Jagiellonia II vs Swit• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#112.4:2.41-3FT18/102.4:2.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.23PINX3.80B36522.70B365Margin at best8.2%Books5Markets41Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L54.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.20	3.70	2.70	9.5%
1xBet	2.20	3.54	2.68	11.0%
Bet365	2.05	3.80	2.70	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.18	3.54	2.62	12.3%
Pinnacle	2.23	3.40	2.61	12.6%
Best of all books	2.23	3.80	2.70	8.2%
Average	2.17	3.60	2.66	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jagiellonia IISwit

Last 10#11Table position#31.23Points per game1.774Form pts · last 592.4Goals for · last 52.42.4Goals against · last 52.250Attack rating5048Defence rating5231Form rating6960H2H rating4054Goals model4651Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 18:51 UTC

Jagiellonia II

3W 3D 4L · goals 20:20 · per match 2.0 for, 2.0 against

14 Oct	H	Troszyn	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Ząbkovia Ząbki	2-2	D
25 Sep	A	Wisła Płock II	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	ŁKS Łódź II	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Mławianka Mława	7-4	W
5 Sep	A	Łomża	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Weszlo	0-4	L
19 Aug	H	Pelikan Łowicz	3-0	W
15 Aug	A	Warta Sieradz	2-2	D

Swit

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	H	ŁKS Łódź II	2-7	L
3 Oct	A	Mławianka Mława	4-2	W
25 Sep	H	Łomża	4-0	W
18 Sep	A	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Weszlo	0-1	L
4 Sep	A	Pelikan Łowicz	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Warta Sieradz	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Wigry Suwałki	0-0	D
19 Aug	H	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	1-2	L
15 Aug	A	Widzew II	0-0	D

Head to head

7Jagiellonia II wins

1draws

5Swit wins

13 meetings · goals 29:18 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Jagiellonia II

11 Apr 2026III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Jagiellonia II5-1Swit
20 Sep 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Swit3-2Jagiellonia II
23 Nov 2024III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Jagiellonia II5-2Swit
3 Aug 2024III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Swit1-0Jagiellonia II
17 Mar 2024III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Jagiellonia II1-0Swit
23 Aug 2023III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Swit2-2Jagiellonia II
3 Jun 2023III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Swit2-3Jagiellonia II
6 Nov 2022III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Jagiellonia II4-1Swit
16 Apr 2022III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Swit1-3Jagiellonia II
8 Sep 2021III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Jagiellonia II0-1Swit

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 20 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Jagiellonia II sit 11th with 16 points from 13 games, while Swit are 3rd with 23 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	13	10	2	1	29:12	+17	32
2	Wigry Suwałki	13	8	4	1	26:12	+14	28
3	Swit	13	7	2	4	25:20	+5	23
4	Pelikan Łowicz	13	7	2	4	22:18	+4	23
5	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	13	6	3	4	30:25	+5	21
6	Wisła Płock II	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
7	Ząbkovia Ząbki	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
8	Olimpia Zambrów	13	6	2	5	28:27	+1	20
9	Warta Sieradz	12	5	3	4	21:20	+1	18
10	Olimpia Elbląg	13	5	2	6	19:22	-3	17
11	Jagiellonia II	13	4	4	5	25:26	-1	16
12	Widzew II	12	4	3	5	22:21	+1	15
13	ŁKS Łódź II	13	4	3	6	24:25	-1	15
14	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	13	4	2	7	22:27	-5	14
15	Mławianka Mława	13	4	1	8	26:36	-10	13
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	13	3	3	7	21:27	-6	12
17	Troszyn	13	2	5	6	15:27	-12	11
18	Łomża	13	0	3	10	12:30	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.17X25%3.60234%2.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.06 → 2.17 +5.3%X3.75 → 3.60 -4.0%22.73 → 2.66 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Pinnacle	1.43	2.52	9.6%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.60	5.1%
Average	1.44	2.53	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.38	2.74	9.0%
BetVictor	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.67	9.9%
Best of all books	1.38	2.80	8.2%
Average	1.37	2.74	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jagiellonia II 45%Draw 45%Swit 10%

The statistical model rated Jagiellonia II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Swit at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.17 | 3.60 | 2.66, which imply roughly 46.1% for a Jagiellonia II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Jagiellonia II are 11th (16 pts, 25-26 goals), Swit 3rd (23 pts, 25-20).

Over their last five matches, Jagiellonia II averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Swit averaged 2.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Jagiellonia II or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.17	3.60	2.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.55	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.37	2.74

1st half

1	X	2
2.65	2.39	3.17

2nd half

1	X	2
2.45	2.77	2.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.20	14.5	25.0
HT X	5.80	6.95	7.25
HT 2	21.5	14.5	4.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	19.0	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.5
1.5	1.12	5.30
2.5	1.44	2.53
3.5	2.07	1.65
4.5	3.39	1.25
5.5	6.43	1.08

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
2	1.14	4.33
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.52	2.28
3	1.65	2.04
3.25	1.86	1.81
3.75	2.31	1.50
4	2.74	1.35
4.25	3.05	1.29
5	5.20	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.52	1.42
-0.5	2.20	1.58
-0.25	1.94	1.76
0	1.68	2.01
+0.25	1.51	2.30
+0.5	1.41	2.57

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.65	1.06
-2	6.65	1.05
-1.5	3.84	1.18
-1.25	3.50	1.22
-1	3.15	1.27
+0.75	1.28	3.08
+1	1.16	4.10
+1.5	1.11	4.85
+2	1.01	8.70

Latest III Liga - Group 1 results

18 Oct	Weszlo 3-2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
18 Oct	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-1 Widzew II
17 Oct	Warta Sieradz 2-1 Wisła Płock II
17 Oct	Pelikan Łowicz 1-4 Wigry Suwałki
17 Oct	Mławianka Mława 3-2 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
17 Oct	Łomża 0-2 Olimpia Zambrów