Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#51.4:2.411:00Today1.0:1.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.74DAFX4.20BVC24.20BVCMargin at best5.1%Books7Markets43Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.74	4.00	3.95	7.8%
BetVictor	1.62	4.20	4.20	9.3%
1xBet	1.61	4.05	4.14	11.0%
Betano	1.72	3.80	3.75	11.1%
Bet365	1.65	4.00	3.80	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.59	4.05	4.05	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.61	3.99	3.96	12.4%
Best of all books	1.74	4.20	4.20	5.1%
Average	1.65	4.01	3.98	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiLechia T. Mazowiecki

Last 10#5Table position#141.62Points per game1.084Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.02.4Goals against · last 51.858Attack rating4243Defence rating5750Form rating500H2H rating060Goals model4053Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

4W 3D 3L · goals 21:19 · per match 2.1 for, 1.9 against

18 Oct	A	Weszlo	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Pelikan Łowicz	1-4	L
3 Oct	A	Warta Sieradz	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Wigry Suwałki	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Wisła Płock II	3-2	W
11 Sep	A	Widzew II	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Olimpia Zambrów	5-0	W
29 Aug	A	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Olimpia Elbląg	2-2	D
19 Aug	A	Swit	2-1	W

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

18 Oct	H	Widzew II	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Olimpia Zambrów	0-3	L
3 Oct	H	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Olimpia Elbląg	2-1	W
18 Sep	H	Swit	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Ząbkovia Ząbki	2-4	L
5 Sep	H	Troszyn	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Jagiellonia II	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	ŁKS Łódź II	4-3	W
19 Aug	A	Mławianka Mława	3-2	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki and Lechia T. Mazowiecki on record.

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 5th with 21 points from 13 games, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 14th with 14 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	13	10	2	1	29:12	+17	32
2	Wigry Suwałki	13	8	4	1	26:12	+14	28
3	Swit	13	7	2	4	25:20	+5	23
4	Pelikan Łowicz	13	7	2	4	22:18	+4	23
5	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	13	6	3	4	30:25	+5	21
6	Wisła Płock II	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
7	Ząbkovia Ząbki	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
8	Warta Sieradz	13	6	3	4	22:20	+2	21
9	Olimpia Zambrów	13	6	2	5	28:27	+1	20
10	Olimpia Elbląg	13	5	2	6	19:22	-3	17
11	Jagiellonia II	13	4	4	5	25:26	-1	16
12	Widzew II	13	4	3	6	22:22	0	15
13	ŁKS Łódź II	13	4	3	6	24:25	-1	15
14	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	13	4	2	7	22:27	-5	14
15	Mławianka Mława	13	4	1	8	26:36	-10	13
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	13	3	3	7	21:27	-6	12
17	Troszyn	13	2	5	6	15:27	-12	11
18	Łomża	13	0	3	10	12:30	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.65X23%4.01223%3.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.74 → 1.65 -5.2%X3.87 → 4.01 +3.6%23.69 → 3.98 +7.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.36	2.90	8.0%
1xBet	1.35	2.74	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.35	2.74	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.90	3.9%
Average	1.38	2.75	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.40	2.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.60	9.9%
Best of all books	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Average	1.40	2.67	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 45%Draw 45%Lechia T. Mazowiecki 10%

The statistical model rates Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lechia T. Mazowiecki at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 4.01 | 3.98, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki are 5th (21 pts, 30-25 goals), Lechia T. Mazowiecki 14th (14 pts, 22-27).

Over their last five matches, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Lechia T. Mazowiecki averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	4.01	3.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.02	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.67

1st half

1	X	2
2.11	2.50	4.10

2nd half

1	X	2
1.92	2.94	3.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.52	13.7	31.3
HT X	4.90	7.13	9.22
HT 2	19.0	14.8	6.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	21.5	2.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.09	6.13
2.5	1.38	2.75
3.5	1.92	1.76
4.5	3.05	1.30
5.5	5.50	1.11

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.11	4.90
2.25	1.23	3.42
2.75	1.44	2.48
3	1.55	2.20
3.25	1.72	1.95
3.75	2.13	1.60
4	2.47	1.44
4.25	2.73	1.36
5	4.65	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.45	1.44
-1.25	2.24	1.54
-1	1.99	1.70
-0.75	1.76	1.93
-0.5	1.62	2.09
-0.25	1.43	2.50

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	7.50	1.03
-2.5	4.40	1.14
-2	3.74	1.19
-1.75	2.92	1.31
0	1.27	3.15
+0.25	1.22	3.50
+1	1.04	7.10
+1.5	1.03	7.40

Next III Liga - Group 1 matches

24 Oct	Wisła Płock II – Ząbkovia Ząbki
24 Oct	Swit – Troszyn
24 Oct	Olimpia Elbląg – Jagiellonia II
24 Oct	Olimpia Zambrów – Mławianka Mława
24 Oct	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – ŁKS Łódź II
24 Oct	Wigry Suwałki – Weszlo

All III Liga - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 1 results

21 Oct	Widzew II 0-1 Warta Sieradz
18 Oct	Weszlo 3-2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
18 Oct	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-1 Widzew II
18 Oct	Jagiellonia II 1-3 Swit
17 Oct	Warta Sieradz 2-1 Wisła Płock II
17 Oct	Mławianka Mława 3-2 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.