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Wolves vs Watford• Championship, England

#71.0:1.214:00Today · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton0.8:2.4#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.39BTNX5.20DAF28.26PINMargin at best3.3%Books9Markets100Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 22:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.405.208.252.8%
Dafabet1.385.207.804.5%
Pinnacle1.385.077.984.7%
Betfair1.365.008.006.0%
1xBet1.345.008.057.0%
Bet3651.364.758.007.1%
Marathonbet1.335.008.107.5%
BetVictor1.335.008.007.7%
William Hill1.364.807.507.7%
Best of all books1.405.208.252.8%
Average1.365.007.966.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WolvesWatford
Last 10#7Table position#201.64Points per game1.007Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 52.456Attack rating4467Defence rating3370Form rating3080H2H rating2084Goals model1673Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

Wolves

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

20 OctHPortsmouth1-1D
16 OctABurnley2-1W
13 OctHBolton1-3L
10 OctAMiddlesbrough0-1L
20 SepHWest Brom1-0W
16 SepAEverton0-1L
13 SepASheffield Utd1-0W
6 SepABirmingham2-2D
1 SepAWest Ham2-4L
29 AugHStoke City4-1W

Watford

2W 1D 7L · goals 8:22 · per match 0.8 for, 2.2 against

17 OctHCharlton2-0W
13 OctACardiff1-5L
10 OctHBurnley0-4L
18 SepABristol City0-1L
12 SepHStoke City1-2L
8 SepHPreston2-1W
5 SepAWest Brom0-1L
1 SepASwansea0-2L
29 AugHWest Ham1-1D
25 AugHPeterborough1-5L

Head to head

5Wolves wins
2draws
4Watford wins

11 meetings · goals 18:13 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Wolves

10 Mar 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWolves4-0Watford
11 Sep 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWatford0-2Wolves
1 Jan 2020Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWatford2-1Wolves
28 Sep 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWolves2-0Watford
27 Apr 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWatford1-2Wolves
7 Apr 2019FA CupFA CupWatford3-2Wolves
20 Oct 2018Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWolves0-2Watford
7 Mar 2015ChampionshipChampionshipWolves2-2Watford
26 Dec 2014ChampionshipChampionshipWatford0-1Wolves
1 Mar 2013ChampionshipChampionshipWolves1-1Watford

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 23 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Championship table, Wolves sit 7th with 18 points from 11 games, while Watford are 20th with 11 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Middlesbrough1274127:17+1025
2Swansea1172216:8+823
3West Ham1164130:12+1822
4Birmingham1155120:11+920
5West Brom1162315:12+320
6Stoke City1161418:16+219
7Wolves1153319:16+318
8Southampton1163221:10+1117
9QPR1145215:12+317
10Blackburn1143417:16+115
11Sheffield Utd1143415:14+115
12Millwall1143418:18015
13Portsmouth1143414:14015
14Wrexham1135315:16-114
15Bristol City1142512:15-314
16Charlton1135310:15-514
17Bolton1242616:23-714
18Lincoln113359:19-1012
19Cardiff1125418:17+111
20Watford1132610:19-911
21Norwich1130817:21-49
22Burnley1115516:21-58
23Derby111379:20-116
24Preston111199:24-154

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.36X19%4.97212%7.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0123 Oct 15:301 1.36X 4.972 7.97
11.36 → 1.36 0.0%X4.87 → 4.97 +2.1%27.51 → 7.97 +6.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.632.344.1%
Betano1.622.354.3%
Bet3651.622.305.2%
Betfair1.572.385.7%
1xBet1.592.276.9%
Marathonbet1.592.276.9%
BetVictor1.572.209.1%
Best of all books1.632.383.4%
Average1.602.306.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.906.1%
William Hill1.801.956.8%
Betano1.851.887.2%
1xBet1.841.868.1%
BetVictor1.831.878.1%
Marathonbet1.841.848.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.871.954.8%
Average1.841.887.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Wolves 45%Draw 45%Watford 10%

The statistical model rates Wolves at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Watford at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 4.97 | 7.97, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Wolves win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Wolves are 7th (18 pts, 19-16 goals), Watford 20th (11 pts, 10-19).

Over their last five matches, Wolves averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Watford averaged 0.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Wolves or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.365.007.96

Double chance

1XX212
1.073.041.15

Draw no bet

12
1.116.04

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.88

1st half

1X2
1.792.567.10

2nd half

1X2
1.652.966.28

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.9118.658.6
HT X4.067.4616.4
HT 221.620.113.6

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3316.13.40

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.6
1.51.174.65
2.51.602.30
3.52.481.50
4.54.411.19
5.58.221.05
6.515.91.02
7.529.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.40
1.251.056.40
1.751.193.93
21.243.47
2.251.402.65
2.751.732.02
31.951.79
3.252.201.60
3.752.811.35
43.501.23
4.253.851.19
4.755.401.09
57.601.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.811.39
-1.752.291.57
-1.52.031.75
-1.251.771.99
-11.542.37
-0.751.412.72
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.531.08
-3.256.301.08
-35.831.09
-2.754.261.17
-2.53.461.26
-2.253.161.31
-0.51.373.08
-0.251.213.97
01.086.18
+0.251.076.57
+1.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.352.93
3.51.662.13
42.011.78
4.52.371.55
53.251.30
5.53.351.29

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0210.0
6.51.066.69
7.51.164.34
8.51.332.97
9.51.602.21
10.51.991.75
11.52.551.45
12.53.471.25
13.54.991.13
14.57.091.05
15.59.381.04
16.510.81.03
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.036.59
71.026.80
7.251.085.25
7.751.144.16
81.163.96
8.251.243.34
8.751.352.79
91.402.63
9.251.502.37
9.751.662.08
101.801.97
10.251.851.85
10.752.081.66
112.271.59
11.252.371.50
11.752.721.37
123.051.29
12.253.201.26
12.753.801.18
134.461.12
13.254.641.11
13.755.651.06
146.941.02
14.256.951.02

Next Championship matches

24 OctPortsmouth – Millwall
24 OctSheffield Utd – Derby
24 OctCharlton – Norwich
24 OctBlackburn – Wrexham
24 OctQPR – Swansea
24 OctLincoln – Burnley

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

23 OctBolton 1-5 Middlesbrough
20 OctWolves 1-1 Portsmouth
17 OctWrexham 4-1 Preston
17 OctWest Brom 3-2 Blackburn
17 OctBristol City 0-1 Sheffield Utd
17 OctNorwich 0-1 Portsmouth