Port Vale vs Chesterfield• League Two, England

#210.6:1.21-0FT17/10 · Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent2.2:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.94PINX3.40B36522.50B365Margin at best3.4%Books6Markets77Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.94	3.31	2.47	4.7%
BetVictor	2.80	3.25	2.45	7.3%
Bet365	2.62	3.40	2.50	7.6%
1xBet	2.85	3.20	2.41	7.8%
Marathonbet	2.82	3.20	2.39	8.6%
William Hill	2.80	3.10	2.40	9.6%
Best of all books	2.94	3.40	2.50	3.4%
Average	2.80	3.24	2.44	7.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Port ValeChesterfield

Last 10#21Table position#71.22Points per game1.3610Form pts · last 550.6Goals for · last 52.21.2Goals against · last 51.421Attack rating7954Defence rating4638Form rating6371H2H rating2967Goals model3352Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 03:10 UTC

Port Vale

4W 3D 3L · goals 8:8 · per match 0.8 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	H	Chesterfield	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Grimsby	1-0	W
6 Oct	H	Mansfield Town	2-0	W
22 Sep	A	Chesterfield	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Walsall	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Exeter City	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Salford City	0-1	L
1 Sep	A	Swindon Town	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Crewe	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Tranmere	1-1	D

Chesterfield

4W 4D 2L · goals 21:16 · per match 2.1 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	A	Port Vale	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Crawley Town	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Tranmere	4-2	W
26 Sep	A	Cheltenham	1-2	L
22 Sep	H	Port Vale	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	York	2-0	W
15 Sep	H	Manchester City U21	5-3	W
12 Sep	A	Oldham	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Barnet	3-3	D
1 Sep	H	Gillingham	1-1	D

Head to head

5Port Vale wins

3draws

6Chesterfield wins

14 meetings · goals 15:21 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Port Vale

22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Chesterfield1-1Port Vale
25 Jan 2025League Two	League Two	Chesterfield1-1Port Vale
14 Sep 2024League Two	League Two	Port Vale1-0Chesterfield
31 Jul 2021Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Chesterfield0-1Port Vale
30 Mar 2018League Two	League Two	Port Vale2-1Chesterfield
19 Aug 2017League Two	League Two	Chesterfield2-0Port Vale
8 Apr 2017League One	League One	Chesterfield1-0Port Vale
30 Dec 2016League One	League One	Port Vale1-0Chesterfield
2 Apr 2016League One	League One	Chesterfield4-2Port Vale
21 Nov 2015League One	League One	Port Vale3-2Chesterfield

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the League Two table, Port Vale sit 21st with 11 points from 9 games, while Chesterfield are 7th with 15 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17:11	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22:12	+10	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15:9	+6	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18:12	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13:7	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16:13	+3	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15:18	-3	15
10	Accrington ST	11	3	5	3	16:15	+1	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14:13	+1	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12:11	+1	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10:15	-5	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13:13	0	13
16	Exeter City	11	3	4	4	6:6	0	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14:15	-1	12
18	Swindon Town	11	3	3	5	10:15	-5	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10:13	-3	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5:9	-4	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12:18	-6	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9:17	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.81X29%3.24238%2.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.63 → 2.80 +6.5%X3.38 → 3.27 -3.3%22.42 → 2.43 +0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
1xBet	2.06	1.70	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.70	7.4%
BetVictor	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.06	1.71	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.80	1.90	8.2%
BetVictor	1.78	1.91	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.88	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Average	1.80	1.89	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Port Vale 45%Draw 45%Chesterfield 10%

The statistical model rated Port Vale at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chesterfield at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.81 | 3.24 | 2.44, which imply roughly 35.6% for a Port Vale win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Port Vale are 21st (11 pts, 5-9 goals), Chesterfield 7th (15 pts, 17-15).

Over their last five matches, Port Vale averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Chesterfield averaged 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Port Vale or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Port Vale

3-5-2

Coach: J. Brady

Goalkeeper

20M. Maroši

Defence

25C. Humphreys
4J. Moon
5C. Hall

Midfield

6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
10K. Dempsey
33G. Hall
8B. Garrity
3J. Headley

Attack

36M. Watters
11O. Hernández

Substitutes (7)

27M. Asamoah
7G. Byers
2K. John
1J. Smith
38R. Walters
24K. Figueroa
14O. Lynch

Chesterfield

4-2-3-1

Coach: P. Cook

Goalkeeper

23R. Boot

Defence

33R. Hutton
5K. McFadzean
6J. Simpson
19L. Gordon

Midfield

20G. McEachran
8R. Stirk
24D. Markanday
18L. Marsh
31J. Randall

Attack

10L. Bonis

Substitutes (7)

4T. Naylor
46T. Pearce
7L. Mandeville
37J. Koroma
28W. Grigg
27K. Dyer
26J. Eccleston

Match Statistics

Port ValeChesterfield

222Passes accurate444

1Shots insidebox3

4Shots outsidebox5

6Free Kicks12

3Shots on Goal4

4Goalkeeper Saves2

2Shots off Goal3

3Offsides5

319Total passes558

5Total Shots8

3Yellow Cards2

0Blocked Shots1

0Corner Kicks10

14Fouls6

0Red Cards0

36%Ball Possession64%

0.61Expected Goals0.28

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.81	3.24	2.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.51	1.38	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.03	1.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
3.52	2.07	3.09

2nd half

1	X	2
3.19	2.32	2.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.62	15.0	30.7
HT X	6.50	4.73	5.60
HT 2	35.0	15.0	3.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.11	8.95	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.07
1.5	1.32	3.07
2.5	2.06	1.71
3.5	3.68	1.23
4.5	7.61	1.06
5.5	17.0	1.02
6.5	34.0	–
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.07
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.40	2.68
2	1.53	2.32
2.25	1.80	1.92
2.75	2.34	1.52
3	2.76	1.39
3.25	3.17	1.28
3.75	4.60	1.13
4	6.55	1.05
4.25	7.09	1.04
4.75	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.83	1.40
-0.25	2.42	1.51
0	2.04	1.73
+0.25	1.69	2.05
+0.5	1.55	2.39
+0.75	1.36	2.87

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.01
-2	9.60	1.01
-1.75	8.50	1.01
-1.5	6.27	1.08
-1.25	5.76	1.10
-1	5.29	1.13
-0.75	3.50	1.25
+1	1.21	3.92
+1.25	1.17	4.43
+1.5	1.13	4.90
+1.75	1.07	6.70
+2	1.02	8.90
+2.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.07	5.37
7.5	1.23	3.36
8.5	1.48	2.41
9.5	1.83	1.88
10.5	2.32	1.52
11.5	3.09	1.28
12.5	4.43	1.12
13.5	6.78	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.08	5.12
7	1.10	4.88
7.25	1.16	3.94
7.75	1.26	3.20
8	1.30	3.02
8.25	1.39	2.65
8.75	1.54	2.28
9	1.64	2.15
9.25	1.73	1.99
9.75	1.94	1.77
10	2.09	1.67
10.25	2.19	1.59
10.75	2.52	1.44
11	2.80	1.35
11.25	2.95	1.31
11.75	3.48	1.22
12	4.07	1.15
12.25	4.25	1.14
12.75	5.18	1.08
13	6.35	1.03
13.25	6.57	1.03

Next League Two matches

20 Oct	Bristol Rovers – Salford City
20 Oct	Crawley Town – Shrewsbury
20 Oct	Northampton – Tranmere
20 Oct	Exeter City – Crewe
20 Oct	Barnet – Swindon Town
20 Oct	Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

17 Oct	Tranmere 1-2 Barnet
17 Oct	Grimsby 0-2 Northampton
17 Oct	Salford City 2-1 Crawley Town
17 Oct	Accrington ST 3-1 Gillingham
17 Oct	Newport County 1-1 York
17 Oct	Oldham 4-1 Cheltenham