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Valenciennes vs Orleans• Ligue 3, France

#151.2:1.619:45Today · Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes0.8:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45PINX3.32PIN23.10BFRMargin at best3.2%Books9Markets76Rating46 · 55Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.453.322.984.5%
Dafabet2.403.302.857.1%
Betano2.403.152.809.1%
BetVictor2.383.202.759.6%
1xBet2.313.122.8410.6%
Betfair2.103.253.1010.6%
Bet3652.383.252.6211.0%
Marathonbet2.293.122.7711.8%
William Hill2.302.902.8013.7%
Best of all books2.453.323.103.2%
Average2.333.182.839.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ValenciennesOrleans
Last 10#15Table position#140.82Points per game0.914Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 51.460Attack rating4047Defence rating5357Form rating4329H2H rating7150Goals model5046Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Valenciennes

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

31 OctACannes1-2L
17 OctHAmiens1-1D
3 OctAVersailles0-1L
26 SepHLe Puy Foot2-1W
19 SepALa Roche VF2-3L
12 SepHFleury 911-2L
3 SepARouen1-1D
29 AugHConcarneau0-0D
20 AugAGobelins1-2L
14 AugHBourg-en-bresse 012-0W

Orleans

1W 4D 5L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

31 OctHVillefranche1-1D
17 OctAQuevilly2-3L
1 OctABastia1-1D
26 SepHCannes0-0D
19 SepAAmiens0-2L
12 SepHVersailles0-4L
5 SepALe Puy Foot1-1D
29 AugHLa Roche VF0-1L
20 AugAFleury 912-0W
14 AugHRouen1-2L

Head to head

7Valenciennes wins
0draws
6Orleans wins

13 meetings · goals 18:16 · last 10: 4W 0D 6L for Valenciennes

31 Jan 2026Ligue 3Ligue 3Valenciennes0-1Orleans
22 Aug 2025Ligue 3Ligue 3Orleans2-1Valenciennes
24 Jan 2025Ligue 3Ligue 3Valenciennes1-0Orleans
9 Oct 2024Ligue 3Ligue 3Orleans4-1Valenciennes
22 Nov 2019Ligue 2Ligue 2Orleans0-1Valenciennes
15 Mar 2019Ligue 2Ligue 2Valenciennes1-4Orleans
19 Oct 2018Ligue 2Ligue 2Orleans1-0Valenciennes
2 Mar 2018Ligue 2Ligue 2Valenciennes0-1Orleans
29 Sep 2017Ligue 2Ligue 2Orleans3-4Valenciennes
21 Apr 2017Ligue 2Ligue 2Valenciennes4-0Orleans

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Valenciennes sit 15th with 9 points from 11 games, while Orleans are 14th with 10 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1La Roche VF1173118:10+824
2Rouen1172220:9+1123
3Versailles1171319:13+622
4Caen1161421:15+619
5Cannes1146114:7+718
6Le Puy Foot1152414:11+317
7Concarneau1145214:11+317
8Amiens1145214:5+917
9Fleury 911144317:13+416
10Gobelins1144311:11016
11Bastia1143410:12-215
12Thionville Lusitanos1134416:17-113
13Quevilly1134411:16-513
14Orleans1124510:15-510
15Valenciennes1123611:17-69
16Villefranche1122710:24-148
17Aubagne112186:17-117
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111285:18-135

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.33X29%3.18232%2.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Nov 00:005 Nov 08:501 2.33X 3.182 2.83
12.13 → 2.33 +9.4%X3.21 → 3.18 -0.9%23.16 → 2.83 -10.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.021.834.1%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
Betano1.901.808.2%
1xBet1.931.759.0%
Marathonbet1.931.759.0%
BetVictor1.901.779.1%
Best of all books2.021.853.6%
Average1.931.797.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.731.988.3%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Marathonbet1.731.959.1%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Betano1.672.029.4%
William Hill1.701.9510.1%
Best of all books1.832.102.3%
Average1.721.988.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Valenciennes 10%Draw 45%Orleans 45%

The statistical model rates Valenciennes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Orleans at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.33 | 3.18 | 2.83, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Valenciennes are 15th (9 pts, 11-17 goals), Orleans 14th (10 pts, 10-15).

Over their last five matches, Valenciennes averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Orleans averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Orleans.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.333.182.83

Double chance

1XX212
1.341.541.29

Draw no bet

12
1.682.08

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.721.98

1st half

1X2
2.942.103.47

2nd half

1X2
2.652.403.09

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6713.930.6
HT X5.504.896.60
HT 226.414.34.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.859.102.16

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.038.60
1.51.293.29
2.51.931.79
3.53.301.28
4.56.391.08
5.512.31.02
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.10
11.037.40
1.251.154.26
1.751.352.79
21.472.46
2.251.712.01
2.752.201.59
32.681.40
3.252.981.31
3.754.111.16
45.701.08
4.256.051.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.781.39
-0.52.301.59
-0.252.031.71
01.722.03
+0.251.512.39
+0.51.422.77
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.351.01
-28.531.10
-1.756.001.08
-1.54.601.14
-1.254.251.19
-13.801.22
+0.751.273.43
+11.154.86
+1.251.125.19
+1.51.105.72
+1.751.057.47

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.046.30
6.51.193.82
7.51.402.60
8.51.732.00
9.52.191.59
10.52.991.30
11.54.441.12
12.56.941.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.046.02
61.065.73
6.251.124.46
6.751.213.52
71.243.32
7.251.342.85
7.751.492.40
81.532.35
8.251.672.07
8.751.881.82
91.981.78
9.252.141.62
9.752.461.46
102.631.42
10.252.901.32
10.753.461.22
114.061.15
11.254.261.14
11.755.221.08
126.481.03
12.256.711.02

Next Ligue 3 matches

7 NovAubagne – Amiens
7 NovBourg-en-bresse 01 – Le Puy Foot
7 NovCaen – Versailles
7 NovConcarneau – Fleury 91
7 NovGobelins – La Roche VF
7 NovRouen – Bastia

All Ligue 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 3 results

31 OctCannes 2-1 Valenciennes
31 OctBastia 2-0 Quevilly
31 OctOrleans 1-1 Villefranche
31 OctLe Puy Foot 2-2 Caen
31 OctVersailles 4-0 Aubagne
31 OctFleury 91 1-1 Gobelins