Bastia vs Quevilly• Ligue 3, France

#130.8:0.813:4531/10 · Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia1.4:1.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91BFRX3.50B36524.06PINMargin at best5.6%Books8Markets49Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 20:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.90	3.37	4.06	6.9%
Dafabet	1.91	3.45	3.80	7.7%
Betano	1.90	3.40	3.70	9.1%
1xBet	1.82	3.35	3.88	10.6%
Betfair	1.91	3.25	3.60	10.9%
Bet365	1.83	3.50	3.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.80	3.35	3.78	11.9%
William Hill	1.85	3.10	3.80	12.6%
Best of all books	1.91	3.50	4.06	5.6%
Average	1.86	3.35	3.77	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BastiaQuevilly

Last 10#13Table position#111.20Points per game1.306Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 51.436Attack rating6464Defence rating3643Form rating5762H2H rating3856Goals model4455Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:03 UTC

Bastia

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:12 · per match 0.8 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	A	Concarneau	1-1	D
1 Oct	H	Orleans	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Gobelins	0-1	L
17 Sep	H	Cannes	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Amiens	0-3	L
27 Aug	A	Caen	1-0	W
20 Aug	H	Versailles	2-3	L
14 Aug	A	Aubagne	1-0	W
7 Aug	H	Le Puy Foot	0-2	L

Quevilly

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	Orleans	3-2	W
3 Oct	A	Cannes	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Amiens	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Versailles	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Le Puy Foot	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	La Roche VF	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Fleury 91	2-1	W
20 Aug	A	Rouen	0-3	L
14 Aug	H	Concarneau	1-1	D
7 Aug	A	Gobelins	0-1	L

Head to head

5Bastia wins

3draws

1Quevilly wins

9 meetings · goals 11:5 · last 9: 5W 3D 1L for Bastia

10 Feb 2024Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Quevilly0-1Bastia
16 Dec 2023Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Bastia0-0Quevilly
11 Feb 2023Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Bastia0-1Quevilly
10 Jan 2023Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Quevilly1-1Bastia
8 Jan 2022Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Bastia3-0Quevilly
18 Aug 2021Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Quevilly1-2Bastia
10 May 2021Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Quevilly0-1Bastia
11 Jan 2021Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Bastia2-1Quevilly
20 Jan 2015Coupe de France	Coupe de France	Quevilly1-1Bastia

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 29 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Bastia sit 13th with 12 points from 10 games, while Quevilly are 11th with 13 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Rouen	10	6	2	2	18:8	+10	20
3	Versailles	10	6	1	3	15:13	+2	19
4	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	+6	18
5	Concarneau	10	4	5	1	13:9	+4	17
6	Le Puy Foot	10	5	1	4	12:9	+3	16
7	Amiens	10	4	4	2	13:4	+9	16
8	Cannes	10	3	6	1	12:6	+6	15
9	Fleury 91	10	4	3	3	16:12	+4	15
10	Gobelins	10	4	3	3	10:10	0	15
11	Quevilly	10	3	4	3	11:14	-3	13
12	Thionville Lusitanos	10	3	3	4	15:16	-1	12
13	Bastia	10	3	3	4	8:12	-4	12
14	Valenciennes	10	2	3	5	10:15	-5	9
15	Orleans	10	2	3	5	9:14	-5	9
16	Aubagne	10	2	1	7	6:13	-7	7
17	Villefranche	10	2	1	7	9:23	-14	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	10	1	2	7	5:16	-11	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.87X27%3.35224%3.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.90 → 1.87 -1.6%X3.29 → 3.35 +1.8%23.72 → 3.76 +1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.06	1.74	6.0%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	2.06	1.75	5.7%
Average	2.00	1.73	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.83	1.86	8.4%
Betano	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Best of all books	2.00	1.91	2.4%
Average	1.85	1.83	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bastia 45%Draw 45%Quevilly 10%

The statistical model rates Bastia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Quevilly at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.35 | 3.76, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Bastia win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Bastia are 13th (12 pts, 8-12 goals), Quevilly 11th (13 pts, 11-14).

Over their last five matches, Bastia averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Quevilly averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bastia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.35	3.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.80	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.42	2.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.48	2.11	4.40

2nd half

1	X	2
2.24	2.41	3.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.88	15.4	38.8
HT X	4.63	5.09	8.25
HT 2	26.0	15.4	6.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	8.65	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.03
1.5	1.31	3.09
2.5	2.00	1.73
3.5	3.43	1.26
4.5	6.20	1.08
5.5	13.5	1.02
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.70
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.11
1.75	1.38	2.74
2	1.49	2.37
2.25	1.74	1.96
2.75	2.26	1.55
3	2.70	1.36
3.25	3.04	1.29
3.75	4.15	1.16
4	5.65	1.08
4.25	6.00	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.98	1.34
-1	2.60	1.43
-0.75	2.11	1.65
-0.5	1.89	1.88
-0.25	1.61	2.19
0	1.38	2.83

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.63	1.07
-2.25	6.20	1.08
-2	5.85	1.09
-1.75	4.10	1.18
-1.5	3.36	1.28
+0.25	1.29	3.26
+0.5	1.25	3.78
+0.75	1.14	4.67
+1	1.05	7.20
+1.25	1.05	7.40
+1.5	1.04	7.87

Next Ligue 3 matches

29 Oct	Amiens – Thionville Lusitanos
31 Oct	Cannes – Valenciennes
31 Oct	Versailles – Aubagne
31 Oct	La Roche VF – Bourg-en-bresse 01
31 Oct	Rouen – Concarneau
31 Oct	Le Puy Foot – Caen

All Ligue 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 3 results

17 Oct	Aubagne 0-1 Le Puy Foot
17 Oct	Gobelins 3-1 Rouen
17 Oct	Concarneau 1-1 Bastia
17 Oct	Villefranche 2-1 Cannes
17 Oct	Quevilly 3-2 Orleans
17 Oct	Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Fleury 91