Crewe vs Rochdale• League Two, England

#31.4:0.83-2FT17/10 · Alexandra Stadium, Crewe1.2:0.4#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85WHX3.75B36524.16PINMargin at best4.8%Books6Markets82Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.87	3.56	4.25	5.1%
BetVictor	1.87	3.60	4.00	6.3%
Bet365	1.83	3.75	4.00	6.3%
1xBet	1.83	3.54	3.99	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	3.54	3.98	8.6%
William Hill	1.85	3.40	3.80	9.8%
Best of all books	1.87	3.75	4.25	3.7%
Average	1.84	3.56	4.00	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CreweRochdale

Last 10#3Table position#131.91Points per game1.2711Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 50.454Attack rating4633Defence rating6745Form rating5564H2H rating3668Goals model3253Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 17:20 UTC

Crewe

4W 6D 0L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Rochdale	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Swindon Town	1-0	W
6 Oct	A	Blackpool	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Bristol Rovers	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Rotherham	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Aston Villa U21	4-1	W
19 Sep	H	Shrewsbury	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Colchester	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	York	1-1	D
1 Sep	H	Walsall	2-2	D

Rochdale

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Crewe	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Tranmere	1-1	D
6 Oct	A	Huddersfield	0-5	L
3 Oct	H	Swindon Town	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Fleetwood Town	2-1	W
22 Sep	H	Liverpool U21	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Oldham	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Walsall	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Gillingham	1-4	L
1 Sep	H	Shrewsbury	3-0	W

Head to head

2Crewe wins

4draws

3Rochdale wins

9 meetings · goals 13:20 · last 9: 2W 4D 3L for Crewe

25 Feb 2023League Two	League Two	Crewe1-1Rochdale
30 Jul 2022League Two	League Two	Rochdale1-2Crewe
24 Apr 2021League One	League One	Crewe1-1Rochdale
9 Jan 2021League One	League One	Rochdale3-3Crewe
16 Feb 2016League One	League One	Rochdale2-2Crewe
6 Feb 2016League One	League One	Crewe2-0Rochdale
3 Mar 2015League One	League One	Rochdale4-0Crewe
2 Sep 2014EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Crewe0-3Rochdale
19 Aug 2014League One	League One	Crewe2-5Rochdale

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the League Two table, Crewe sit 3rd with 21 points from 11 games, while Rochdale are 13th with 14 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17:11	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22:12	+10	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15:9	+6	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18:12	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13:7	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16:13	+3	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15:18	-3	15
10	Accrington ST	11	3	5	3	16:15	+1	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14:13	+1	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12:11	+1	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10:15	-5	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13:13	0	13
16	Exeter City	11	3	4	4	6:6	0	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14:15	-1	12
18	Swindon Town	11	3	3	5	10:15	-5	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10:13	-3	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5:9	-4	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12:18	-6	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9:17	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.84X26%3.57223%4.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.82 → 1.83 +0.5%X3.57 → 3.56 -0.3%23.88 → 4.01 +3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.90	1.93	4.4%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
1xBet	1.81	1.92	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.92	7.3%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.95	3.9%
Average	1.83	1.92	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.71	2.02	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.99	8.7%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.70	2.02	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Crewe 45%Draw 45%Rochdale 10%

The statistical model rated Crewe at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Rochdale at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.84 | 3.57 | 4.00, which imply roughly 54.3% for a Crewe win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Crewe are 3rd (21 pts, 15-9 goals), Rochdale 13th (14 pts, 13-15).

Over their last five matches, Crewe averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Rochdale averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Crewe or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Crewe

4-2-3-1

Coach: Lee Bell

Goalkeeper

1T. Booth

Defence

2L. Billington
6L. Offord
12J. Stephenson
4Kyle Ure

Midfield

17M. Holíček
10J. White
11J. Tabiner
19O. Lunt
14J. Gibson

Attack

9J. March

Substitutes (7)

20Calum Agius
3R. Hutchinson
13I. Lawlor
23C. McNeill
29A. Thibaut
8C. Thomas
30Stan Dancey

Rochdale

4-2-3-1

Coach: Ian Watson

Goalkeeper

20Sam William John Waller

Defence

2C. Tasker
44A. Flint
3Kaiden Wilson
13O. Adebayo-Rowling

Midfield

8H. Gilmour
17B. Adeeko
7C. Hayes
21Kane Taylor
45G. Middleton

Attack

39D. Brown

Substitutes (7)

26S. Sherring
11Z. Silcott-Duberry
14E. Francis
9E. Dieseruvwe
19L. Hannant
33S. Beckwith
12J. Spaven

Match Statistics

CreweRochdale

1.53Expected Goals0.89

293Passes accurate458

9Shots insidebox8

1Shots outsidebox7

3Blocked Shots8

7Free Kicks7

4Shots on Goal3

2Goalkeeper Saves1

3Shots off Goal4

1Offsides2

371Total passes559

10Total Shots15

1Yellow Cards0

1Corner Kicks7

7Fouls7

0Red Cards0

40%Ball Possession60%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.84	3.57	4.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.87	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.82

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
2.38	2.23	4.47

2nd half

1	X	2
2.19	2.50	3.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.76	14.3	38.7
HT X	4.72	5.37	8.83
HT 2	23.7	15.3	6.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	11.5	2.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.6
1.5	1.24	3.62
2.5	1.83	1.92
3.5	3.03	1.33
4.5	5.92	1.10
5.5	13.0	1.04
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.12	4.80
1.75	1.29	3.08
2	1.38	2.75
2.25	1.61	2.20
2.75	2.04	1.71
3	2.40	1.50
3.25	2.62	1.39
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12
4.25	5.10	1.10
4.75	6.39	1.05
5	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.88	1.36
-1	2.52	1.46
-0.75	2.06	1.68
-0.5	1.84	1.95
-0.25	1.59	2.25
0	1.37	2.96

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.57	1.07
-2.25	6.10	1.09
-2	5.70	1.09
-1.75	3.98	1.20
-1.5	3.23	1.30
+0.25	1.27	3.42
+0.5	1.25	4.00
+0.75	1.13	4.93
+1	1.02	7.70
+1.25	1.02	8.20
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.83
7.5	1.21	3.56
8.5	1.44	2.53
9.5	1.83	1.89
10.5	2.22	1.57
11.5	2.94	1.31
12.5	4.09	1.15
13.5	6.15	1.04

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.19
6.25	1.07	5.40
6.75	1.06	5.57
7	1.07	5.32
7.25	1.14	4.25
7.75	1.23	3.42
8	1.26	3.24
8.25	1.35	2.81
8.75	1.49	2.40
9	1.64	2.19
9.25	1.66	2.08
9.75	1.85	1.85
10	1.99	1.75
10.25	2.09	1.66
10.75	2.38	1.49
11	2.54	1.45
11.25	2.76	1.36
11.75	3.24	1.26
12	3.74	1.19
12.25	3.92	1.17
12.75	4.74	1.10
13	5.74	1.06
13.25	5.94	1.05

Next League Two matches

20 Oct	Exeter City – Crewe
20 Oct	Chesterfield – Colchester
20 Oct	Bristol Rovers – Salford City
20 Oct	Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town
20 Oct	Crawley Town – Shrewsbury
20 Oct	Barnet – Swindon Town

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

17 Oct	Tranmere 1-2 Barnet
17 Oct	Grimsby 0-2 Northampton
17 Oct	Salford City 2-1 Crawley Town
17 Oct	Accrington ST 3-1 Gillingham
17 Oct	Newport County 1-1 York
17 Oct	Oldham 4-1 Cheltenham