Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#121.4:2.60-1FTToday1.6:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.55DAFX3.90BFR22.55DAFMargin at best4.1%Books9Markets40Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.55	3.40	2.55	7.8%
BetVictor	2.50	3.40	2.50	9.4%
1xBet	2.45	3.35	2.50	10.7%
Betfair	2.30	3.90	2.40	10.8%
Betano	2.42	3.40	2.47	11.2%
Bet365	2.30	3.70	2.40	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.44	3.25	2.47	12.2%
Pinnacle	2.44	3.12	2.50	13.0%
William Hill	2.45	3.10	2.50	13.1%
Best of all books	2.55	3.90	2.55	4.1%
Average	2.43	3.40	2.48	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Widzew IIWarta Sieradz

Last 10#12Table position#91.25Points per game1.502Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.62.6Goals against · last 51.647Attack rating5338Defence rating6220Form rating8050H2H rating5037Goals model6339Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 19:01 UTC

Widzew II

3W 2D 5L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against

18 Oct	A	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Weszlo	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Pelikan Łowicz	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Wigry Suwałki	3-6	L
15 Sep	H	Polonia Bytom	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	2-3	L
6 Sep	H	Wisła Płock II	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Olimpia Zambrów	4-3	W
23 Aug	H	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	4-1	W
19 Aug	A	Olimpia Elbląg	2-0	W

Warta Sieradz

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	H	Wisła Płock II	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Wigry Suwałki	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Olimpia Zambrów	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Olimpia Elbląg	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Swit	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Ząbkovia Ząbki	0-4	L
19 Aug	A	Troszyn	4-1	W
15 Aug	H	Jagiellonia II	2-2	D

Head to head

1Widzew II wins

0draws

1Warta Sieradz wins

2 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Widzew II

20 Mar 2026III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz1-2Widzew II
31 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Widzew II1-3Warta Sieradz

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 20 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Widzew II sit 12th with 15 points from 12 games, while Warta Sieradz are 9th with 18 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	13	10	2	1	29:12	+17	32
2	Wigry Suwałki	13	8	4	1	26:12	+14	28
3	Swit	13	7	2	4	25:20	+5	23
4	Pelikan Łowicz	13	7	2	4	22:18	+4	23
5	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	13	6	3	4	30:25	+5	21
6	Wisła Płock II	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
7	Ząbkovia Ząbki	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
8	Olimpia Zambrów	13	6	2	5	28:27	+1	20
9	Warta Sieradz	12	5	3	4	21:20	+1	18
10	Olimpia Elbląg	13	5	2	6	19:22	-3	17
11	Jagiellonia II	13	4	4	5	25:26	-1	16
12	Widzew II	12	4	3	5	22:21	+1	15
13	ŁKS Łódź II	13	4	3	6	24:25	-1	15
14	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	13	4	2	7	22:27	-5	14
15	Mławianka Mława	13	4	1	8	26:36	-10	13
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	13	3	3	7	21:27	-6	12
17	Troszyn	13	2	5	6	15:27	-12	11
18	Łomża	13	0	3	10	12:30	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.43X27%3.40236%2.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.36 → 2.43 +3.0%X3.74 → 3.40 -9.1%22.38 → 2.48 +4.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
1xBet	1.70	2.02	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.68	2.03	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
BetVictor	1.67	2.03	9.1%
Betano	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.30	2.3%
Average	1.66	2.07	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.60	2.22	7.5%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.24	10.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.55	2.25	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Widzew II 10%Draw 45%Warta Sieradz 45%

The statistical model rated Widzew II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Warta Sieradz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.43 | 3.40 | 2.48, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Widzew II are 12th (15 pts, 22-21 goals), Warta Sieradz 9th (18 pts, 21-20).

Over their last five matches, Widzew II averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Warta Sieradz averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Warta Sieradz.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.43	3.40	2.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.46	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.83	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
2.92	2.26	2.99

2nd half

1	X	2
2.71	2.52	2.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.73	13.7	24.3
HT X	6.20	6.30	6.40
HT 2	23.7	13.7	3.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.91	14.1	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.00
1.5	1.20	3.97
2.5	1.66	2.07
3.5	2.62	1.41
4.5	4.83	1.13
5.5	9.00	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	7.40
1.75	1.19	3.83
2	1.30	3.08
2.25	1.45	2.46
2.75	1.79	1.89
3	2.08	1.63
3.25	2.27	1.52
3.75	2.85	1.33
4	4.00	1.19

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.84	1.33
-0.5	2.42	1.47
-0.25	2.11	1.61
0	1.84	1.86
+0.25	1.59	2.14
+0.5	1.45	2.47

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.04
-2	8.25	1.05
-1.5	4.60	1.14
-1.25	4.40	1.14
-1	3.85	1.19
+0.75	1.32	2.87
+1	1.19	3.90
+1.25	1.16	4.16
+1.5	1.13	4.68
+2	1.05	8.15

Latest III Liga - Group 1 results

18 Oct	Weszlo 3-2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
18 Oct	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-1 Widzew II
18 Oct	Jagiellonia II 1-3 Swit
17 Oct	Warta Sieradz 2-1 Wisła Płock II
17 Oct	Pelikan Łowicz 1-4 Wigry Suwałki
17 Oct	Mławianka Mława 3-2 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.