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Southampton vs QPR• Championship, England

#61.2:0.815:00Tomorrow · St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton2.4:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.84PINX4.00DAF24.10DAFMargin at best3.7%Books10Markets94Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 09:04 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.834.004.104.0%
Betano1.853.904.004.7%
Pinnacle1.843.904.014.9%
Betfair1.803.904.006.2%
Bet3651.803.804.006.9%
1xBet1.773.963.967.0%
BetVictor1.803.903.807.5%
Marathonbet1.753.963.987.5%
William Hill1.753.803.909.1%
SBO1.783.403.4414.7%
Best of all books1.854.004.103.4%
Average1.803.853.927.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SouthamptonQPR
Last 10#6Table position#81.67Points per game1.6710Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 52.40.8Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6764Defence rating3656Form rating44100H2H rating076Goals model2463Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:03 UTC

Southampton

6W 3D 1L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

24 OctAWest Ham3-2W
17 OctHBolton0-0D
14 OctANorwich1-0W
11 OctHPortsmouth1-0W
19 SepAWrexham1-2L
12 SepHBristol City4-1W
8 SepHSwansea3-1W
5 SepALincoln1-1D
1 SepABirmingham1-1D
29 AugHMillwall5-1W

QPR

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

24 OctHSwansea5-0W
17 OctABirmingham0-3L
14 OctHDerby4-1W
9 OctAWest Ham1-1D
19 SepHPreston2-2D
12 SepAWest Brom1-1D
9 SepACharlton0-0D
5 SepHMiddlesbrough0-1L
2 SepHCardiff2-1W
29 AugABlackburn2-1W

Head to head

7Southampton wins
0draws
1QPR wins

8 meetings · goals 17:6 · last 8: 7W 0D 1L for Southampton

24 Feb 2026ChampionshipChampionshipSouthampton5-0QPR
5 Nov 2025ChampionshipChampionshipQPR1-2Southampton
23 Dec 2023ChampionshipChampionshipQPR0-1Southampton
26 Aug 2023ChampionshipChampionshipSouthampton2-1QPR
7 Feb 2015Premier LeaguePremier LeagueQPR0-1Southampton
27 Sep 2014Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSouthampton2-1QPR
2 Mar 2013Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSouthampton1-2QPR
17 Nov 2012Premier LeaguePremier LeagueQPR1-3Southampton

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Championship table, Southampton sit 6th with 20 points from 12 games, while QPR are 8th with 20 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Middlesbrough1274127:17+1025
2Swansea1272316:13+323
3West Ham1264232:15+1722
4Wolves1263320:16+421
5West Brom1263316:13+321
6Southampton1273224:12+1220
7Birmingham1255220:12+820
8QPR1255220:12+820
9Stoke City1262418:16+220
10Blackburn1253419:16+318
11Portsmouth1253416:15+118
12Sheffield Utd1244416:15+116
13Millwall1243519:20-115
14Bristol City1243512:15-315
15Lincoln1243513:20-715
16Cardiff1235419:17+214
17Wrexham1235415:18-314
18Bolton1242616:23-714
19Charlton1235411:18-714
20Norwich1240820:22-212
21Watford1232710:20-1011
22Burnley1215617:25-88
23Derby1214710:21-117
24Preston1212910:25-155

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.79X24%3.86224%3.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Oct 00:0130 Oct 03:301 1.79X 3.862 3.92
11.73 → 1.79 +3.5%X3.96 → 3.86 -2.5%24.10 → 3.92 -4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.572.474.2%
Pinnacle1.602.394.3%
Bet3651.572.385.7%
Betfair1.532.456.2%
BetVictor1.542.279.0%
1xBet1.492.3010.6%
Marathonbet1.492.3010.6%
Best of all books1.602.473.0%
Average1.542.377.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.502.555.9%
Betano1.522.427.1%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
1xBet1.512.398.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
William Hill1.502.408.3%
Marathonbet1.512.358.8%
Best of all books1.532.554.6%
Average1.512.417.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Southampton 45%Draw 45%QPR 10%

The statistical model rates Southampton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and QPR at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.79 | 3.86 | 3.92, which imply roughly 55.9% for a Southampton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Southampton are 6th (20 pts, 24-12 goals), QPR 8th (20 pts, 20-12).

Over their last five matches, Southampton averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; QPR averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.803.853.92

Double chance

1XX212
1.221.971.22

Draw no bet

12
1.362.95

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.41

1st half

1X2
2.272.404.11

2nd half

1X2
2.082.753.88

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7113.833.1
HT X4.986.519.11
HT 220.014.56.45

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5918.12.37

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.8
1.51.154.88
2.51.542.37
3.52.381.56
4.54.201.20
5.57.751.06
6.515.71.02
7.524.81.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.70
1.751.164.20
21.203.74
2.251.352.77
2.751.662.09
31.871.88
3.252.121.67
3.752.661.40
43.291.26
4.253.621.22
4.755.011.11
57.001.04
5.257.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.681.42
-12.391.55
-0.751.981.77
-0.51.812.01
-0.251.552.31
01.352.96
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.11.02
-310.01.01
-2.757.271.05
-2.55.831.10
-2.255.451.11
-25.001.13
-1.753.671.24
-1.53.051.34
+0.251.283.37
+0.51.243.86
+0.751.134.90
+11.037.50
+1.51.038.33

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.921.81

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.039.50
6.51.066.66
7.51.174.20
8.51.352.88
9.51.632.15
10.52.041.71
11.52.671.41
12.53.601.23
13.55.301.11
14.57.681.04
15.510.91.03
16.510.81.03
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.91
71.036.64
7.251.085.14
7.751.154.08
81.173.88
8.251.253.28
8.751.362.74
91.442.61
9.251.512.34
9.751.682.06
101.801.97
10.251.871.83
10.752.111.64
112.291.57
11.252.401.48
11.752.771.36
123.111.28
12.253.261.25
12.753.881.17
134.561.12
13.254.741.10
13.755.791.05
147.141.01
14.257.121.01

Next Championship matches

30 OctSheffield Utd – Wrexham
31 OctLincoln – Birmingham
31 OctStoke City – Preston
31 OctNorwich – Watford
31 OctSwansea – Blackburn
31 OctWest Ham – West Brom

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

24 OctWolves 1-0 Watford
24 OctCardiff 1-0 Birmingham
24 OctStoke City 0-0 Bristol City
24 OctBlackburn 2-0 Wrexham
24 OctQPR 5-0 Swansea
24 OctPreston 1-1 West Brom