Rouen vs Bastia• Ligue 3, France

#21.6:1.413:4507/11 · Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen1.0:0.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67WHX3.88PIN24.85BTNMargin at best6.3%Books8Markets51Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 20:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.67	3.88	4.74	6.8%
Dafabet	1.67	3.75	4.60	8.3%
Betano	1.62	3.80	4.85	8.7%
Betfair	1.67	3.60	4.40	10.4%
1xBet	1.67	3.48	4.56	10.5%
Bet365	1.67	3.50	4.33	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.48	4.45	11.8%
William Hill	1.67	3.40	4.20	13.1%
Best of all books	1.67	3.88	4.85	6.3%
Average	1.66	3.61	4.52	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RouenBastia

Last 10#2Table position#112.09Points per game1.369Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 50.862Attack rating3836Defence rating6460Form rating400H2H rating10063Goals model3755Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Rouen

7W 1D 2L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

31 Oct	H	Concarneau	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Gobelins	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2-0	W
24 Sep	A	Caen	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Aubagne	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Thionville Lusitanos	4-0	W
3 Sep	H	Valenciennes	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Villefranche	2-0	W
20 Aug	H	Quevilly	3-0	W
14 Aug	A	Orleans	2-1	W

Bastia

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

31 Oct	H	Quevilly	2-0	W
17 Oct	A	Concarneau	1-1	D
1 Oct	H	Orleans	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Gobelins	0-1	L
17 Sep	H	Cannes	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Amiens	0-3	L
27 Aug	A	Caen	1-0	W
20 Aug	H	Versailles	2-3	L
14 Aug	A	Aubagne	1-0	W

Head to head

0Rouen wins

0draws

1Bastia wins

1 meeting · goals 0:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Rouen

22 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Rouen0-2Bastia

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Rouen sit 2nd with 23 points from 11 games, while Bastia are 11th with 15 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	11	7	3	1	18:10	+8	24
2	Rouen	11	7	2	2	20:9	+11	23
3	Versailles	11	7	1	3	19:13	+6	22
4	Caen	11	6	1	4	21:15	+6	19
5	Cannes	11	4	6	1	14:7	+7	18
6	Le Puy Foot	11	5	2	4	14:11	+3	17
7	Concarneau	11	4	5	2	14:11	+3	17
8	Amiens	11	4	5	2	14:5	+9	17
9	Fleury 91	11	4	4	3	17:13	+4	16
10	Gobelins	11	4	4	3	11:11	0	16
11	Bastia	11	4	3	4	10:12	-2	15
12	Thionville Lusitanos	11	3	4	4	16:17	-1	13
13	Quevilly	11	3	4	4	11:16	-5	13
14	Orleans	11	2	4	5	10:15	-5	10
15	Valenciennes	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9
16	Villefranche	11	2	2	7	10:24	-14	8
17	Aubagne	11	2	1	8	6:17	-11	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	11	1	2	8	5:18	-13	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.66X25%3.61220%4.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.65 → 1.66 +0.6%X3.63 → 3.61 -0.6%24.59 → 4.52 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.94	1.84	5.9%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.92	1.81	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.84	1.85	8.4%
Betano	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.82	9.3%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Best of all books	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Average	1.88	1.80	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rouen 35%Draw 35%Bastia 30%

The statistical model rates Rouen at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Bastia at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.61 | 4.52, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Rouen win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Rouen are 2nd (23 pts, 20-9 goals), Bastia 11th (15 pts, 10-12).

Over their last five matches, Rouen averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Bastia averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Rouen or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.61	4.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.04	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.15	4.97

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.48	4.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.50	15.8	49.3
HT X	4.30	5.40	9.82
HT 2	25.3	16.5	7.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	10.3	2.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.55
1.5	1.28	3.27
2.5	1.92	1.81
3.5	3.25	1.29
4.5	6.08	1.09
5.5	11.0	1.04
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.82
1	1.02	8.20
1.25	1.14	4.46
1.75	1.34	2.84
2	1.44	2.51
2.25	1.68	2.04
2.75	2.18	1.59
3	2.65	1.40
3.25	2.98	1.31
3.75	4.15	1.16
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.20	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.91	1.35
-1.25	2.57	1.44
-1	2.21	1.61
-0.75	1.87	1.84
-0.5	1.67	2.14
-0.25	1.47	2.49

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.80	1.04
-2.5	5.92	1.09
-2.25	5.47	1.11
-2	5.00	1.13
-1.75	3.68	1.24
0	1.26	3.44
+0.25	1.20	3.94
+0.5	1.21	4.36
+0.75	1.09	5.93
+1	1.04	8.60
+1.5	1.02	8.90

Next Ligue 3 matches

5 Nov	Valenciennes – Orleans
7 Nov	Aubagne – Amiens
7 Nov	Bourg-en-bresse 01 – Le Puy Foot
7 Nov	Caen – Versailles
7 Nov	Concarneau – Fleury 91
7 Nov	Gobelins – La Roche VF

All Ligue 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 3 results

31 Oct	Cannes 2-1 Valenciennes
31 Oct	Bastia 2-0 Quevilly
31 Oct	Orleans 1-1 Villefranche
31 Oct	Le Puy Foot 2-2 Caen
31 Oct	Versailles 4-0 Aubagne
31 Oct	Fleury 91 1-1 Gobelins