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Barnet vs Swindon Town• League Two, England

#22.6:1.41-3FTToday · The Hive Stadium, London0.4:1.0#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50BTNX4.84PIN26.25B365Margin at best3.3%Books10Markets87Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:28 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.504.706.004.6%
Pinnacle1.474.846.085.1%
Bet3651.484.336.256.7%
BetVictor1.454.756.006.7%
Betano1.504.505.606.7%
Betfair1.444.606.007.9%
1xBet1.464.505.817.9%
Marathonbet1.454.505.758.6%
William Hill1.444.405.5010.4%
SBO1.444.195.1312.8%
Best of all books1.504.846.253.3%
Average1.464.535.817.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BarnetSwindon Town
Last 10#2Table position#182.33Points per game1.0913Form pts · last 522.6Goals for · last 50.41.4Goals against · last 51.087Attack rating1342Defence rating5887Form rating1350H2H rating50100Goals model066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:30 UTC

Barnet

6W 4D 0L · goals 24:12 · per match 2.4 for, 1.2 against

17 OctATranmere2-1W
10 OctABristol Rovers3-1W
6 OctAAFC Wimbledon0-0D
19 SepHFleetwood Town3-1W
12 SepHAccrington ST2-1W
5 SepAChesterfield3-3D
1 SepAExeter City1-1D
29 AugHCheltenham2-2D
22 AugAShrewsbury3-1W
18 AugHArsenal U215-1W

Swindon Town

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHWalsall1-1D
10 OctHCrewe0-1L
3 OctARochdale0-1L
26 SepHAccrington ST1-1D
22 SepHNewport County0-2L
19 SepASalford City0-1L
15 SepHCrystal Palace U211-2L
12 SepAYork0-4L
5 SepHColchester3-1W
1 SepHPort Vale3-1W

Head to head

2Barnet wins
1draws
5Swindon Town wins

8 meetings · goals 9:13 · last 8: 2W 1D 5L for Barnet

17 Feb 2026League TwoLeague TwoBarnet1-2Swindon Town
19 Aug 2025League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town0-2Barnet
1 Jan 2018League TwoLeague TwoBarnet1-2Swindon Town
2 Sep 2017League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town1-4Barnet
3 Apr 2012League TwoLeague TwoBarnet0-2Swindon Town
7 Feb 2012EFL TrophyEFL TrophySwindon Town1-0Barnet
10 Jan 2012EFL TrophyEFL TrophyBarnet1-1Swindon Town
24 Sep 2011League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town4-0Barnet

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the League Two table, Barnet sit 2nd with 21 points from 9 games, while Swindon Town are 18th with 12 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Salford City1171317:11+622
2Barnet963022:12+1021
3Crewe1156015:9+621
4York1044218:12+616
5Walsall1037013:7+616
6Gillingham1144316:13+316
7Chesterfield1143417:15+215
8Cheltenham1143417:20-315
9Bristol Rovers1150615:18-315
10Accrington ST1135316:15+114
11Newport County1135314:13+114
12Fleetwood Town1135312:11+114
13Rochdale1142513:15-214
14Shrewsbury1142510:15-514
15Grimsby1134413:13013
16Exeter City113446:6013
17Tranmere1126314:15-112
18Swindon Town1133510:15-512
19Oldham1032513:14-111
20Colchester1025310:13-311
21Port Vale93245:9-411
22Northampton92436:7-110
23Rotherham1124512:18-610
24Crawley Town91269:17-85

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.46X20%4.55216%5.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 00:0120 Oct 13:101 1.46X 4.532 5.81
11.61 → 1.46 -9.3%X4.00 → 4.53 +13.3%24.73 → 5.81 +22.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.482.665.2%
Betano1.522.505.8%
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.472.449.0%
1xBet1.442.4310.6%
Marathonbet1.442.4310.6%
Best of all books1.522.663.4%
Average1.472.517.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.306.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.602.198.2%
Betano1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.602.168.8%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.592.227.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Barnet 45%Draw 45%Swindon Town 10%

The statistical model rated Barnet at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Swindon Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 4.55 | 5.85, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Barnet win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Barnet are 2nd (21 pts, 22-12 goals), Swindon Town 18th (12 pts, 10-15).

Over their last five matches, Barnet averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Swindon Town averaged 0.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Barnet.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Barnet

4-2-3-1

Coach: Dean Brennan

Goalkeeper

  • 13M. Cox

Defence

  • 5A. Senior
  • 4D. Collinge
  • 6Z. Williams
  • 25N. Tavares

Midfield

  • 22O. Gallagher
  • 10N. Ofoborh
  • 14B. Comley
  • 8C. Lakin
  • 11I. Kanu

Attack

  • 20K. Tshimanga
Substitutes (5)
  • 17D. Ajayi
  • 30M. Kenlock
  • 36Anthony Haralambous
  • 7T. Knowles
  • 23J. Reeves

Swindon Town

4-3-3

Coach: Ian Holloway

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Ripley

Defence

  • 2M. Clark
  • 5S. Negru
  • 21K. Majekodunmi
  • 16S. Inwood

Midfield

  • 24M. Virtue-Thick
  • 25J. Thomson
  • 27A. Munda

Attack

  • 19J. Snowdon
  • 23A. Drinan
  • 34B. Kirkman
Substitutes (7)
  • 7T. Nichols
  • 39L. Millard
  • 15J. Hungbo
  • 29A. Hackford
  • 18J. Debayo
  • 6J. Ball
  • 12Lewis Moore Ward

Match Statistics

BarnetSwindon Town
3.42Expected Goals1.47
487Passes accurate121
19Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox2
5Blocked Shots2
6Free Kicks7
11Shots on Goal5
2Goalkeeper Saves11
6Shots off Goal4
1Offsides3
596Total passes232
22Total Shots11
14Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
7Fouls6
0Red Cards0
72%Ball Possession28%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.464.535.81

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.541.17

Draw no bet

12
1.184.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.592.22

1st half

1X2
1.912.535.36

2nd half

1X2
1.762.935.02

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1015.542.1
HT X4.497.4412.7
HT 218.616.59.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4218.92.86

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.8
1.51.135.32
2.51.472.51
3.52.211.62
4.53.701.24
5.56.751.08
6.513.11.03
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.5
1.251.066.20
1.751.134.50
21.164.05
2.251.322.90
2.751.572.24
31.742.00
3.251.971.78
3.752.481.47
42.921.32
4.253.201.26
4.754.301.15
55.651.08
5.255.901.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.551.45
-1.52.221.60
-1.251.981.77
-11.742.05
-0.751.552.31
-0.51.472.61
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.001.05
-36.431.07
-2.754.701.14
-2.53.771.22
-2.253.521.25
-23.211.30
-0.251.313.16
01.174.40
+0.251.134.92
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.057.08
+11.029.25
+1.51.0210.1

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.075.34
8.51.233.44
9.51.442.57
10.51.732.01
11.52.181.60
12.52.811.36
13.53.811.21
14.55.721.06
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.104.81
81.104.88
8.251.183.79
8.751.283.12
91.283.11
9.251.402.62
9.751.492.41
101.582.25
10.251.662.09
10.751.851.85
111.961.79
11.252.071.66
11.752.351.50
122.571.42
12.252.831.34
12.753.311.24
133.591.20
13.253.981.16
13.754.781.10
145.341.07
14.255.941.05

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