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Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07• Bundesliga, Germany

#72.0:2.013:30Tomorrow · Weser-Stadion, Bremen0.6:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.841XBX4.32PIN24.211XBMargin at best1.2%Books6Markets87Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 18:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.844.264.211.6%
Pinnacle1.834.223.973.5%
Bet3651.804.204.103.8%
Marathonbet1.794.154.104.4%
William Hill1.753.903.908.4%
BetVictor1.733.803.909.8%
Best of all books1.844.264.211.6%
Average1.794.094.035.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
Last 10#7Table position#151.60Points per game0.808Form pts · last 562.0Goals for · last 50.62.0Goals against · last 51.477Attack rating2341Defence rating5967Form rating3362H2H rating38100Goals model059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:51 UTC

Werder Bremen

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:22 · per match 1.9 for, 2.2 against

9 OctABorussia Dortmund2-2D
2 OctATwente0-7L
19 SepHFC Augsburg3-2W
12 SepA1. FC Köln1-1D
5 SepHRB Leipzig3-1W
30 AugASC Freiburg1-4L
22 AugALüneburger SK Hansa3-0W
15 AugHAuxerre0-1L
8 AugHSC Paderborn 072-2D
1 AugAEnergie Cottbus4-2W

SC Paderborn 07

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

10 OctHVfB Stuttgart0-2L
30 SepADC United1-0W
20 SepH1899 Hoffenheim3-1W
12 SepABorussia Dortmund0-3L
5 SepHSC Freiburg0-1L
29 AugAFSV Mainz 050-0D
23 AugAPhönix Lübeck4-2W
8 AugAWerder Bremen2-2D
1 AugAVfL Osnabrück2-0W
17 JulHFagiano Okayama3-1W

Head to head

4Werder Bremen wins
3draws
2SC Paderborn 07 wins

9 meetings · goals 21:15 · last 9: 4W 3D 2L for Werder Bremen

8 Aug 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsWerder Bremen2-2SC Paderborn 07
30 Oct 2024DFB PokalDFB PokalSC Paderborn 070-1Werder Bremen
19 Oct 2022DFB PokalDFB PokalSC Paderborn 072-2Werder Bremen
22 Jan 20222. Bundesliga2. BundesligaSC Paderborn 073-4Werder Bremen
15 Aug 20212. Bundesliga2. BundesligaWerder Bremen1-4SC Paderborn 07
13 Jun 2020BundesligaBundesligaSC Paderborn 071-5Werder Bremen
8 Dec 2019BundesligaBundesligaWerder Bremen0-1SC Paderborn 07
26 Apr 2015BundesligaBundesligaSC Paderborn 072-2Werder Bremen
29 Nov 2014BundesligaBundesligaWerder Bremen4-0SC Paderborn 07

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, Werder Bremen sit 7th with 8 points from 5 games, while SC Paderborn 07 are 15th with 4 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1SC Freiburg541014:4+1013
2Borussia Dortmund541011:4+713
3Bayern München532016:4+1211
4Bayer Leverkusen531114:8+610
5RB Leipzig530215:5+109
6FC Augsburg522113:8+58
7Werder Bremen522110:1008
8Eintracht Frankfurt622210:16-68
9FSV Mainz 05521213:10+37
10SV Elversberg52128:807
111. FC Köln62138:11-37
12VfB Stuttgart52038:9-16
13Hamburger SV52035:15-106
14FC Schalke 0451224:6-25
15SC Paderborn 0751133:7-44
16Union Berlin51135:17-124
171899 Hoffenheim51049:13-43
18Borussia Mönchengladbach50057:18-110

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.77X23%4.11223%4.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 08:301 1.77X 4.112 4.05
11.78 → 1.77 -0.6%X3.96 → 4.11 +3.8%24.00 → 4.05 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.562.543.5%
Bet3651.532.505.4%
1xBet1.502.388.7%
Marathonbet1.502.388.7%
BetVictor1.512.349.0%
Best of all books1.562.543.5%
Average1.522.437.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.552.455.3%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
1xBet1.512.427.5%
Marathonbet1.512.398.1%
BetVictor1.472.458.8%
Best of all books1.552.455.3%
Average1.512.427.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Werder Bremen 45%Draw 45%SC Paderborn 07 10%

The statistical model rates Werder Bremen at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and SC Paderborn 07 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 4.11 | 4.05, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Werder Bremen win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: Werder Bremen are 7th (8 pts, 10-10 goals), SC Paderborn 07 15th (4 pts, 3-7).

Over their last five matches, Werder Bremen averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; SC Paderborn 07 averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Werder Bremen or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.794.094.03

Double chance

1XX212
1.242.001.24

Draw no bet

12
1.352.97

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.42

1st half

1X2
2.282.464.23

2nd half

1X2
2.072.803.86

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5714.332.3
HT X4.976.739.63
HT 221.015.36.63

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5818.92.40

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0218.8
1.51.144.96
2.51.522.43
3.52.331.62
4.53.971.22
5.57.501.06
6.515.01.03
7.529.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0214.0
1.751.144.41
21.213.95
2.251.362.91
2.751.642.18
31.821.93
3.252.091.74
3.752.651.44
43.261.31
4.253.541.25
4.754.731.13
56.401.06
5.256.651.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.981.39
-1.252.651.47
-12.341.59
-0.751.971.82
-0.51.762.04
-0.251.552.37
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.01.01
-310.01.02
-2.756.921.06
-2.55.481.11
-2.255.131.13
-24.721.15
-1.753.711.27
01.353.04
+0.251.283.42
+0.51.253.80
+0.751.144.92
+11.047.30
+1.51.028.10

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.303.32
31.442.73
3.51.762.00
42.231.63
4.52.351.56

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.036.69
6.51.124.51
7.51.253.09
8.51.512.34
9.51.901.85
10.52.371.50
11.53.081.26
12.54.221.14
13.55.761.07
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.40
71.143.85
7.751.283.02
81.322.82
8.251.412.50
8.751.572.19
91.652.12
9.251.811.94
9.752.011.68
102.121.65
10.252.281.48
10.752.641.36
112.731.34
11.253.061.24
123.521.17
134.641.09