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Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Widzew II• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#141.2:2.41-1FT18/101.2:2.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38BVCX3.75B36522.50BVCMargin at best8.7%Books5Markets41Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor2.403.702.459.5%
Bet3652.303.752.4011.8%
1xBet2.343.552.4212.2%
Marathonbet2.343.552.4212.2%
Pinnacle2.353.392.4712.5%
Best of all books2.403.752.478.8%
Average2.353.592.4311.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lechia T. MazowieckiWidzew II
Last 10#14Table position#121.08Points per game1.253Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 52.850Attack rating5054Defence rating4675Form rating25100H2H rating051Goals model4963Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 18:51 UTC

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

4W 1D 5L · goals 19:22 · per match 1.9 for, 2.2 against

11 OctAOlimpia Zambrów0-3L
3 OctHPolonia Lidzbark Warm.1-2L
26 SepAOlimpia Elbląg2-1W
18 SepHSwit1-2L
11 SepAZąbkovia Ząbki2-4L
5 SepHTroszyn0-2L
29 AugAJagiellonia II1-1D
23 AugHŁKS Łódź II4-3W
19 AugAMławianka Mława3-2W
14 AugHŁomża5-2W

Widzew II

3W 2D 5L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against

18 OctALechia T. Mazowiecki1-1D
11 OctHWeszlo0-2L
3 OctAPelikan Łowicz1-1D
20 SepAWigry Suwałki3-6L
15 SepHPolonia Bytom1-2L
11 SepHMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2-3L
6 SepHWisła Płock II0-2L
30 AugAOlimpia Zambrów4-3W
23 AugHPolonia Lidzbark Warm.4-1W
19 AugAOlimpia Elbląg2-0W

Head to head

2Lechia T. Mazowiecki wins
0draws
0Widzew II wins

2 meetings · goals 5:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Lechia T. Mazowiecki

11 Apr 2026III Liga - Group 1III Liga - Group 1Lechia T. Mazowiecki3-1Widzew II
21 Sep 2025III Liga - Group 1III Liga - Group 1Widzew II0-2Lechia T. Mazowiecki

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 20 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 14th with 14 points from 13 games, while Widzew II are 12th with 15 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Weszlo13102129:12+1732
2Wigry Suwałki1384126:12+1428
3Swit1372425:20+523
4Pelikan Łowicz1372422:18+423
5Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki1363430:25+521
6Wisła Płock II1363425:21+421
7Ząbkovia Ząbki1363425:21+421
8Olimpia Zambrów1362528:27+120
9Warta Sieradz1253421:20+118
10Olimpia Elbląg1352619:22-317
11Jagiellonia II1344525:26-116
12Widzew II1243522:21+115
13ŁKS Łódź II1343624:25-115
14Lechia T. Mazowiecki1342722:27-514
15Mławianka Mława1341826:36-1013
16Polonia Lidzbark Warm.1333721:27-612
17Troszyn1325615:27-1211
18Łomża13031012:30-183

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.35X25%3.59237%2.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 18:5018 Oct 00:301 2.34X 3.592 2.44
12.33 → 2.34 +0.4%X3.70 → 3.59 -3.0%22.37 → 2.44 +3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
Pinnacle1.412.599.5%
1xBet1.392.5910.6%
Marathonbet1.392.5910.6%
Best of all books1.442.706.5%
Average1.412.629.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
1xBet1.362.829.0%
Marathonbet1.362.759.9%
Best of all books1.362.888.3%
Average1.362.829.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lechia T. Mazowiecki 45%Draw 45%Widzew II 10%

The statistical model rated Lechia T. Mazowiecki at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Widzew II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 3.59 | 2.43, which imply roughly 42.6% for a Lechia T. Mazowiecki win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 14th (14 pts, 22-27 goals), Widzew II 12th (15 pts, 22-21).

Over their last five matches, Lechia T. Mazowiecki averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Widzew II averaged 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Lechia T. Mazowiecki or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.353.592.43

Double chance

1XX212
1.431.461.19

Draw no bet

12
1.831.87

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.362.82

1st half

1X2
2.782.392.93

2nd half

1X2
2.592.762.66

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6313.022.5
HT X6.457.056.45
HT 222.514.03.70

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8419.41.90

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.5
1.51.144.95
2.51.412.62
3.52.021.68
4.53.331.26
5.56.431.09
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.50
21.134.50
2.251.273.14
2.751.492.33
31.622.09
3.251.831.84
3.752.271.53
42.671.37
4.252.921.31
55.001.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.701.37
-0.52.341.51
-0.252.061.64
01.821.88
+0.251.602.13
+0.51.472.42
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.301.05
-27.301.03
-1.54.201.16
-1.253.841.18
-13.481.22
+0.751.332.83
+11.213.58
+1.251.173.94
+1.51.144.35
+21.027.80

Latest III Liga - Group 1 results

21 OctWidzew II 0-1 Warta Sieradz
18 OctWeszlo 3-2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
18 OctJagiellonia II 1-3 Swit
17 OctWarta Sieradz 2-1 Wisła Płock II
17 OctPelikan Łowicz 1-4 Wigry Suwałki
17 OctMławianka Mława 3-2 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.