Swit vs Troszyn• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#33.0:2.212:00Today1.0:1.6#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.61PINX4.40DAF24.75BVCMargin at best5.9%Books7Markets44Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.60	4.40	4.50	7.4%
BetVictor	1.55	4.20	4.75	9.4%
Bet365	1.53	4.33	4.50	10.7%
1xBet	1.57	4.10	4.39	10.9%
Betano	1.60	4.05	4.20	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.55	4.10	4.30	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.61	3.89	4.03	12.6%
Best of all books	1.61	4.40	4.75	5.9%
Average	1.57	4.15	4.38	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SwitTroszyn

Last 10#3Table position#171.77Points per game0.8512Form pts · last 553.0Goals for · last 51.02.2Goals against · last 51.675Attack rating2542Defence rating5871Form rating2950H2H rating5068Goals model3255Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

Swit

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:19 · per match 1.9 for, 1.9 against

18 Oct	A	Jagiellonia II	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	ŁKS Łódź II	2-7	L
3 Oct	A	Mławianka Mława	4-2	W
25 Sep	H	Łomża	4-0	W
18 Sep	A	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Weszlo	0-1	L
4 Sep	A	Pelikan Łowicz	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Warta Sieradz	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Wigry Suwałki	0-0	D
19 Aug	H	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	1-2	L

Troszyn

2W 5D 3L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

18 Oct	H	Ząbkovia Ząbki	1-1	D
14 Oct	A	Jagiellonia II	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Wisła Płock II	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	ŁKS Łódź II	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Mławianka Mława	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	Łomża	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	Weszlo	3-3	D
23 Aug	A	Pelikan Łowicz	1-1	D
19 Aug	H	Warta Sieradz	1-4	L

Head to head

1Swit wins

0draws

1Troszyn wins

2 meetings · goals 2:6 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Swit

29 Nov 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Troszyn5-0Swit
9 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Swit2-1Troszyn

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Swit sit 3rd with 23 points from 13 games, while Troszyn are 17th with 11 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	13	10	2	1	29:12	+17	32
2	Wigry Suwałki	13	8	4	1	26:12	+14	28
3	Swit	13	7	2	4	25:20	+5	23
4	Pelikan Łowicz	13	7	2	4	22:18	+4	23
5	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	13	6	3	4	30:25	+5	21
6	Wisła Płock II	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
7	Ząbkovia Ząbki	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
8	Warta Sieradz	13	6	3	4	22:20	+2	21
9	Olimpia Zambrów	13	6	2	5	28:27	+1	20
10	Olimpia Elbląg	13	5	2	6	19:22	-3	17
11	Jagiellonia II	13	4	4	5	25:26	-1	16
12	Widzew II	13	4	3	6	22:22	0	15
13	ŁKS Łódź II	13	4	3	6	24:25	-1	15
14	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	13	4	2	7	22:27	-5	14
15	Mławianka Mława	13	4	1	8	26:36	-10	13
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	13	3	3	7	21:27	-6	12
17	Troszyn	13	2	5	6	15:27	-12	11
18	Łomża	13	0	3	10	12:30	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.57X22%4.15221%4.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.54 → 1.57 +1.9%X4.30 → 4.15 -3.5%24.51 → 4.38 -2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Pinnacle	1.42	2.56	9.5%
1xBet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Average	1.41	2.62	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.45	2.50	9.0%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.44	9.9%
Best of all books	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Average	1.45	2.48	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Swit 45%Draw 45%Troszyn 10%

The statistical model rates Swit at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Troszyn at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 4.15 | 4.38, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Swit win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Swit are 3rd (23 pts, 25-20 goals), Troszyn 17th (11 pts, 15-27).

Over their last five matches, Swit averaged 3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Troszyn averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Swit or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	4.15	4.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.13	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.26	3.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.48

1st half

1	X	2
2.04	2.50	4.38

2nd half

1	X	2
1.86	2.93	4.11

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.30	14.8	35.3
HT X	4.70	7.40	10.7
HT 2	18.3	15.7	7.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	20.5	2.56

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.11	5.50
2.5	1.41	2.62
3.5	2.00	1.69
4.5	3.33	1.26
5.5	6.05	1.10

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.13	4.50
2.25	1.26	3.20
2.75	1.49	2.34
3	1.62	2.08
3.25	1.83	1.83
3.75	2.29	1.52
4	2.72	1.36
4.25	2.92	1.31
4.75	3.42	1.23
5	5.05	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.44	1.45
-1.25	2.19	1.56
-1	1.92	1.77
-0.75	1.70	1.97
-0.5	1.57	2.23
-0.25	1.41	2.54

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	6.95	1.04
-2.5	4.30	1.15
-2	3.58	1.21
-1.75	2.83	1.33
0	1.25	3.30
+0.25	1.20	3.72
+1	1.02	7.70
+1.5	1.01	8.50

Next III Liga - Group 1 matches

24 Oct	Wisła Płock II – Ząbkovia Ząbki
24 Oct	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki – Lechia T. Mazowiecki
24 Oct	Olimpia Elbląg – Jagiellonia II
24 Oct	Olimpia Zambrów – Mławianka Mława
24 Oct	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – ŁKS Łódź II
24 Oct	Wigry Suwałki – Weszlo

All III Liga - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 1 results

21 Oct	Widzew II 0-1 Warta Sieradz
18 Oct	Weszlo 3-2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
18 Oct	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-1 Widzew II
18 Oct	Jagiellonia II 1-3 Swit
17 Oct	Warta Sieradz 2-1 Wisła Płock II
17 Oct	Mławianka Mława 3-2 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.