Gobelins vs La Roche VF• Ligue 3, France

#101.4:1.013:4507/11 · Stade Charlety, Paris2.2:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90PINX3.40B36522.52BTNMargin at best3.6%Books8Markets47Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 20:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.90	3.24	2.46	6.0%
Dafabet	2.90	3.20	2.37	7.9%
Betano	2.77	3.30	2.35	9.0%
1xBet	2.82	3.10	2.34	10.5%
Betfair	2.75	3.10	2.38	10.6%
Bet365	2.70	3.40	2.25	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.75	3.10	2.32	11.7%
William Hill	2.75	2.90	2.38	12.9%
Best of all books	2.90	3.40	2.46	4.5%
Average	2.79	3.17	2.36	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GobelinsLa Roche VF

Last 10#10Table position#11.45Points per game2.188Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 52.21.0Goals against · last 51.239Attack rating6155Defence rating4540Form rating6050H2H rating5055Goals model4551Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Gobelins

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

31 Oct	A	Fleury 91	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Rouen	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Concarneau	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Bastia	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Caen	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Aubagne	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Thionville Lusitanos	1-1	D
20 Aug	H	Valenciennes	2-1	W
14 Aug	A	Villefranche	0-2	L

La Roche VF

6W 3D 1L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

31 Oct	H	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2-0	W
15 Oct	A	Caen	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Aubagne	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Thionville Lusitanos	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Valenciennes	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	Villefranche	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Quevilly	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Orleans	1-0	W
20 Aug	H	Cannes	1-1	D
14 Aug	A	Amiens	1-0	W

Head to head

1Gobelins wins

0draws

1La Roche VF wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Gobelins

9 Mar 2024National 2 - Group B	National 2 - Group B	Gobelins2-0La Roche VF
6 Oct 2023National 2 - Group B	National 2 - Group B	La Roche VF1-0Gobelins

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Gobelins sit 10th with 16 points from 11 games, while La Roche VF are 1st with 24 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	11	7	3	1	18:10	+8	24
2	Rouen	11	7	2	2	20:9	+11	23
3	Versailles	11	7	1	3	19:13	+6	22
4	Caen	11	6	1	4	21:15	+6	19
5	Cannes	11	4	6	1	14:7	+7	18
6	Le Puy Foot	11	5	2	4	14:11	+3	17
7	Concarneau	11	4	5	2	14:11	+3	17
8	Amiens	11	4	5	2	14:5	+9	17
9	Fleury 91	11	4	4	3	17:13	+4	16
10	Gobelins	11	4	4	3	11:11	0	16
11	Bastia	11	4	3	4	10:12	-2	15
12	Thionville Lusitanos	11	3	4	4	16:17	-1	13
13	Quevilly	11	3	4	4	11:16	-5	13
14	Orleans	11	2	4	5	10:15	-5	10
15	Valenciennes	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9
16	Villefranche	11	2	2	7	10:24	-14	8
17	Aubagne	11	2	1	8	6:17	-11	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	11	1	2	8	5:18	-13	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.80X29%3.12238%2.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.03	1.78	5.4%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.03	1.80	4.8%
Average	1.98	1.76	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.92	9.2%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Betano	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.76	1.92	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gobelins 10%Draw 45%La Roche VF 45%

The statistical model rates Gobelins at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and La Roche VF at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.80 | 3.12 | 2.38, which imply roughly 32.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Gobelins are 10th (16 pts, 11-11 goals), La Roche VF 1st (24 pts, 18-10).

Over their last five matches, Gobelins averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; La Roche VF averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or La Roche VF.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.79	3.17	2.36

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.51	1.36	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.99	1.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
3.44	2.05	2.98

2nd half

1	X	2
3.11	2.37	2.69

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.56	14.9	28.5
HT X	6.38	4.89	5.50
HT 2	32.3	14.4	3.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.11	9.00	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.93
1.5	1.29	3.19
2.5	1.98	1.76
3.5	3.34	1.27
4.5	6.15	1.08
5.5	12.0	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.16	4.16
1.75	1.37	2.71
2	1.52	2.34
2.25	1.73	1.96
2.75	2.25	1.55
3	2.75	1.37
3.25	3.06	1.29
3.75	4.21	1.15
4	5.90	1.07
4.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.82	1.41
-0.25	2.38	1.51
0	2.04	1.71
+0.25	1.71	2.02
+0.5	1.57	2.37
+0.75	1.38	2.79

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.60	1.05
-1.5	5.77	1.10
-1.25	5.27	1.12
-1	4.90	1.14
-0.75	3.43	1.27
+1	1.23	3.79
+1.25	1.18	4.13
+1.5	1.15	4.55
+1.75	1.09	5.93
+2	1.02	8.80
+2.5	1.01	9.90

Next Ligue 3 matches

5 Nov	Valenciennes – Orleans
7 Nov	Aubagne – Amiens
7 Nov	Bourg-en-bresse 01 – Le Puy Foot
7 Nov	Caen – Versailles
7 Nov	Concarneau – Fleury 91
7 Nov	Rouen – Bastia

All Ligue 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 3 results

31 Oct	Cannes 2-1 Valenciennes
31 Oct	Bastia 2-0 Quevilly
31 Oct	Orleans 1-1 Villefranche
31 Oct	Le Puy Foot 2-2 Caen
31 Oct	Versailles 4-0 Aubagne
31 Oct	Fleury 91 1-1 Gobelins