Bayern München vs 
RB Leipzig• Bundesliga, Germany
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 18:18 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 7.60 | 11.1 | 1.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 7.50 | 11.0 | 3.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 8.17 | 10.2 | 4.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 7.50 | 9.50 | 5.8% |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 7.00 | 9.50 | 6.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 10.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.26 | 8.17 | 11.1 | 0.6% |
| Average | 1.22 | 7.46 | 10.0 | 5.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:51 UTC
Bayern München
7W 3D 0L · goals 34:11 · per match 3.4 for, 1.1 against
| 13 Oct | A | Viking | 3-3 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | FC Augsburg | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Union Berlin | 7-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | SV Elversberg | 2-1 | W |
| 10 Sep | H | Bodo/Glimt | 5-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | FC Schalke 04 | 0-0 | D |
| 2 Sep | A | VfL Osnabrück | 4-1 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | VfB Stuttgart | 5-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Borussia Dortmund | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Aug | A | 1. FC Heidenheim | 4-2 | W |
RB Leipzig
5W 0D 5L · goals 24:14 · per match 2.4 for, 1.4 against
| 13 Oct | H | PSV Eindhoven | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Bayer Leverkusen | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Hamburger SV | 5-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | A | Como | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Werder Bremen | 1-3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Eintracht Trier | 6-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Bayern München | 1-3 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Leeds | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
26 meetings · goals 64:34 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Bayern München
| 15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | Bayern München3-1RB Leipzig |
| 11 Feb 2026DFB Pokal | DFB Pokal | Bayern München2-0RB Leipzig |
| 17 Jan 2026Bundesliga | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig1-5Bayern München |
| 22 Aug 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Bayern München6-0RB Leipzig |
| 3 May 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig3-3Bayern München |
| 20 Dec 2024Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Bayern München5-1RB Leipzig |
| 24 Feb 2024Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Bayern Munich2-1RB Leipzig |
| 30 Sep 2023Bundesliga | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig2-2Bayern Munich |
| 12 Aug 2023Super Cup | Super Cup | Bayern Munich0-3RB Leipzig |
| 20 May 2023Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Bayern Munich1-3RB Leipzig |
Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 22:40 UTC
In the Bundesliga table, Bayern München sit 3rd with 11 points from 5 games, while RB Leipzig are 5th with 9 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 | SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 5.50 | 5.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 6.00 | 6.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.09 | 5.45 | 10.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.09 | 5.45 | 10.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.14 | 6.00 | 4.4% |
| Average | 1.11 | 5.60 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 6.9% |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 3.00 | 6.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 2.94 | 7.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 2.89 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 3.00 | 8.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.36 | 3.00 | 6.9% |
| Average | 1.35 | 2.97 | 7.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Bayern München at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and RB Leipzig at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.22 | 7.46 | 10.13, which imply roughly 82% for a Bayern München win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Bundesliga table: Bayern München are 3rd (11 pts, 16-4 goals), RB Leipzig 5th (9 pts, 15-5).
Over their last five matches, Bayern München averaged 3.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; RB Leipzig averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 7.46 | 10.1 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | 4.24 | 1.10 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.07 | 8.33 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.35 | 2.97 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.51 | 3.56 | 7.30 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.40 | 4.18 | 6.80 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.56 | 21.7 | 50.7 |
| HT X | 4.63 | 13.8 | 24.7 |
| HT 2 | 15.4 | 23.0 | 17.4 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 34.0 | 3.00 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 34.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.03 | 15.8 |
| 2.5 | 1.11 | 5.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.36 | 3.00 |
| 4.5 | 1.89 | 1.94 |
| 5.5 | 2.70 | 1.43 |
| 6.5 | 4.48 | 1.17 |
| 7.5 | 7.00 | 1.10 |
| 8.5 | 13.0 | 1.04 |
| 9.5 | 23.0 | 1.01 |
| 10.5 | 41.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.05 | 12.5 |
| 2.75 | 1.12 | 5.11 |
| 3 | 1.14 | 4.75 |
| 3.25 | 1.25 | 3.56 |
| 3.75 | 1.43 | 2.71 |
| 4 | 1.52 | 2.46 |
| 4.25 | 1.71 | 2.16 |
| 4.75 | 2.04 | 1.79 |
| 5 | 2.27 | 1.60 |
| 5.25 | 2.48 | 1.50 |
| 5.75 | 3.09 | 1.32 |
| 6 | 3.74 | 1.22 |
| 6.25 | 4.04 | 1.18 |
| 7 | 6.75 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.75 | 2.44 | 1.55 |
| -2.5 | 2.17 | 1.68 |
| -2.25 | 1.98 | 1.84 |
| -2 | 1.77 | 2.04 |
| -1.75 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| -1.5 | 1.51 | 2.46 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -5 | 8.50 | 1.04 |
| -4.5 | 5.50 | 1.08 |
| -4.25 | 5.33 | 1.11 |
| -4 | 5.05 | 1.13 |
| -3.75 | 3.88 | 1.21 |
| -3.5 | 3.30 | 1.29 |
| -3.25 | 3.06 | 1.33 |
| -3 | 2.85 | 1.39 |
| -1.25 | 1.38 | 2.88 |
| -1 | 1.26 | 3.64 |
| -0.75 | 1.23 | 3.69 |
| -0.5 | 1.21 | 4.25 |
| -0.25 | 1.12 | 5.57 |
| 0 | 1.06 | 6.80 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.24 | 3.74 |
| 2.5 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 3 | 1.88 | 1.92 |
| 3.5 | 2.11 | 1.68 |
| 4 | 3.32 | 1.30 |
| 4.5 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.04 | 6.30 |
| 7.5 | 1.13 | 4.38 |
| 8.5 | 1.26 | 3.06 |
| 9.5 | 1.49 | 2.39 |
| 10.5 | 1.87 | 1.90 |
| 11.5 | 2.28 | 1.53 |
| 12.5 | 2.93 | 1.30 |
| 13.5 | 3.85 | 1.17 |
| 14.5 | 5.19 | 1.09 |
17 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.06 | 5.22 |
| 8 | 1.15 | 3.79 |
| 8.75 | 1.25 | 2.96 |
| 9 | 1.30 | 2.73 |
| 9.25 | 1.39 | 2.53 |
| 9.75 | 1.55 | 2.23 |
| 10 | 1.62 | 2.19 |
| 10.25 | 1.77 | 1.99 |
| 10.75 | 1.94 | 1.73 |
| 11 | 2.05 | 1.70 |
| 11.25 | 2.17 | 1.54 |
| 11.75 | 2.50 | 1.40 |
| 12 | 2.57 | 1.38 |
| 12.25 | 2.90 | 1.30 |
| 13 | 3.27 | 1.20 |
| 14 | 4.29 | 1.11 |
| 15 | 5.40 | 1.05 |