Grimsby vs Northampton• League Two, England

#151.2:1.00-2FT17/10 · Blundell Park, Grimsby0.6:1.0#22

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.77PINX3.80MAR25.00B365Margin at best2.8%Books6Markets86Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.77	3.79	4.52	5.0%
Bet365	1.67	3.75	5.00	6.5%
BetVictor	1.73	3.70	4.60	6.6%
1xBet	1.73	3.80	4.20	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.71	3.80	4.20	8.6%
William Hill	1.75	3.50	4.33	8.8%
Best of all books	1.77	3.80	5.00	2.8%
Average	1.73	3.72	4.48	7.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GrimsbyNorthampton

Last 10#15Table position#221.18Points per game1.111Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.067Attack rating3350Defence rating5055Form rating4538H2H rating6277Goals model2353Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 17:20 UTC

Grimsby

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	H	Northampton	0-2	L
10 Oct	A	Port Vale	0-1	L
6 Oct	H	Burton Albion	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Shrewsbury	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Newport County	1-2	L
22 Sep	A	Notts County	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Crawley Town	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Bristol Rovers	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Cheltenham	2-2	D
1 Sep	A	Accrington ST	2-2	D

Northampton

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	A	Grimsby	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	York	1-1	D
6 Oct	A	Cambridge United	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Rotherham	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Shrewsbury	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Newport County	1-0	W
1 Sep	H	Crawley Town	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Gillingham	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Crewe	0-1	L
18 Aug	H	Brighton U21	0-3	L

Head to head

2Grimsby wins

3draws

2Northampton wins

7 meetings · goals 7:9 · last 7: 2W 3D 2L for Grimsby

18 Feb 2023League Two	League Two	Northampton1-2Grimsby
6 Aug 2022League Two	League Two	Grimsby1-1Northampton
29 Feb 2020League Two	League Two	Grimsby0-3Northampton
23 Nov 2019League Two	League Two	Northampton2-0Grimsby
16 Mar 2019League Two	League Two	Grimsby0-0Northampton
24 Nov 2018League Two	League Two	Northampton2-2Grimsby
7 Dec 2013FA Cup	FA Cup	Grimsby2-0Northampton

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the League Two table, Grimsby sit 15th with 13 points from 11 games, while Northampton are 22nd with 10 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17:11	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22:12	+10	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15:9	+6	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18:12	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13:7	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16:13	+3	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15:18	-3	15
10	Accrington ST	11	3	5	3	16:15	+1	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14:13	+1	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12:11	+1	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10:15	-5	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13:13	0	13
16	Exeter City	11	3	4	4	6:6	0	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14:15	-1	12
18	Swindon Town	11	3	3	5	10:15	-5	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10:13	-3	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5:9	-4	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12:18	-6	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9:17	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.73X25%3.72221%4.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.73 +1.2%X3.69 → 3.72 +0.8%24.37 → 4.48 +2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.87	1.97	4.2%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
1xBet	1.83	1.90	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.90	7.3%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.87	1.97	4.2%
Average	1.84	1.92	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.76	1.96	7.8%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.93	8.6%
Best of all books	1.76	2.00	6.8%
Average	1.75	1.96	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Grimsby 35%Draw 35%Northampton 30%

The statistical model rated Grimsby at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Northampton at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.72 | 4.47, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Grimsby win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the League Two table: Grimsby are 15th (13 pts, 13-13 goals), Northampton 22nd (10 pts, 6-7).

Over their last five matches, Grimsby averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Northampton averaged 0.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Grimsby or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Grimsby

4-1-4-1

Coach: D. Artell

Goalkeeper

31C. Pym

Defence

5H. Rodgers
2M. Kacurri
26E. Pruti
24D. Tharme

Midfield

15G. Turi
14J. Amaluzor
4K. Green
7J. Walker
30C. Vernam

Attack

9Iwan Morgan

Substitutes (7)

1H. Cartwright
39A. Cook
8Cian Doyle
10S. Finch
12J. Foulkes
11Ryley Reynolds
28F. Cartwright

Northampton

4-4-2

Coach: C. Hogg

Goalkeeper

1Z. Jeacock

Defence

44J. Donacien
6E. Moore
5J. Guthrie
22Joshua Alan Powell

Midfield

16J. Wormleighton
8L. Evans
4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
19O. Dale

Attack

24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
9Matthew Warhurst

Substitutes (7)

3J. Maxwell
10E. List
7S. Hoskins
14T. Fornah
35M. Dyche
26S. Chambers
31J. Dadge

Match Statistics

GrimsbyNorthampton

2.84Expected Goals1.66

256Passes accurate227

11Shots insidebox9

2Shots outsidebox1

1Blocked Shots2

14Free Kicks9

3Shots on Goal6

4Goalkeeper Saves3

9Shots off Goal2

2Offsides2

384Total passes356

1Red Cards0

13Total Shots10

3Yellow Cards2

3Corner Kicks7

9Fouls14

52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	3.72	4.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	2.00	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
2.28	2.25	4.73

2nd half

1	X	2
2.08	2.49	4.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.53	15.7	40.0
HT X	4.65	5.83	9.80
HT 2	24.3	15.8	7.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	12.3	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.6
1.5	1.24	3.62
2.5	1.84	1.92
3.5	3.07	1.32
4.5	6.09	1.09
5.5	12.5	1.04
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.00
1.25	1.10	5.00
1.75	1.29	3.08
2	1.39	2.74
2.25	1.61	2.20
2.75	2.03	1.69
3	2.41	1.49
3.25	2.67	1.38
3.75	3.75	1.19
4	5.15	1.10
4.25	5.55	1.08
4.75	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.99	1.34
-1.25	2.68	1.42
-1	2.33	1.56
-0.75	1.93	1.81
-0.5	1.72	2.07
-0.25	1.49	2.42

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.90	1.01
-2.75	8.48	1.01
-2.5	6.20	1.08
-2.25	5.76	1.10
-2	5.27	1.12
-1.75	3.78	1.23
0	1.29	3.28
+0.25	1.23	3.74
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.10	5.68
+1	1.01	9.00
+1.5	1.02	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.30
7.5	1.13	4.38
8.5	1.31	2.96
9.5	1.61	2.16
10.5	1.96	1.75
11.5	2.48	1.44
12.5	3.32	1.25
13.5	4.81	1.10
14.5	7.16	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.03
7	1.02	6.82
7.25	1.08	5.27
7.75	1.14	4.17
8	1.16	3.96
8.25	1.24	3.34
8.75	1.35	2.79
9	1.44	2.57
9.25	1.50	2.38
9.75	1.66	2.08
10	1.83	1.92
10.25	1.85	1.85
10.75	2.08	1.66
11	2.35	1.53
11.25	2.36	1.50
11.75	2.72	1.37
12	3.04	1.29
12.25	3.20	1.26
12.75	3.79	1.18
13	4.44	1.12
13.25	4.63	1.11
13.75	5.63	1.06
14	6.92	1.02
14.25	6.95	1.02

Next League Two matches

20 Oct	Exeter City – Crewe
20 Oct	Chesterfield – Colchester
20 Oct	Bristol Rovers – Salford City
20 Oct	Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town
20 Oct	Crawley Town – Shrewsbury
20 Oct	Barnet – Swindon Town

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

17 Oct	Colchester 0-0 Exeter City
17 Oct	Crewe 3-2 Rochdale
17 Oct	Port Vale 1-0 Chesterfield
17 Oct	Salford City 2-1 Crawley Town
17 Oct	Newport County 1-1 York
17 Oct	Oldham 4-1 Cheltenham