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Chesterfield vs Colchester• League Two, England

#71.8:1.41-1FTToday · Proact Stadium, Chesterfield0.8:1.0#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62DAFX4.45PIN25.53PINMargin at best2.3%Books10Markets87Rating54 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:28 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.624.305.005.0%
Pinnacle1.554.455.535.1%
BetVictor1.554.205.506.5%
Betfair1.574.335.006.8%
Betano1.574.105.207.3%
Bet3651.554.005.507.7%
1xBet1.584.154.868.0%
Marathonbet1.564.154.908.6%
William Hill1.574.004.809.5%
SBO1.543.774.7612.5%
Best of all books1.624.455.532.3%
Average1.574.155.107.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChesterfieldColchester
Last 10#7Table position#201.36Points per game1.105Form pts · last 531.8Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 51.069Attack rating3142Defence rating5864Form rating3638H2H rating6265Goals model3554Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Chesterfield

4W 4D 2L · goals 21:16 · per match 2.1 for, 1.6 against

17 OctAPort Vale0-1L
10 OctACrawley Town2-2D
3 OctHTranmere4-2W
26 SepACheltenham1-2L
22 SepHPort Vale1-1D
19 SepHYork2-0W
15 SepHManchester City U215-3W
12 SepAOldham2-1W
5 SepHBarnet3-3D
1 SepHGillingham1-1D

Colchester

1W 5D 4L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

17 OctHExeter City0-0D
10 OctANewport County0-1L
3 OctHLuton1-1D
26 SepAShrewsbury2-2D
22 SepAPeterborough1-3L
19 SepHCheltenham1-1D
12 SepHCrewe1-1D
5 SepASwindon Town1-3L
1 SepABristol Rovers0-2L
29 AugHRochdale1-0W

Head to head

4Chesterfield wins
5draws
4Colchester wins

13 meetings · goals 22:18 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Chesterfield

3 Mar 2026League TwoLeague TwoChesterfield3-0Colchester
4 Oct 2025League TwoLeague TwoColchester6-2Chesterfield
4 Mar 2025League TwoLeague TwoColchester1-0Chesterfield
22 Oct 2024League TwoLeague TwoChesterfield1-1Colchester
30 Dec 2017League TwoLeague TwoChesterfield0-0Colchester
12 Sep 2017League TwoLeague TwoColchester1-1Chesterfield
5 Nov 2016FA CupFA CupColchester1-2Chesterfield
16 Feb 2016League OneLeague OneColchester1-1Chesterfield
12 Sep 2015League OneLeague OneChesterfield3-3Colchester
14 Apr 2015League OneLeague OneChesterfield6-0Colchester

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the League Two table, Chesterfield sit 7th with 15 points from 11 games, while Colchester are 20th with 11 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Salford City1171317:11+622
2Barnet963022:12+1021
3Crewe1156015:9+621
4York1044218:12+616
5Walsall1037013:7+616
6Gillingham1144316:13+316
7Chesterfield1143417:15+215
8Cheltenham1143417:20-315
9Bristol Rovers1150615:18-315
10Accrington ST1135316:15+114
11Newport County1135314:13+114
12Fleetwood Town1135312:11+114
13Rochdale1142513:15-214
14Shrewsbury1142510:15-514
15Grimsby1134413:13013
16Exeter City113446:6013
17Tranmere1126314:15-112
18Swindon Town1133510:15-512
19Oldham1032513:14-111
20Colchester1025310:13-311
21Port Vale93245:9-411
22Northampton92436:7-110
23Rotherham1124512:18-610
24Crawley Town91269:17-85

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.55X22%4.16218%5.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 00:0120 Oct 13:101 1.57X 4.142 5.11
11.81 → 1.57 -13.3%X3.60 → 4.14 +15.0%23.84 → 5.11 +33.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.642.294.6%
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Betano1.652.206.1%
Betfair1.652.206.1%
1xBet1.592.257.3%
Marathonbet1.592.257.3%
BetVictor1.602.159.0%
Best of all books1.652.294.3%
Average1.622.226.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.105.4%
William Hill1.652.157.1%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.642.137.9%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Betano1.702.028.3%
Marathonbet1.642.108.6%
Best of all books1.732.154.3%
Average1.672.107.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chesterfield 45%Draw 45%Colchester 10%

The statistical model rated Chesterfield at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Colchester at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 4.16 | 5.24, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Chesterfield win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Chesterfield are 7th (15 pts, 17-15 goals), Colchester 20th (11 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Chesterfield averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Colchester averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Chesterfield or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Chesterfield

4-2-3-1

Coach: P. Cook

Goalkeeper

  • 23R. Boot

Defence

  • 33R. Hutton
  • 15A. Pond
  • 6J. Simpson
  • 19L. Gordon

Midfield

  • 20G. McEachran
  • 8R. Stirk
  • 24D. Markanday
  • 18L. Marsh
  • 37J. Koroma

Attack

  • 10L. Bonis
Substitutes (7)
  • 7L. Mandeville
  • 26J. Eccleston
  • 27K. Dyer
  • 11D. Duffy
  • 9F. Bryden
  • 4T. Naylor
  • 46T. Pearce

Colchester

4-2-3-1

Coach: D. Cowley

Goalkeeper

  • 22T. Lo-Tutala

Defence

  • 2R. Hunt
  • 5J. Tucker
  • 24F. Terry
  • 3E. Iandolo

Midfield

  • 6P. Digby
  • 26J. Williams
  • 30K. Vincent-Young
  • 12M. Sesay
  • 17Jaden Williams

Attack

  • 9B. Ihionvien
Substitutes (7)
  • 11L. Chiwome
  • 39K. Connelly
  • 47R. Harvey
  • 44S. Kuffour
  • 4Ben Perry
  • 20S. Raggett
  • 27O. Thorn

Match Statistics

ChesterfieldColchester
2.16Expected Goals0.72
498Passes accurate281
14Shots insidebox5
4Shots outsidebox1
9Blocked Shots1
15Free Kicks9
4Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal4
3Offsides3
580Total passes357
18Total Shots6
3Yellow Cards2
7Corner Kicks2
0Goalkeeper Saves1
9Fouls15
0Red Cards0
62%Ball Possession38%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.574.145.11

Double chance

1XX212
1.152.301.19

Draw no bet

12
1.223.95

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.10

1st half

1X2
2.062.395.10

2nd half

1X2
1.892.754.64

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3015.340.7
HT X4.516.5411.1
HT 220.215.68.55

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4815.62.70

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.0
1.51.184.39
2.51.622.22
3.52.501.48
4.54.531.17
5.58.381.05
6.516.41.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.60
1.251.075.80
1.751.183.86
21.253.36
2.251.432.64
2.751.771.99
32.011.74
3.252.211.58
3.752.781.35
43.501.22
4.253.851.18
4.755.101.10
56.951.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.491.48
-1.252.211.61
-11.941.84
-0.751.682.09
-0.51.552.41
-0.251.372.85
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.831.02
-37.901.02
-2.755.701.09
-2.54.641.15
-2.254.151.18
-23.881.21
-1.752.951.35
01.223.91
+0.251.174.23
+0.51.165.25
+0.751.086.23
+11.019.00
+1.51.029.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.036.37
7.51.213.70
8.51.432.59
9.51.761.98
10.52.201.60
11.52.921.34
12.53.781.18
13.55.571.06
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.11
71.055.84
7.251.114.61
7.751.193.68
81.223.49
8.251.303.00
8.751.432.53
91.512.40
9.251.592.19
9.751.781.93
101.901.83
10.251.991.73
10.752.251.56
112.491.47
11.252.601.41
11.753.021.30
123.441.22
12.253.611.20
12.754.341.13
135.181.08
13.255.381.07
13.755.731.06
147.071.01

Latest League Two results

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20 OctBristol Rovers 1-2 Salford City
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20 OctCheltenham 4-2 Fleetwood Town
20 OctExeter City 2-0 Crewe
20 OctBarnet 1-3 Swindon Town