bremen |
| 22 Jan 20222. Bundesliga | 2. Bundesliga | SC Paderborn 073-4Werder Bremen |
| 15 Aug 20212. Bundesliga | 2. Bundesliga | Werder Bremen1-4SC Paderborn 07 |
| 13 Jun 2020Bundesliga | Bundesliga | SC Paderborn 071-5Werder Bremen |
| 8 Dec 2019Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Werder Bremen0-1SC Paderborn 07 |
| 26 Apr 2015Bundesliga | Bundesliga | SC Paderborn 072-2Werder Bremen |
| 29 Nov 2014Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Werder Bremen4-0SC Paderborn 07 |
Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 22:40 UTC
In the Bundesliga table, Werder Bremen sit 7th with 8 points from 5 games, while SC Paderborn 07 are 15th with 4 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 | SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 2.54 | 3.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 5.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 2.38 | 8.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 2.38 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.51 | 2.34 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.56 | 2.54 | 3.5% |
| Average | 1.52 | 2.43 | 7.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.55 | 2.45 | 5.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 2.42 | 7.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.39 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 2.45 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.55 | 2.45 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.51 | 2.42 | 7.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Werder Bremen at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and SC Paderborn 07 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 4.11 | 4.05, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Werder Bremen win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Bundesliga table: Werder Bremen are 7th (8 pts, 10-10 goals), SC Paderborn 07 15th (4 pts, 3-7).
Over their last five matches, Werder Bremen averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; SC Paderborn 07 averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Werder Bremen or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | 4.09 | 4.03 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | 2.00 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.35 | 2.97 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.51 | 2.42 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 2.46 | 4.23 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | 2.80 | 3.86 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.57 | 14.3 | 32.3 |
| HT X | 4.97 | 6.73 | 9.63 |
| HT 2 | 21.0 | 15.3 | 6.63 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | 18.9 | 2.40 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 18.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 4.96 |
| 2.5 | 1.52 | 2.43 |
| 3.5 | 2.33 | 1.62 |
| 4.5 | 3.97 | 1.22 |
| 5.5 | 7.50 | 1.06 |
| 6.5 | 15.0 | 1.03 |
| 7.5 | 29.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 50.5 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 14.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.14 | 4.41 |
| 2 | 1.21 | 3.95 |
| 2.25 | 1.36 | 2.91 |
| 2.75 | 1.64 | 2.18 |
| 3 | 1.82 | 1.93 |
| 3.25 | 2.09 | 1.74 |
| 3.75 | 2.65 | 1.44 |
| 4 | 3.26 | 1.31 |
| 4.25 | 3.54 | 1.25 |
| 4.75 | 4.73 | 1.13 |
| 5 | 6.40 | 1.06 |
| 5.25 | 6.65 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.98 | 1.39 |
| -1.25 | 2.65 | 1.47 |
| -1 | 2.34 | 1.59 |
| -0.75 | 1.97 | 1.82 |
| -0.5 | 1.76 | 2.04 |
| -0.25 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 11.0 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 10.0 | 1.02 |
| -2.75 | 6.92 | 1.06 |
| -2.5 | 5.48 | 1.11 |
| -2.25 | 5.13 | 1.13 |
| -2 | 4.72 | 1.15 |
| -1.75 | 3.71 | 1.27 |
| 0 | 1.35 | 3.04 |
| +0.25 | 1.28 | 3.42 |
| +0.5 | 1.25 | 3.80 |
| +0.75 | 1.14 | 4.92 |
| +1 | 1.04 | 7.30 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.30 | 3.32 |
| 3 | 1.44 | 2.73 |
| 3.5 | 1.76 | 2.00 |
| 4 | 2.23 | 1.63 |
| 4.5 | 2.35 | 1.56 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.03 | 6.69 |
| 6.5 | 1.12 | 4.51 |
| 7.5 | 1.25 | 3.09 |
| 8.5 | 1.51 | 2.34 |
| 9.5 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| 10.5 | 2.37 | 1.50 |
| 11.5 | 3.08 | 1.26 |
| 12.5 | 4.22 | 1.14 |
| 13.5 | 5.76 | 1.07 |
16 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.05 | 5.40 |
| 7 | 1.14 | 3.85 |
| 7.75 | 1.28 | 3.02 |
| 8 | 1.32 | 2.82 |
| 8.25 | 1.41 | 2.50 |
| 8.75 | 1.57 | 2.19 |
| 9 | 1.65 | 2.12 |
| 9.25 | 1.81 | 1.94 |
| 9.75 | 2.01 | 1.68 |
| 10 | 2.12 | 1.65 |
| 10.25 | 2.28 | 1.48 |
| 10.75 | 2.64 | 1.36 |
| 11 | 2.73 | 1.34 |
| 11.25 | 3.06 | 1.24 |
| 12 | 3.52 | 1.17 |
| 13 | 4.64 | 1.09 |