Olimpia Elbląg vs Jagiellonia II• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#101.4:1.212:00Today · Stadion Miejski, Elblag1.2:2.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.44DAFX3.55DAF22.60BVCMargin at best7.6%Books6Markets38Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.44	3.55	2.55	8.4%
BetVictor	2.38	3.50	2.60	9.0%
Betano	2.35	3.40	2.55	11.2%
1xBet	2.28	3.50	2.51	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.28	3.50	2.51	12.3%
Pinnacle	2.33	3.27	2.57	12.4%
Best of all books	2.44	3.55	2.60	7.6%
Average	2.34	3.45	2.55	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Olimpia ElblągJagiellonia II

Last 10#10Table position#111.31Points per game1.237Form pts · last 511.4Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 52.254Attack rating4665Defence rating3588Form rating1350H2H rating5051Goals model4960Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 07:01 UTC

Olimpia Elbląg

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	ŁKS Łódź II	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Mławianka Mława	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Łomża	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Weszlo	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Pelikan Łowicz	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Warta Sieradz	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Wigry Suwałki	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	2-2	D
19 Aug	H	Widzew II	0-2	L

Jagiellonia II

3W 2D 5L · goals 19:21 · per match 1.9 for, 2.1 against

18 Oct	H	Swit	1-3	L
14 Oct	H	Troszyn	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Ząbkovia Ząbki	2-2	D
25 Sep	A	Wisła Płock II	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	ŁKS Łódź II	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Mławianka Mława	7-4	W
5 Sep	A	Łomża	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Weszlo	0-4	L
19 Aug	H	Pelikan Łowicz	3-0	W

Head to head

1Olimpia Elbląg wins

0draws

1Jagiellonia II wins

2 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Olimpia Elbląg

7 Mar 2026III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Jagiellonia II3-1Olimpia Elbląg
23 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Olimpia Elbląg2-0Jagiellonia II

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Olimpia Elbląg sit 10th with 17 points from 13 games, while Jagiellonia II are 11th with 16 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	13	10	2	1	29:12	+17	32
2	Wigry Suwałki	13	8	4	1	26:12	+14	28
3	Swit	13	7	2	4	25:20	+5	23
4	Pelikan Łowicz	13	7	2	4	22:18	+4	23
5	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	13	6	3	4	30:25	+5	21
6	Wisła Płock II	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
7	Ząbkovia Ząbki	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
8	Warta Sieradz	13	6	3	4	22:20	+2	21
9	Olimpia Zambrów	13	6	2	5	28:27	+1	20
10	Olimpia Elbląg	13	5	2	6	19:22	-3	17
11	Jagiellonia II	13	4	4	5	25:26	-1	16
12	Widzew II	13	4	3	6	22:22	0	15
13	ŁKS Łódź II	13	4	3	6	24:25	-1	15
14	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	13	4	2	7	22:27	-5	14
15	Mławianka Mława	13	4	1	8	26:36	-10	13
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	13	3	3	7	21:27	-6	12
17	Troszyn	13	2	5	6	15:27	-12	11
18	Łomża	13	0	3	10	12:30	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.34X26%3.45235%2.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.54	2.24	9.6%
Best of all books	1.55	2.29	8.2%
Average	1.54	2.27	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
1xBet	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.44	9.9%
Best of all books	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Average	1.45	2.50	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Olimpia Elbląg 45%Draw 45%Jagiellonia II 10%

The statistical model rates Olimpia Elbląg at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Jagiellonia II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.45 | 2.55, which imply roughly 42.7% for a Olimpia Elbląg win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Olimpia Elbląg are 10th (17 pts, 19-22 goals), Jagiellonia II 11th (16 pts, 25-26).

Over their last five matches, Olimpia Elbląg averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Jagiellonia II averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Olimpia Elbląg or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.34	3.45	2.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.47	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.77	1.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.50

1st half

1	X	2
2.78	2.28	3.04

2nd half

1	X	2
2.59	2.64	2.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.73	12.5	25.0
HT X	6.10	5.80	6.55
HT 2	24.5	13.0	4.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	17.3	1.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.14	4.62
2.5	1.54	2.27
3.5	2.29	1.51
4.5	4.14	1.17
5.5	7.50	1.06

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.16	4.15
2	1.20	3.70
2.25	1.37	2.70
2.75	1.66	2.04
3	1.84	1.81
3.25	2.09	1.62
3.75	2.69	1.37
4	3.34	1.24

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.68	1.38
-0.5	2.30	1.52
-0.25	2.02	1.67
0	1.76	1.92
+0.25	1.55	2.22
+0.5	1.44	2.53

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.01
-2	8.10	1.02
-1.5	4.30	1.14
-1.25	3.92	1.18
-1	3.50	1.22
+0.75	1.30	2.98
+1	1.16	4.10
+1.5	1.11	4.90

Next III Liga - Group 1 matches

24 Oct	Wisła Płock II – Ząbkovia Ząbki
24 Oct	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki – Lechia T. Mazowiecki
24 Oct	Swit – Troszyn
24 Oct	Olimpia Zambrów – Mławianka Mława
24 Oct	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – ŁKS Łódź II
24 Oct	Wigry Suwałki – Weszlo

All III Liga - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 1 results

21 Oct	Widzew II 0-1 Warta Sieradz
18 Oct	Weszlo 3-2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
18 Oct	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-1 Widzew II
18 Oct	Jagiellonia II 1-3 Swit
17 Oct	Warta Sieradz 2-1 Wisła Płock II
17 Oct	Pelikan Łowicz 1-4 Wigry Suwałki