QPR vs Swansea• Championship, England

#91.6:1.614:00Today · Loftus Road, London1.6:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.57BTNX3.45DAF22.91PINMargin at best2.3%Books9Markets86Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 22:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.57	3.43	2.79	3.9%
Dafabet	2.55	3.45	2.80	3.9%
Betano	2.57	3.35	2.77	4.9%
Betfair	2.45	3.30	2.80	6.8%
Bet365	2.50	3.30	2.70	7.3%
BetVictor	2.50	3.30	2.70	7.3%
1xBet	2.42	3.30	2.79	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.42	3.30	2.79	7.5%
William Hill	2.50	3.20	2.70	8.3%
Best of all books	2.57	3.45	2.80	3.6%
Average	2.50	3.33	2.76	6.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

QPRSwansea

Last 10#9Table position#21.55Points per game2.096Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5033Defence rating6733Form rating6740H2H rating6042Goals model5839Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

QPR

3W 5D 2L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	A	Birmingham	0-3	L
14 Oct	H	Derby	4-1	W
9 Oct	A	West Ham	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Preston	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	West Brom	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Charlton	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Middlesbrough	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Cardiff	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Blackburn	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Bolton	0-0	D

Swansea

6W 2D 2L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against

17 Oct	H	West Ham	0-1	L
13 Oct	A	Millwall	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Norwich	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Lincoln	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Burnley	3-1	W
8 Sep	A	Southampton	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Wrexham	0-0	D
1 Sep	H	Watford	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Derby	3-0	W
22 Aug	H	Sheffield Utd	0-0	D

Head to head

7QPR wins

6draws

10Swansea wins

23 meetings · goals 24:32 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for QPR

21 Apr 2026Championship	Championship	QPR1-2Swansea
22 Oct 2025Championship	Championship	Swansea0-1QPR
21 Apr 2025Championship	Championship	QPR1-2Swansea
26 Dec 2024Championship	Championship	Swansea3-0QPR
1 Apr 2024Championship	Championship	Swansea0-1QPR
19 Sep 2023Championship	Championship	QPR1-1Swansea
21 Jan 2023Championship	Championship	QPR1-1Swansea
3 Sep 2022Championship	Championship	Swansea1-0QPR
7 May 2022Championship	Championship	Swansea0-1QPR
25 Jan 2022Championship	Championship	QPR0-0Swansea

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 23 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Championship table, QPR sit 9th with 17 points from 11 games, while Swansea are 2nd with 23 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	+10	25
2	Swansea	11	7	2	2	16:8	+8	23
3	West Ham	11	6	4	1	30:12	+18	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	20:11	+9	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	15:12	+3	20
6	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	18:16	+2	19
7	Wolves	11	5	3	3	19:16	+3	18
8	Southampton	11	6	3	2	21:10	+11	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	15:12	+3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	17:16	+1	15
11	Sheffield Utd	11	4	3	4	15:14	+1	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	18:18	0	15
13	Portsmouth	11	4	3	4	14:14	0	15
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	15:16	-1	14
15	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	12:15	-3	14
16	Charlton	11	3	5	3	10:15	-5	14
17	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16:23	-7	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	9:19	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	18:17	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	10:19	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	17:21	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16:21	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	9:20	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	9:24	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.48X28%3.32234%2.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.33 → 2.48 +6.4%X3.31 → 3.32 +0.3%22.90 → 2.78 -4.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.98	1.89	3.4%
Betano	1.93	1.91	4.2%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
1xBet	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.83	7.0%
BetVictor	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Best of all books	1.98	1.91	2.9%
Average	1.91	1.86	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.73	2.20	3.3%
Average	1.69	2.06	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

QPR 10%Draw 45%Swansea 45%

The statistical model rates QPR at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Swansea at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.48 | 3.32 | 2.78, which imply roughly 30.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: QPR are 9th (17 pts, 15-12 goals), Swansea 2nd (23 pts, 16-8).

Over their last five matches, QPR averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Swansea averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Swansea.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.50	3.33	2.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.41	1.51	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.77	1.96

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.06

1st half

1	X	2
3.07	2.14	3.38

2nd half

1	X	2
2.74	2.42	3.02

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.98	13.5	30.0
HT X	5.88	5.06	6.44
HT 2	28.4	13.6	4.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	9.50	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.54
1.5	1.29	3.40
2.5	1.91	1.86
3.5	3.22	1.31
4.5	6.38	1.09
5.5	11.9	1.03
6.5	22.5	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.16	4.31
1.75	1.34	2.87
2	1.45	2.61
2.25	1.67	2.09
2.75	2.16	1.64
3	2.57	1.46
3.25	2.83	1.35
3.75	3.80	1.20
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	5.70	1.08
5	8.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.93	1.36
-0.5	2.48	1.53
-0.25	2.10	1.68
0	1.79	1.99
+0.25	1.56	2.34
+0.5	1.46	2.70

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.80	1.02
-2	8.70	1.02
-1.75	6.30	1.08
-1.5	4.84	1.14
-1.25	4.40	1.16
-1	4.02	1.21
+0.75	1.29	3.32
+1	1.15	4.73
+1.25	1.12	5.24
+1.5	1.10	5.76
+1.75	1.03	7.50
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.35	3.03
3	1.43	2.69
3.5	1.80	1.94
4	2.17	1.65
4.5	2.62	1.44

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	14.0
5.5	1.04	9.13
6.5	1.08	5.89
7.5	1.22	3.71
8.5	1.44	2.59
9.5	1.77	1.96
10.5	2.25	1.58
11.5	2.94	1.34
12.5	4.18	1.17
13.5	6.09	1.08
14.5	8.25	1.05
15.5	11.4	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.56
7	1.07	5.31
7.25	1.14	4.24
7.75	1.23	3.42
8	1.26	3.23
8.25	1.35	2.81
8.75	1.49	2.39
9	1.62	2.20
9.25	1.66	2.08
9.75	1.86	1.84
10	2.03	1.75
10.25	2.09	1.65
10.75	2.38	1.49
11	2.63	1.40
11.25	2.77	1.36
11.75	3.26	1.25
12	3.76	1.18
12.25	3.93	1.17
12.75	4.75	1.10
13	5.76	1.05
13.25	5.96	1.05

Next Championship matches

24 Oct	Portsmouth – Millwall
24 Oct	Sheffield Utd – Derby
24 Oct	Charlton – Norwich
24 Oct	Blackburn – Wrexham
24 Oct	Wolves – Watford
24 Oct	Lincoln – Burnley

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

23 Oct	Bolton 1-5 Middlesbrough
20 Oct	Wolves 1-1 Portsmouth
17 Oct	Wrexham 4-1 Preston
17 Oct	West Brom 3-2 Blackburn
17 Oct	Bristol City 0-1 Sheffield Utd
17 Oct	Norwich 0-1 Portsmouth