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Cardiff vs Birmingham• Championship, England

#162.2:1.41-0FT24/10 · Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff2.4:0.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.80DAFX3.95PIN22.42DAFMargin at best2.4%Books9Markets91Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.693.942.453.4%
Dafabet2.803.752.423.7%
Betano2.723.752.405.1%
Betfair2.703.702.405.7%
Bet3652.623.702.456.0%
BetVictor2.633.702.387.1%
1xBet2.693.642.337.6%
Marathonbet2.693.642.337.6%
William Hill2.623.602.309.4%
Best of all books2.803.942.451.9%
Average2.683.712.386.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CardiffBirmingham
Last 10#16Table position#71.17Points per game1.6710Form pts · last 5102.2Goals for · last 52.41.4Goals against · last 50.648Attack rating5230Defence rating7035Form rating6580H2H rating2052Goals model4854Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:03 UTC

Cardiff

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

24 OctHBirmingham1-0W
17 OctAMiddlesbrough2-2D
13 OctHWatford5-1W
10 OctABlackburn1-2L
19 SepHCharlton3-1W
12 SepABolton0-1L
8 SepHStoke City1-1D
5 SepAPortsmouth0-2L
2 SepAQPR1-2L
29 AugHSheffield Utd2-2D

Birmingham

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

24 OctACardiff0-1L
17 OctHQPR3-0W
13 OctHPreston4-0W
10 OctAWest Brom1-0W
19 SepHMiddlesbrough2-2D
12 SepADerby2-1W
9 SepANorwich1-2L
6 SepHWolves2-2D
1 SepHSouthampton1-1D
28 AugAWrexham2-1W

Head to head

12Cardiff wins
8draws
3Birmingham wins

23 meetings · goals 34:18 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Cardiff

10 Apr 2024ChampionshipChampionshipBirmingham0-1Cardiff
13 Dec 2023ChampionshipChampionshipCardiff0-1Birmingham
29 Aug 2023League CupLeague CupBirmingham1-3Cardiff
14 Feb 2023ChampionshipChampionshipBirmingham0-2Cardiff
13 Aug 2022ChampionshipChampionshipCardiff1-0Birmingham
30 Apr 2022ChampionshipChampionshipCardiff1-1Birmingham
11 Dec 2021ChampionshipChampionshipBirmingham2-2Cardiff
1 May 2021ChampionshipChampionshipBirmingham0-4Cardiff
16 Dec 2020ChampionshipChampionshipCardiff3-2Birmingham
18 Jan 2020ChampionshipChampionshipBirmingham1-1Cardiff

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Championship table, Cardiff sit 16th with 14 points from 12 games, while Birmingham are 7th with 20 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Middlesbrough1274127:17+1025
2Swansea1272316:13+323
3West Ham1264232:15+1722
4Wolves1263320:16+421
5West Brom1263316:13+321
6Southampton1273224:12+1220
7Birmingham1255220:12+820
8QPR1255220:12+820
9Stoke City1262418:16+220
10Blackburn1253419:16+318
11Portsmouth1253416:15+118
12Sheffield Utd1244416:15+116
13Millwall1243519:20-115
14Bristol City1243512:15-315
15Lincoln1243513:20-715
16Cardiff1235419:17+214
17Wrexham1235415:18-314
18Bolton1242616:23-714
19Charlton1235411:18-714
20Norwich1240820:22-212
21Watford1232710:20-1011
22Burnley1215617:25-88
23Derby1214710:21-117
24Preston1212910:25-155

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.56X25%3.72238%2.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0124 Oct 06:301 2.71X 3.712 2.36
12.54 → 2.71 +6.7%X3.62 → 3.71 +2.5%22.47 → 2.36 -4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.512.644.1%
Betano1.552.524.2%
Bet3651.502.624.8%
Betfair1.502.555.9%
BetVictor1.502.369.0%
1xBet1.472.3510.6%
Marathonbet1.472.3510.6%
Best of all books1.552.642.4%
Average1.502.486.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Betano1.452.607.4%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
William Hill1.442.607.9%
1xBet1.432.638.0%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
Marathonbet1.432.588.7%
Best of all books1.452.883.7%
Average1.432.667.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cardiff 35%Draw 35%Birmingham 30%

The statistical model rated Cardiff at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Birmingham at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.56 | 3.72 | 2.49, which imply roughly 39.1% for a Cardiff win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Championship table: Cardiff are 16th (14 pts, 19-17 goals), Birmingham 7th (20 pts, 20-12).

Over their last five matches, Cardiff averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Birmingham averaged 2.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Cardiff

4-2-3-1

Coach: B. Barry-Murphy

Goalkeeper

  • 1N. Trott

Defence

  • 38P. Ng
  • 2W. Fish
  • 5K. Bielik
  • 3J. Bagan

Midfield

  • 18A. Robertson
  • 8J. Moylan
  • 11O. Tanner
  • 27J. Colwill
  • 45Cian Ashford

Attack

  • 23C. Scanlon
Substitutes (9)
  • 39I. Davies
  • 44R. Kpakio
  • 52T. Perrett
  • 9Y. Salech
  • 33R. Tankiewicz
  • 14D. Turnbull
  • 30H. Tyrer
  • 16C. Willock
  • 50Charlie Holt

Birmingham

4-2-3-1

Coach: C. Davies

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Beadle

Defence

  • 26B. Osayi-Samuel
  • 5P. Neumann
  • 4C. Klarer
  • 20A. Cochrane

Midfield

  • 24T. Iwata
  • 14J. Solis
  • 7Carlos Vicente
  • 28J. Stansfield
  • 17L. Millar

Attack

  • 32L. Vázquez
Substitutes (9)
  • 23D. Fry
  • 19T. Gardner-Hickman
  • 10D. Gray
  • 2E. Laird
  • 16P. Roberts
  • 33M. Ducksch
  • 3L. Buchanan
  • 18M. Bird
  • 21R. Allsop

Match Statistics

CardiffBirmingham
2.4Expected Goals0.63
309Passes accurate277
10Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox0
10Blocked Shots1
17Free Kicks10
4Shots on Goal2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
2Shots off Goal4
2Offsides4
414Total passes385
16Total Shots7
1Yellow Cards2
3Corner Kicks3
10Fouls19
0Red Cards0
52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.683.712.38

Double chance

1XX212
1.541.431.27

Draw no bet

12
1.991.74

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.432.66

1st half

1X2
3.122.402.86

2nd half

1X2
2.822.722.60

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.3113.323.6
HT X6.826.166.12
HT 225.613.33.70

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9717.01.83

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.8
1.51.145.29
2.51.502.48
3.52.271.62
4.53.941.23
5.57.261.07
6.513.11.03
7.522.71.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.90
1.751.154.33
21.193.87
2.251.342.86
2.751.602.20
31.791.95
3.252.031.74
3.752.601.45
43.131.29
4.253.431.24
4.754.761.12
56.551.05
5.256.901.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.661.48
-0.252.301.57
02.001.78
+0.251.722.05
+0.51.592.36
+0.751.412.73
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.02
-29.101.02
-1.756.701.06
-1.55.201.13
-1.254.651.14
-14.281.19
-0.753.171.31
+11.253.55
+1.251.213.94
+1.51.174.31
+1.751.105.58
+21.028.10
+2.51.049.17

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.273.51
3.51.492.52
41.682.12
4.52.051.72
52.671.45
5.52.921.38

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0211.0
6.51.067.08
7.51.125.06
8.51.283.28
9.51.502.42
10.51.881.86
11.52.341.54
12.53.141.31
13.54.341.17
14.56.311.07
15.59.001.04
16.511.01.02
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.76
71.036.49
7.251.095.04
7.751.085.19
81.094.96
8.251.164.06
8.751.243.32
91.273.15
9.251.362.77
9.751.492.38
101.712.10
10.251.662.09
10.751.841.86
112.001.77
11.252.061.68
11.752.331.52
122.541.43
12.252.681.38
12.753.101.28
133.541.21
13.253.701.19
13.754.411.13
145.251.08
14.255.441.07

Next Championship matches

30 OctSheffield Utd – Wrexham
31 OctLincoln – Birmingham
31 OctStoke City – Preston
31 OctNorwich – Watford
31 OctSouthampton – QPR
31 OctSwansea – Blackburn

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

24 OctWolves 1-0 Watford
24 OctStoke City 0-0 Bristol City
24 OctBlackburn 2-0 Wrexham
24 OctQPR 5-0 Swansea
24 OctPreston 1-1 West Brom
24 OctLincoln 4-1 Burnley