Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#92.0:1.62-1FTToday1.6:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00B365X3.70BVC23.121XBMargin at best9.1%Books5Markets42Rating42 · 59Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.00	3.70	3.10	9.3%
1xBet	1.97	3.56	3.12	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.60	3.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	3.56	3.04	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.95	3.49	3.07	12.5%
Best of all books	2.00	3.70	3.12	9.1%
Average	1.97	3.58	3.07	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Warta SieradzWisła Płock II

Last 10#9Table position#51.50Points per game1.628Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 51.656Attack rating4450Defence rating5053Form rating4720H2H rating8040Goals model6042Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:50 UTC

Warta Sieradz

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

9 Oct	H	Wigry Suwałki	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Olimpia Zambrów	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Olimpia Elbląg	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Swit	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Ząbkovia Ząbki	0-4	L
19 Aug	A	Troszyn	4-1	W
15 Aug	H	Jagiellonia II	2-2	D
9 Aug	A	ŁKS Łódź II	1-0	W

Wisła Płock II

4W 2D 4L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	H	Troszyn	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Wigry Suwałki	0-1	L
25 Sep	H	Jagiellonia II	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	ŁKS Łódź II	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Widzew II	2-0	W
1 Sep	H	Puszcza Niepołomice	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Mławianka Mława	5-3	W
23 Aug	A	Olimpia Zambrów	3-4	L
19 Aug	H	Łomża	1-1	D

Head to head

0Warta Sieradz wins

2draws

2Wisła Płock II wins

4 meetings · goals 3:7 · last 4: 0W 2D 2L for Warta Sieradz

13 May 2026III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz1-1Wisła Płock II
25 Oct 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Wisła Płock II2-1Warta Sieradz
30 Mar 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Wisła Płock II3-0Warta Sieradz
31 Aug 2024III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz1-1Wisła Płock II

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Warta Sieradz sit 9th with 18 points from 12 games, while Wisła Płock II are 5th with 21 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	12	9	2	1	26:10	+16	29
2	Wigry Suwałki	13	8	4	1	26:12	+14	28
3	Pelikan Łowicz	13	7	2	4	22:18	+4	23
4	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	12	6	3	3	28:22	+6	21
5	Wisła Płock II	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
6	Ząbkovia Ząbki	12	6	2	4	24:20	+4	20
7	Swit	12	6	2	4	22:19	+3	20
8	Olimpia Zambrów	13	6	2	5	28:27	+1	20
9	Warta Sieradz	12	5	3	4	21:20	+1	18
10	Olimpia Elbląg	13	5	2	6	19:22	-3	17
11	Jagiellonia II	12	4	4	4	24:23	+1	16
12	ŁKS Łódź II	13	4	3	6	24:25	-1	15
13	Widzew II	11	4	2	5	21:20	+1	14
14	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	12	4	1	7	21:26	-5	13
15	Mławianka Mława	13	4	1	8	26:36	-10	13
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	13	3	3	7	21:27	-6	12
17	Troszyn	12	2	4	6	14:26	-12	10
18	Łomża	13	0	3	10	12:30	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.97X25%3.58229%3.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.03 → 1.97 -3.0%X3.53 → 3.58 +1.4%22.96 → 3.07 +3.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
BetVictor	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.47	2.42	9.3%
1xBet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Best of all books	1.60	2.42	3.8%
Average	1.52	2.32	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.45	2.50	9.0%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.44	9.9%
Best of all books	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Average	1.45	2.48	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Warta Sieradz 10%Draw 45%Wisła Płock II 45%

The statistical model rated Warta Sieradz at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Wisła Płock II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.97 | 3.58 | 3.07, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Warta Sieradz are 9th (18 pts, 21-20 goals), Wisła Płock II 5th (21 pts, 25-21).

Over their last five matches, Warta Sieradz averaged 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Wisła Płock II averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Wisła Płock II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.97	3.58	3.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.66	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.48

1st half

1	X	2
2.48	2.33	3.54

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.70	3.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.10	13.0	27.5
HT X	5.55	6.40	7.45
HT 2	22.0	14.0	4.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	16.0	2.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	12.0
1.5	1.14	4.58
2.5	1.52	2.32
3.5	2.23	1.56
4.5	3.95	1.19
5.5	8.00	1.05

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.75	1.18	3.85
2	1.19	3.80
2.25	1.34	2.78
2.75	1.61	2.11
3	1.78	1.87
3.25	2.02	1.68
3.75	2.52	1.42
4	3.08	1.29
4.25	3.42	1.23
5	6.10	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.71	1.37
-0.75	2.24	1.54
-0.5	1.97	1.74
-0.25	1.75	1.95
0	1.51	2.33
+0.25	1.38	2.66

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.50	1.05
-2	5.80	1.07
-1.5	3.34	1.24
-1.25	3.01	1.29
+0.75	1.21	3.58
+1	1.10	5.10
+1.5	1.07	5.90