Colchester vs Exeter City• League Two, England

#201.0:1.60-0FT17/10 · Colchester Community Stadium, Colchester0.4:0.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.18PINX3.47PIN23.40B365Margin at best4.1%Books6Markets79Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.20	3.38	3.35	4.9%
BetVictor	2.15	3.40	3.30	6.2%
Bet365	2.10	3.30	3.40	7.3%
1xBet	2.13	3.35	3.20	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.11	3.35	3.18	8.7%
William Hill	2.15	3.10	3.20	10.0%
Best of all books	2.20	3.40	3.40	4.3%
Average	2.14	3.31	3.27	7.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ColchesterExeter City

Last 10#20Table position#161.10Points per game1.183Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 50.41.6Goals against · last 50.471Attack rating2920Defence rating8030Form rating7020H2H rating8073Goals model2741Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 17:20 UTC

Colchester

1W 5D 4L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	Exeter City	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Newport County	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Luton	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Shrewsbury	2-2	D
22 Sep	A	Peterborough	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Cheltenham	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Crewe	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Swindon Town	1-3	L
1 Sep	A	Bristol Rovers	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Rochdale	1-0	W

Exeter City

3W 5D 2L · goals 8:6 · per match 0.8 for, 0.6 against

17 Oct	A	Colchester	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Shrewsbury	1-0	W
6 Oct	H	Oxford United	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Rotherham	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Bristol Rovers	0-1	L
22 Sep	A	Cheltenham	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Tranmere	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Port Vale	0-1	L
8 Sep	H	Tottenham Hotspur U21	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Walsall	0-0	D

Head to head

4Colchester wins

4draws

8Exeter City wins

16 meetings · goals 18:29 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Colchester

15 Apr 2022League Two	League Two	Exeter City2-0Colchester
23 Nov 2021League Two	League Two	Colchester3-1Exeter City
23 Feb 2021League Two	League Two	Colchester1-2Exeter City
24 Nov 2020League Two	League Two	Exeter City6-1Colchester
22 Jun 2020League Two	League Two	Exeter City3-1Colchester
18 Jun 2020League Two	League Two	Colchester1-0Exeter City
25 Jan 2020League Two	League Two	Exeter City0-0Colchester
29 Dec 2019League Two	League Two	Colchester2-2Exeter City
16 Mar 2019League Two	League Two	Exeter City3-0Colchester
24 Nov 2018League Two	League Two	Colchester1-1Exeter City

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the League Two table, Colchester sit 20th with 11 points from 10 games, while Exeter City are 16th with 13 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17:11	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22:12	+10	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15:9	+6	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18:12	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13:7	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16:13	+3	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15:18	-3	15
10	Accrington ST	11	3	5	3	16:15	+1	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14:13	+1	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12:11	+1	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10:15	-5	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13:13	0	13
16	Exeter City	11	3	4	4	6:6	0	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14:15	-1	12
18	Swindon Town	11	3	3	5	10:15	-5	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10:13	-3	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5:9	-4	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12:18	-6	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9:17	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.14X28%3.31228%3.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.02 → 2.13 +5.4%X3.46 → 3.34 -3.5%23.28 → 3.27 -0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.11	1.74	4.9%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	1.99	1.75	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.75	7.4%
BetVictor	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.11	1.80	2.9%
Average	2.01	1.75	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.78	1.93	8.0%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.90	8.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.78	1.93	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Colchester 10%Draw 45%Exeter City 45%

The statistical model rated Colchester at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Exeter City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.31 | 3.27, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Colchester are 20th (11 pts, 10-13 goals), Exeter City 16th (13 pts, 6-6).

Over their last five matches, Colchester averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Exeter City averaged 0.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Exeter City and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Colchester

4-2-3-1

Coach: D. Cowley

Goalkeeper

22T. Lo-Tutala

Defence

2R. Hunt
5J. Tucker
24F. Terry
3E. Iandolo

Midfield

6P. Digby
26J. Williams
27O. Thorn
12M. Sesay
15B. Lubala

Attack

9B. Ihionvien

Substitutes (7)

44S. Kuffour
4Ben Perry
31Oscar Roberts
30K. Vincent-Young
47R. Harvey
39K. Connelly
11L. Chiwome

Exeter City

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Taylor

Goalkeeper

1J. Bycroft

Defence

2L. Samuel
6J. Taylor
5J. Fitzwater
3L. Woodhouse

Midfield

31J. Doyle-Hayes
16C. Cummins
25A. Scully
8T. Perry
20George Birch

Attack

10J. Gordon

Substitutes (7)

19S. Cox
12R. Cole
24V. Harper
40E. James
18Liam Oakes
22Frankie Phillips
23Ethan Sutherland

Match Statistics

ColchesterExeter City

277Passes accurate249

10Shots insidebox6

8Shots outsidebox2

11Blocked Shots5

10Free Kicks16

2Shots on Goal1

1Goalkeeper Saves2

5Shots off Goal2

4Offsides0

399Total passes364

18Total Shots8

2Yellow Cards2

5Corner Kicks2

16Fouls11

0Red Cards0

52%Ball Possession48%

1.22Expected Goals0.3

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.14	3.31	3.27

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.65	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.31

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
2.76	2.12	3.85

2nd half

1	X	2
2.51	2.36	3.49

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.31	14.3	37.0
HT X	5.33	4.97	7.37
HT 2	28.7	15.1	5.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	10.3	2.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.15
1.5	1.31	3.14
2.5	2.01	1.75
3.5	3.57	1.25
4.5	7.19	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02
6.5	31.5	1.01
7.5	50.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.15	4.30
1.75	1.38	2.74
2	1.51	2.37
2.25	1.77	1.96
2.75	2.29	1.55
3	2.77	1.38
3.25	3.08	1.29
3.75	4.40	1.14
4	6.25	1.06
4.25	6.70	1.05
4.75	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.28	1.29
-0.75	2.47	1.47
-0.5	2.12	1.69
-0.25	1.83	1.91
0	1.54	2.38
+0.25	1.39	2.79

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.85	1.03
-2.25	8.93	1.01
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.75	5.42	1.11
-1.5	4.10	1.18
-1.25	3.73	1.23
+0.5	1.31	3.32
+0.75	1.20	4.10
+1	1.08	6.27
+1.25	1.06	6.80
+1.5	1.05	7.13

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.13
7.5	1.25	3.30
8.5	1.50	2.37
9.5	1.86	1.85
10.5	2.37	1.50
11.5	3.18	1.27
12.5	4.64	1.11
13.5	7.17	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	4.89
7	1.11	4.66
7.25	1.18	3.79
7.75	1.28	3.09
8	1.32	2.92
8.25	1.42	2.57
8.75	1.58	2.21
9	1.65	2.11
9.25	1.77	1.94
9.75	1.98	1.73
10	2.13	1.65
10.25	2.26	1.55
10.75	2.60	1.41
11	2.91	1.32
11.25	3.06	1.29
11.75	3.64	1.20
12	4.27	1.14
12.25	4.46	1.12
12.75	5.45	1.07
13	6.73	1.02
13.25	6.95	1.02

Next League Two matches

20 Oct	Bristol Rovers – Salford City
20 Oct	Crawley Town – Shrewsbury
20 Oct	Northampton – Tranmere
20 Oct	Exeter City – Crewe
20 Oct	Barnet – Swindon Town
20 Oct	Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

17 Oct	Crewe 3-2 Rochdale
17 Oct	Port Vale 1-0 Chesterfield
17 Oct	Salford City 2-1 Crawley Town
17 Oct	Newport County 1-1 York
17 Oct	Oldham 4-1 Cheltenham
17 Oct	Grimsby 0-2 Northampton