Concarneau vs Fleury 91• Ligue 3, France

#71.4:1.013:4507/11 · Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau1.4:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.19PINX3.36PIN23.26PINMargin at best6.1%Books8Markets47Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 20:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.19	3.36	3.26	6.1%
Dafabet	2.12	3.35	3.25	7.8%
Betano	2.18	3.20	3.15	8.9%
Betfair	2.10	3.25	3.10	10.6%
1xBet	2.12	3.18	3.12	10.7%
Bet365	2.10	3.20	3.10	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.10	3.18	3.05	11.9%
William Hill	2.10	3.00	3.10	13.2%
Best of all books	2.19	3.36	3.26	6.1%
Average	2.13	3.21	3.14	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ConcarneauFleury 91

Last 10#7Table position#91.55Points per game1.458Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5055Defence rating4550Form rating5064H2H rating3648Goals model5256Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Concarneau

4W 5D 1L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

31 Oct	A	Rouen	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Bastia	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Gobelins	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Caen	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Aubagne	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Thionville Lusitanos	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Valenciennes	0-0	D
20 Aug	H	Villefranche	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Quevilly	1-1	D

Fleury 91

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	Gobelins	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Caen	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Aubagne	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Thionville Lusitanos	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Valenciennes	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Villefranche	6-1	W
29 Aug	A	Quevilly	1-2	L
20 Aug	H	Orleans	0-2	L
14 Aug	A	Cannes	1-1	D

Head to head

2Concarneau wins

1draws

1Fleury 91 wins

4 meetings · goals 7:3 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Concarneau

27 Feb 2026Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Fleury 910-4Concarneau
19 Sep 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Concarneau0-1Fleury 91
28 May 2016National 2 - Group D	National 2 - Group D	Fleury 910-0Concarneau
9 Jan 2016National 2 - Group D	National 2 - Group D	Concarneau3-2Fleury 91

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Concarneau sit 7th with 17 points from 11 games, while Fleury 91 are 9th with 16 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	11	7	3	1	18:10	+8	24
2	Rouen	11	7	2	2	20:9	+11	23
3	Versailles	11	7	1	3	19:13	+6	22
4	Caen	11	6	1	4	21:15	+6	19
5	Cannes	11	4	6	1	14:7	+7	18
6	Le Puy Foot	11	5	2	4	14:11	+3	17
7	Concarneau	11	4	5	2	14:11	+3	17
8	Amiens	11	4	5	2	14:5	+9	17
9	Fleury 91	11	4	4	3	17:13	+4	16
10	Gobelins	11	4	4	3	11:11	0	16
11	Bastia	11	4	3	4	10:12	-2	15
12	Thionville Lusitanos	11	3	4	4	16:17	-1	13
13	Quevilly	11	3	4	4	11:16	-5	13
14	Orleans	11	2	4	5	10:15	-5	10
15	Valenciennes	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9
16	Villefranche	11	2	2	7	10:24	-14	8
17	Aubagne	11	2	1	8	6:17	-11	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	11	1	2	8	5:18	-13	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.14X28%3.20229%3.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.94	1.85	5.6%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.92	1.81	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.71	2.00	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.97	9.2%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Betano	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Best of all books	1.83	2.00	4.6%
Average	1.74	1.94	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Concarneau 45%Draw 45%Fleury 91 10%

The statistical model rates Concarneau at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fleury 91 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.20 | 3.13, which imply roughly 46.7% for a Concarneau win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Concarneau are 7th (17 pts, 14-11 goals), Fleury 91 9th (16 pts, 17-13).

Over their last five matches, Concarneau averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Fleury 91 averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Concarneau or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.13	3.22	3.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.60	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.56	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
2.74	2.11	3.70

2nd half

1	X	2
2.48	2.40	3.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.41	13.5	31.8
HT X	5.23	4.97	7.00
HT 2	27.0	15.0	5.11

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	8.95	2.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.23
1.5	1.28	3.29
2.5	1.92	1.81
3.5	3.17	1.30
4.5	5.76	1.10
5.5	11.0	1.04
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.15	4.31
1.75	1.34	2.84
2	1.43	2.55
2.25	1.66	2.07
2.75	2.14	1.61
3	2.56	1.43
3.25	2.84	1.34
3.75	3.84	1.18
4	5.20	1.10
4.25	5.50	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.49	1.47
-0.5	2.14	1.67
-0.25	1.85	1.87
0	1.57	2.28
+0.25	1.42	2.66
+0.5	1.34	3.16

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2	7.27	1.05
-1.75	5.07	1.12
-1.5	3.94	1.19
-1.25	3.63	1.23
-1	3.19	1.30
+0.75	1.22	3.84
+1	1.10	5.47
+1.25	1.09	5.85
+1.5	1.08	6.32
+1.75	1.02	8.30

Next Ligue 3 matches

5 Nov	Valenciennes – Orleans
7 Nov	Aubagne – Amiens
7 Nov	Bourg-en-bresse 01 – Le Puy Foot
7 Nov	Caen – Versailles
7 Nov	Gobelins – La Roche VF
7 Nov	Rouen – Bastia

All Ligue 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 3 results

31 Oct	Cannes 2-1 Valenciennes
31 Oct	Bastia 2-0 Quevilly
31 Oct	Orleans 1-1 Villefranche
31 Oct	Le Puy Foot 2-2 Caen
31 Oct	Versailles 4-0 Aubagne
31 Oct	Fleury 91 1-1 Gobelins