Versailles vs Aubagne• Ligue 3, France

#31.8:0.413:4531/10 · Saint-Germain-en-Laye0.8:1.6#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55BFRX4.05PIN25.90BTNMargin at best6.2%Books8Markets55Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 20:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.53	4.05	5.71	7.6%
Dafabet	1.53	4.00	5.60	8.2%
Betano	1.55	3.65	5.90	8.9%
1xBet	1.50	3.82	5.64	10.6%
Betfair	1.53	3.90	5.00	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	3.82	5.40	11.8%
Bet365	1.50	3.75	5.25	12.4%
William Hill	1.50	3.60	5.00	14.4%
Best of all books	1.55	4.05	5.90	6.2%
Average	1.52	3.82	5.44	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VersaillesAubagne

Last 10#3Table position#161.90Points per game0.7013Form pts · last 531.8Goals for · last 50.80.4Goals against · last 51.669Attack rating3180Defence rating2081Form rating1980H2H rating2052Goals model4872Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

Versailles

6W 1D 3L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	A	Thionville Lusitanos	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Valenciennes	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Villefranche	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Quevilly	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Orleans	4-0	W
5 Sep	H	Cannes	0-3	L
29 Aug	A	Amiens	0-3	L
20 Aug	A	Bastia	3-2	W
14 Aug	H	Le Puy Foot	1-0	W
7 Aug	A	La Roche VF	2-3	L

Aubagne

2W 1D 7L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	H	Le Puy Foot	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	La Roche VF	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Fleury 91	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Rouen	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Concarneau	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Gobelins	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2-0	W
20 Aug	A	Caen	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Bastia	0-1	L
7 Aug	H	Thionville Lusitanos	0-3	L

Head to head

2Versailles wins

2draws

0Aubagne wins

4 meetings · goals 9:4 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Versailles

27 Feb 2026Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Versailles3-0Aubagne
19 Sep 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Aubagne1-1Versailles
8 Feb 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Versailles2-0Aubagne
6 Sep 2024Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Aubagne3-3Versailles

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 29 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Versailles sit 3rd with 19 points from 10 games, while Aubagne are 16th with 7 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Rouen	10	6	2	2	18:8	+10	20
3	Versailles	10	6	1	3	15:13	+2	19
4	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	+6	18
5	Concarneau	10	4	5	1	13:9	+4	17
6	Le Puy Foot	10	5	1	4	12:9	+3	16
7	Amiens	10	4	4	2	13:4	+9	16
8	Cannes	10	3	6	1	12:6	+6	15
9	Fleury 91	10	4	3	3	16:12	+4	15
10	Gobelins	10	4	3	3	10:10	0	15
11	Quevilly	10	3	4	3	11:14	-3	13
12	Thionville Lusitanos	10	3	3	4	15:16	-1	12
13	Bastia	10	3	3	4	8:12	-4	12
14	Valenciennes	10	2	3	5	10:15	-5	9
15	Orleans	10	2	3	5	9:14	-5	9
16	Aubagne	10	2	1	7	6:13	-7	7
17	Villefranche	10	2	1	7	9:23	-14	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	10	1	2	7	5:16	-11	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.52X24%3.78217%5.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.93	5.6%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.95	2.6%
Average	1.87	1.85	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.89	1.80	8.5%
Betano	1.98	1.72	8.6%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.77	9.4%
Best of all books	2.00	1.83	4.6%
Average	1.92	1.77	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Versailles 45%Draw 45%Aubagne 10%

The statistical model rates Versailles at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aubagne at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 3.78 | 5.47, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Versailles win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Versailles are 3rd (19 pts, 15-13 goals), Aubagne 16th (7 pts, 6-13).

Over their last five matches, Versailles averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Aubagne averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Versailles or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.52	3.82	5.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.30	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	4.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.07	2.22	5.65

2nd half

1	X	2
1.89	2.55	5.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.28	16.6	51.0
HT X	4.06	5.55	11.6
HT 2	25.3	18.1	9.54

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.46	10.9	2.97

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.82
1.5	1.27	3.35
2.5	1.87	1.85
3.5	3.12	1.31
4.5	5.76	1.10
5.5	10.3	1.04
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.90
1.25	1.12	4.70
1.75	1.31	2.98
2	1.40	2.66
2.25	1.63	2.13
2.75	2.08	1.65
3	2.51	1.44
3.25	2.84	1.34
3.75	3.95	1.17
4	5.45	1.08
4.25	5.90	1.07
4.75	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.53	1.46
-1.25	2.23	1.58
-1	1.94	1.79
-0.75	1.68	2.06
-0.5	1.56	2.41
-0.25	1.36	2.90

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.60	1.01
-3	8.60	1.03
-2.75	6.42	1.07
-2.5	4.87	1.13
-2.25	4.47	1.16
-2	4.12	1.19
-1.75	3.03	1.33
0	1.18	4.20
+0.25	1.14	4.63
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.05	7.13
+1	1.01	10.0

Next Ligue 3 matches

29 Oct	Amiens – Thionville Lusitanos
31 Oct	Cannes – Valenciennes
31 Oct	Bastia – Quevilly
31 Oct	La Roche VF – Bourg-en-bresse 01
31 Oct	Rouen – Concarneau
31 Oct	Le Puy Foot – Caen

All Ligue 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 3 results

17 Oct	Aubagne 0-1 Le Puy Foot
17 Oct	Gobelins 3-1 Rouen
17 Oct	Concarneau 1-1 Bastia
17 Oct	Villefranche 2-1 Cannes
17 Oct	Quevilly 3-2 Orleans
17 Oct	Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Fleury 91