Northampton vs Tranmere• League Two, England

#220.8:0.818:45Today · Sixfields Stadium, Northampton1.0:1.6#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.33DAFX3.40BFR23.23PINMargin at best3.3%Books10Markets73Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.28	3.29	3.27	4.8%
Dafabet	2.33	3.30	3.10	5.5%
Betfair	2.30	3.30	3.10	6.0%
BetVictor	2.25	3.25	3.20	6.5%
Betano	2.27	3.20	3.15	7.0%
Bet365	2.25	3.25	3.10	7.5%
1xBet	2.23	3.22	3.12	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.21	3.22	3.10	8.6%
William Hill	2.25	3.10	3.10	9.0%
SBO	2.14	3.04	2.98	13.2%
Best of all books	2.33	3.30	3.27	3.8%
Average	2.25	3.22	3.12	7.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NorthamptonTranmere

Last 10#22Table position#171.11Points per game1.094Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.644Attack rating5667Defence rating3370Form rating3093H2H rating754Goals model4667Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 17:20 UTC

Northampton

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	A	Grimsby	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	York	1-1	D
6 Oct	A	Cambridge United	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Rotherham	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Shrewsbury	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Newport County	1-0	W
1 Sep	H	Crawley Town	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Gillingham	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Crewe	0-1	L
18 Aug	H	Brighton U21	0-3	L

Tranmere

2W 5D 3L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	Barnet	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	Rochdale	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Chesterfield	2-4	L
26 Sep	H	Walsall	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Shrewsbury	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Exeter City	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Gillingham	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Oldham	2-0	W
1 Sep	H	Rotherham	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Newport County	2-2	D

Head to head

5Northampton wins

2draws

1Tranmere wins

8 meetings · goals 11:6 · last 8: 5W 2D 1L for Northampton

8 May 2023League Two	League Two	Tranmere0-1Northampton
3 Dec 2022League Two	League Two	Northampton0-0Tranmere
5 Mar 2022League Two	League Two	Northampton3-2Tranmere
23 Oct 2021League Two	League Two	Tranmere0-2Northampton
5 Feb 2019League Two	League Two	Tranmere1-2Northampton
1 Sep 2018League Two	League Two	Northampton1-1Tranmere
14 Mar 2015League Two	League Two	Northampton1-0Tranmere
28 Dec 2014League Two	League Two	Tranmere2-1Northampton

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the League Two table, Northampton sit 22nd with 10 points from 9 games, while Tranmere are 17th with 12 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17:11	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22:12	+10	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15:9	+6	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18:12	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13:7	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16:13	+3	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15:18	-3	15
10	Accrington ST	11	3	5	3	16:15	+1	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14:13	+1	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12:11	+1	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10:15	-5	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13:13	0	13
16	Exeter City	11	3	4	4	6:6	0	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14:15	-1	12
18	Swindon Town	11	3	3	5	10:15	-5	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10:13	-3	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5:9	-4	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12:18	-6	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9:17	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.26X29%3.22230%3.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.13 → 2.26 +6.1%X3.25 → 3.22 -0.9%23.15 → 3.08 -2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.18	1.70	4.7%
SBO	2.17	1.69	5.3%
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Betano	2.12	1.70	6.0%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
1xBet	2.08	1.69	7.2%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.69	7.2%
BetVictor	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Best of all books	2.18	1.73	3.7%
Average	2.11	1.70	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.83	1.87	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.87	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.88	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.86	8.7%
Best of all books	1.83	2.00	4.6%
Average	1.82	1.90	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Northampton 45%Draw 45%Tranmere 10%

The statistical model rates Northampton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tranmere at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.26 | 3.22 | 3.08, which imply roughly 44.2% for a Northampton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Northampton are 22nd (10 pts, 6-7 goals), Tranmere 17th (12 pts, 14-15).

Over their last five matches, Northampton averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Tranmere averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Northampton or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.25	3.22	3.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.59	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.61	2.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
2.85	2.07	3.73

2nd half

1	X	2
2.60	2.35	3.37

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.56	13.7	34.4
HT X	5.37	4.79	6.98
HT 2	28.2	14.3	5.09

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	8.85	2.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.30
1.5	1.35	2.98
2.5	2.11	1.70
3.5	3.73	1.24
4.5	7.45	1.06
5.5	15.8	1.02
6.5	31.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.80
1.25	1.18	3.92
1.75	1.42	2.60
2	1.58	2.25
2.25	1.85	1.90
2.75	2.39	1.50
3	2.86	1.36
3.25	3.17	1.28
3.75	4.55	1.13
4	6.40	1.05
4.25	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.64	1.43
-0.5	2.24	1.62
-0.25	1.93	1.84
0	1.60	2.25
+0.25	1.43	2.64
+0.5	1.34	3.11

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.17	1.02
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.75	5.76	1.10
-1.5	4.39	1.16
-1.25	4.00	1.21
-1	3.54	1.25
+0.75	1.21	3.90
+1	1.10	5.77
+1.25	1.08	6.37
+1.5	1.07	6.75
+1.75	1.01	9.00
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.88
7.5	1.27	3.26
8.5	1.53	2.33
9.5	1.91	1.83
10.5	2.45	1.48
11.5	3.31	1.26
12.5	4.90	1.09

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.11	4.65
7	1.12	4.42
7.25	1.20	3.62
7.75	1.31	2.97
8	1.35	2.80
8.25	1.45	2.48
8.75	1.62	2.15
9	1.69	2.05
9.25	1.81	1.89
9.75	2.04	1.69
10	2.20	1.60
10.25	2.33	1.52
10.75	2.70	1.38
11	3.04	1.30
11.25	3.20	1.26
11.75	3.82	1.18
12	4.52	1.12
12.25	4.71	1.10
12.75	5.78	1.05
13	7.21	1.01

Next League Two matches

20 Oct	Bristol Rovers – Salford City
20 Oct	Crawley Town – Shrewsbury
20 Oct	Exeter City – Crewe
20 Oct	Barnet – Swindon Town
20 Oct	Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town
20 Oct	Chesterfield – Colchester

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

17 Oct	Colchester 0-0 Exeter City
17 Oct	Crewe 3-2 Rochdale
17 Oct	Port Vale 1-0 Chesterfield
17 Oct	Salford City 2-1 Crawley Town
17 Oct	Newport County 1-1 York
17 Oct	Oldham 4-1 Cheltenham