Oldham vs Cheltenham• League Two, England

#190.4:2.04-1FT17/10 · Boundary Park, Oldham1.2:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.72PINX4.00B36524.60BVCMargin at best4.9%Books6Markets84Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.74	3.95	4.52	4.9%
BetVictor	1.70	3.90	4.60	6.2%
Bet365	1.70	4.00	4.33	6.9%
1xBet	1.67	3.84	4.54	7.9%
William Hill	1.70	3.70	4.40	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.84	4.55	8.6%
Best of all books	1.74	4.00	4.60	4.2%
Average	1.69	3.87	4.49	7.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

OldhamCheltenham

Last 10#19Table position#81.10Points per game1.3610Form pts · last 540.4Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 51.425Attack rating7541Defence rating5913Form rating8860H2H rating4047Goals model5339Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 03:10 UTC

Oldham

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	Cheltenham	4-1	W
13 Oct	H	Leeds United U21	4-2	W
10 Oct	H	Accrington ST	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Salford City	1-4	L
22 Sep	H	Fleetwood Town	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Rochdale	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Chesterfield	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Tranmere	0-2	L
1 Sep	A	Fleetwood Town	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Swindon Town	3-0	W

Cheltenham

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:19 · per match 1.6 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	A	Oldham	1-4	L
13 Oct	H	Tottenham Hotspur U21	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Salford City	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Accrington ST	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Chesterfield	2-1	W
22 Sep	H	Exeter City	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Colchester	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Crawley Town	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Grimsby	2-2	D
1 Sep	H	York	3-2	W

Head to head

4Oldham wins

2draws

2Cheltenham wins

8 meetings · goals 10:8 · last 8: 4W 2D 2L for Oldham

17 Jan 2026League Two	League Two	Oldham2-1Cheltenham
20 Sep 2025League Two	League Two	Cheltenham0-3Oldham
26 Jan 2021League Two	League Two	Cheltenham2-0Oldham
3 Nov 2020League Two	League Two	Oldham2-1Cheltenham
4 Jan 2020League Two	League Two	Cheltenham3-0Oldham
5 Oct 2019League Two	League Two	Oldham1-1Cheltenham
19 Apr 2019League Two	League Two	Cheltenham0-0Oldham
23 Oct 2018League Two	League Two	Oldham2-0Cheltenham

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the League Two table, Oldham sit 19th with 11 points from 10 games, while Cheltenham are 8th with 15 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17:11	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22:12	+10	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15:9	+6	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18:12	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13:7	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16:13	+3	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15:18	-3	15
10	Accrington ST	11	3	5	3	16:15	+1	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14:13	+1	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12:11	+1	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10:15	-5	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13:13	0	13
16	Exeter City	11	3	4	4	6:6	0	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14:15	-1	12
18	Swindon Town	11	3	3	5	10:15	-5	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10:13	-3	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5:9	-4	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12:18	-6	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9:17	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.72X24%3.81221%4.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.69 +0.6%X3.78 → 3.87 +2.4%24.30 → 4.49 +4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.82	2.03	4.2%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.74	2.01	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.74	2.01	7.2%
BetVictor	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Best of all books	1.82	2.03	4.2%
Average	1.76	2.00	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.71	2.02	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.99	8.7%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.02	7.3%
Average	1.72	2.00	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Oldham 10%Draw 45%Cheltenham 45%

The statistical model rated Oldham at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cheltenham at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.81 | 4.37, which imply roughly 26.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Oldham are 19th (11 pts, 13-14 goals), Cheltenham 8th (15 pts, 17-20).

Over their last five matches, Oldham averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Cheltenham averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cheltenham.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Oldham

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Mellon

Goalkeeper

1M. Hudson

Defence

16W. Sutton
5D. Daniels
6E. Monthe
3J. Robson

Midfield

8O. Norburn
7K. Appiah-Forson
17F. Fawunmi
4T. Pett
15K. Drummond

Attack

10C. Kavanagh

Substitutes (6)

9M. Fondop-Talum
27O. Hammond
21J. Hawkes
26Kai Payne
24L. Temple
2Hersya

Cheltenham

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Cotterill

Goalkeeper

23W. Stanway

Defence

6J. Wilson
5R. Cundy
25P. Sweeney
21G. Nurse

Midfield

17S. McWilliams
33F. Willcox
19J. Evans
8C. McCann
26J. Shipley

Attack

18A. Weimann

Substitutes (5)

11J. Bickerstaff
31M. Diallo
10G. Miller
20Favour Onukwuli
9K. Otchere

Match Statistics

OldhamCheltenham

2.24Expected Goals0.95

355Passes accurate410

10Shots insidebox5

8Shots outsidebox4

4Blocked Shots1

9Free Kicks6

5Shots on Goal4

3Goalkeeper Saves1

9Shots off Goal4

1Offsides2

460Total passes510

18Total Shots9

4Corner Kicks5

0Yellow Cards2

6Fouls11

0Red Cards0

47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.69	3.87	4.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.08	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.28	4.81

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.57	4.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.50	15.4	40.0
HT X	4.58	5.90	10.2
HT 2	23.7	16.0	7.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	13.5	2.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.3
1.5	1.21	3.88
2.5	1.76	2.00
3.5	2.87	1.36
4.5	5.52	1.11
5.5	10.8	1.04
6.5	23.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.80
1.25	1.09	5.35
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.34	2.95
2.25	1.55	2.32
2.75	1.93	1.77
3	2.26	1.56
3.25	2.48	1.43
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.55	1.13
4.25	4.95	1.11
4.75	6.80	1.04
5	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.87	1.36
-1.25	2.55	1.45
-1	2.24	1.61
-0.75	1.87	1.86
-0.5	1.70	2.10
-0.25	1.47	2.48

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.0	1.01
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.75	7.50	1.03
-2.5	5.73	1.10
-2.25	5.33	1.11
-2	4.87	1.14
-1.75	3.53	1.25
0	1.28	3.36
+0.25	1.22	3.84
+0.5	1.22	4.15
+0.75	1.10	5.84
+1	1.03	8.10
+1.5	1.02	9.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.90
7.5	1.25	3.36
8.5	1.46	2.41
9.5	1.77	1.95
10.5	2.22	1.57
11.5	2.97	1.31
12.5	3.90	1.18
13.5	6.97	1.02

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.11	4.68
7	1.12	4.44
7.25	1.20	3.64
7.75	1.31	2.98
8	1.35	2.81
8.25	1.45	2.50
8.75	1.52	2.30
9	1.60	2.24
9.25	1.71	2.02
9.75	1.92	1.77
10	2.04	1.74
10.25	2.18	1.56
10.75	2.49	1.42
11	2.75	1.40
11.25	3.18	1.27
11.75	3.79	1.18
12	4.49	1.12
12.25	4.68	1.11
12.75	5.74	1.06
13	7.14	1.01

Next League Two matches

20 Oct	Exeter City – Crewe
20 Oct	Chesterfield – Colchester
20 Oct	Bristol Rovers – Salford City
20 Oct	Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town
20 Oct	Crawley Town – Shrewsbury
20 Oct	Barnet – Swindon Town

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

17 Oct	Colchester 0-0 Exeter City
17 Oct	Crewe 3-2 Rochdale
17 Oct	Port Vale 1-0 Chesterfield
17 Oct	Salford City 2-1 Crawley Town
17 Oct	Newport County 1-1 York
17 Oct	Grimsby 0-2 Northampton