Accrington ST vs Gillingham• League Two, England

#100.8:0.63-1FT17/10 · The Crown Ground, Accrington1.8:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30B365X3.62PIN23.04PINMargin at best4.0%Books6Markets80Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.26	3.62	3.04	4.8%
BetVictor	2.30	3.40	3.00	6.2%
Bet365	2.30	3.30	3.00	7.1%
1xBet	2.29	3.44	2.84	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.27	3.44	2.82	8.6%
William Hill	2.25	3.30	2.90	9.2%
Best of all books	2.30	3.62	3.04	4.0%
Average	2.28	3.42	2.93	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Accrington STGillingham

Last 10#10Table position#61.27Points per game1.459Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.80.6Goals against · last 50.831Attack rating6957Defence rating4338Form rating6338H2H rating6240Goals model6041Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 03:10 UTC

Accrington ST

3W 6D 1L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Gillingham	3-1	W
10 Oct	A	Oldham	0-0	D
6 Oct	H	Salford City	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Cheltenham	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Swindon Town	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Sunderland U21	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Newport County	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Barnet	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Crawley Town	3-2	W
1 Sep	H	Grimsby	2-2	D

Gillingham

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	A	Accrington ST	1-3	L
13 Oct	H	Brighton U21	4-3	W
10 Oct	A	Rotherham	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Newport County	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	York	0-3	L
22 Sep	H	Cambridge United	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Bristol Rovers	3-0	W
12 Sep	H	Tranmere	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Rochdale	4-1	W
1 Sep	A	Chesterfield	1-1	D

Head to head

3Accrington ST wins

6draws

8Gillingham wins

17 meetings · goals 14:20 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Accrington ST

6 Apr 2026League Two	League Two	Gillingham2-0Accrington ST
2 Aug 2025League Two	League Two	Accrington ST1-1Gillingham
15 Mar 2025League Two	League Two	Accrington ST1-1Gillingham
12 Oct 2024League Two	League Two	Gillingham1-2Accrington ST
13 Jan 2024League Two	League Two	Accrington ST1-2Gillingham
12 Aug 2023League Two	League Two	Gillingham1-0Accrington ST
26 Mar 2022League One	League One	Accrington ST1-2Gillingham
30 Oct 2021League One	League One	Gillingham0-0Accrington ST
16 Jan 2021League One	League One	Accrington ST0-1Gillingham
15 Dec 2020League One	League One	Gillingham0-2Accrington ST

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the League Two table, Accrington ST sit 10th with 14 points from 11 games, while Gillingham are 6th with 16 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17:11	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22:12	+10	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15:9	+6	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18:12	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13:7	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16:13	+3	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15:18	-3	15
10	Accrington ST	11	3	5	3	16:15	+1	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14:13	+1	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12:11	+1	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10:15	-5	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13:13	0	13
16	Exeter City	11	3	4	4	6:6	0	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14:15	-1	12
18	Swindon Town	11	3	3	5	10:15	-5	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10:13	-3	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5:9	-4	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12:18	-6	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9:17	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.28X27%3.40232%2.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.27 → 2.28 +0.4%X3.47 → 3.42 -1.4%22.79 → 2.93 +5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.02	1.83	4.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	1.94	1.79	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.79	7.4%
BetVictor	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Best of all books	2.02	1.83	4.1%
Average	1.96	1.79	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.74	1.97	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Accrington ST 10%Draw 45%Gillingham 45%

The statistical model rated Accrington ST at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gillingham at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.40 | 2.93, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Accrington ST are 10th (14 pts, 16-15 goals), Gillingham 6th (16 pts, 16-13).

Over their last five matches, Accrington ST averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Gillingham averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gillingham.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Accrington ST

3-1-4-2

Coach: J. Doolan

Goalkeeper

1L. Moulden

Defence

17D. Matthews
2D. Love
22J. Anderson

Midfield

16Aidan Borland
38C. O'Brien
30C. Warren
14Stefan Mols
33D. Tutonda

Attack

23T. Walton
39J. Woods

Substitutes (6)

8C. Grant
4T. Moore
21J. Rogerson
3Oliver Smith
25J. Smith
20C. Brown

Gillingham

3-4-3

Coach: G. Ainsworth

Goalkeeper

1O. Wright

Defence

5A. Smith
19O. Beckles
26L. Dobbs

Midfield

22N. Freeman
14R. McKenzie
8A. Little
16J. Brophy

Attack

24H. Waldock
11L. Sillah
10Ronan Hale

Substitutes (7)

6E. Coleman
23B. Dack
20J. Daley
39T. Eaves
18S. Kendall
40R. Luthra
12G. McCleary

Match Statistics

Accrington STGillingham

1.46Expected Goals0.54

232Passes accurate192

12Shots insidebox6

9Shots outsidebox0

4Blocked Shots2

14Free Kicks8

7Shots on Goal0

10Shots off Goal4

1Offsides0

345Total passes312

21Total Shots6

2Yellow Cards3

11Corner Kicks1

0Goalkeeper Saves4

8Fouls15

0Red Cards0

56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.28	3.42	2.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.57	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.65	2.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	2.15	3.56

2nd half

1	X	2
2.63	2.37	3.18

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.67	14.0	31.0
HT X	5.77	5.33	6.70
HT 2	28.0	14.8	4.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	10.9	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.18
1.5	1.29	3.26
2.5	1.96	1.79
3.5	3.46	1.26
4.5	6.86	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02
6.5	29.0	1.01
7.5	50.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.75
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.14	4.35
1.75	1.36	2.75
2	1.47	2.46
2.25	1.73	2.02
2.75	2.22	1.58
3	2.71	1.40
3.25	2.99	1.31
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06
4.75	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.67	1.41
-0.5	2.28	1.60
-0.25	1.96	1.79
0	1.67	2.12
+0.25	1.48	2.47
+0.5	1.38	2.92

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.40	1.02
-1.75	5.93	1.09
-1.5	4.50	1.15
-1.25	4.07	1.20
-1	3.63	1.24
+0.75	1.25	3.53
+1	1.12	5.08
+1.25	1.10	5.58
+1.5	1.09	6.05
+1.75	1.02	8.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.79
6.5	1.09	5.24
7.5	1.24	3.36
8.5	1.53	2.35
9.5	1.83	1.86
10.5	2.32	1.52
11.5	3.10	1.28
12.5	4.43	1.12
13.5	6.78	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.50
6	1.02	6.91
6.25	1.08	5.22
6.75	1.08	5.13
7	1.10	4.88
7.25	1.16	3.94
7.75	1.26	3.20
8	1.30	3.02
8.25	1.39	2.66
8.75	1.54	2.28
9	1.71	2.08
9.25	1.73	1.99
9.75	1.93	1.77
10	2.07	1.69
10.25	2.19	1.59
10.75	2.51	1.44
11	2.80	1.35
11.25	2.95	1.31
11.75	3.48	1.22
12	4.07	1.15
12.25	4.25	1.14
12.75	5.17	1.08
13	6.35	1.03
13.25	6.56	1.03

Next League Two matches

20 Oct	Exeter City – Crewe
20 Oct	Chesterfield – Colchester
20 Oct	Bristol Rovers – Salford City
20 Oct	Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town
20 Oct	Crawley Town – Shrewsbury
20 Oct	Barnet – Swindon Town

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

17 Oct	Colchester 0-0 Exeter City
17 Oct	Crewe 3-2 Rochdale
17 Oct	Port Vale 1-0 Chesterfield
17 Oct	Salford City 2-1 Crawley Town
17 Oct	Newport County 1-1 York
17 Oct	Oldham 4-1 Cheltenham