Lincoln vs Birmingham• Championship, England

#151.4:2.812:30Tomorrow · LNER stadium, Lincoln2.0:0.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.44PINX3.55DAF22.15BTNMargin at best3.8%Books10Markets87Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 09:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.35	3.50	2.20	3.9%
Pinnacle	3.36	3.45	2.16	5.0%
Betano	3.35	3.40	2.18	5.1%
Betfair	3.30	3.50	2.15	5.4%
Bet365	3.20	3.50	2.15	6.3%
1xBet	3.34	3.44	2.08	7.1%
Marathonbet	3.34	3.44	2.06	7.6%
BetVictor	3.25	3.40	2.10	7.8%
William Hill	3.25	3.30	2.10	8.7%
SBO	2.95	2.99	2.09	15.2%
Best of all books	3.36	3.50	2.20	3.8%
Average	3.27	3.39	2.13	7.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LincolnBirmingham

Last 10#15Table position#71.25Points per game1.674Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 52.02.8Goals against · last 50.641Attack rating5918Defence rating8229Form rating710H2H rating10027Goals model7328Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:03 UTC

Lincoln

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

24 Oct	H	Burnley	4-1	W
17 Oct	A	Millwall	2-2	D
14 Oct	H	West Ham	0-6	L
10 Oct	A	Sheffield Utd	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Swansea	1-2	L
15 Sep	A	Bristol City	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Preston	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Bournemouth	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Southampton	1-1	D
1 Sep	H	Blackburn	0-0	D

Birmingham

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

24 Oct	A	Cardiff	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	QPR	3-0	W
13 Oct	H	Preston	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	West Brom	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Middlesbrough	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Derby	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Norwich	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Wolves	2-2	D
1 Sep	H	Southampton	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Wrexham	2-1	W

Head to head

0Lincoln wins

0draws

3Birmingham wins

3 meetings · goals 2:6 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Lincoln

8 Mar 2025League One	League One	Birmingham1-0Lincoln
11 Jan 2025FA Cup	FA Cup	Birmingham2-1Lincoln
19 Oct 2024League One	League One	Lincoln1-3Birmingham

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Championship table, Lincoln sit 15th with 15 points from 12 games, while Birmingham are 7th with 20 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	+10	25
2	Swansea	12	7	2	3	16:13	+3	23
3	West Ham	12	6	4	2	32:15	+17	22
4	Wolves	12	6	3	3	20:16	+4	21
5	West Brom	12	6	3	3	16:13	+3	21
6	Southampton	12	7	3	2	24:12	+12	20
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	20:12	+8	20
8	QPR	12	5	5	2	20:12	+8	20
9	Stoke City	12	6	2	4	18:16	+2	20
10	Blackburn	12	5	3	4	19:16	+3	18
11	Portsmouth	12	5	3	4	16:15	+1	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	4	4	4	16:15	+1	16
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19:20	-1	15
14	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	12:15	-3	15
15	Lincoln	12	4	3	5	13:20	-7	15
16	Cardiff	12	3	5	4	19:17	+2	14
17	Wrexham	12	3	5	4	15:18	-3	14
18	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16:23	-7	14
19	Charlton	12	3	5	4	11:18	-7	14
20	Norwich	12	4	0	8	20:22	-2	12
21	Watford	12	3	2	7	10:20	-10	11
22	Burnley	12	1	5	6	17:25	-8	8
23	Derby	12	1	4	7	10:21	-11	7
24	Preston	12	1	2	9	10:25	-15	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.29X27%3.39244%2.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.95	1.90	3.9%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.88	4.0%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
SBO	1.94	1.88	4.7%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
1xBet	1.89	1.85	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.85	7.0%
BetVictor	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Best of all books	1.97	1.91	3.1%
Average	1.91	1.87	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.72	2.01	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.72	2.02	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lincoln 0%Draw 50%Birmingham 50%

The statistical model rates Lincoln at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Birmingham at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.29 | 3.39 | 2.09, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Championship table: Lincoln are 15th (15 pts, 13-20 goals), Birmingham 7th (20 pts, 20-12).

Over their last five matches, Lincoln averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Birmingham averaged 2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Birmingham.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.27	3.39	2.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.68	1.31	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.33	1.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
3.85	2.15	2.68

2nd half

1	X	2
3.47	2.44	2.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.42	14.4	25.9
HT X	7.36	5.20	5.32
HT 2	32.8	13.8	3.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.25	10.9	1.76

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.57
1.5	1.29	3.38
2.5	1.91	1.87
3.5	3.25	1.31
4.5	6.37	1.09
5.5	11.9	1.03
6.5	22.7	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.78
1	1.02	8.20
1.25	1.15	4.38
1.75	1.33	2.90
2	1.45	2.61
2.25	1.68	2.11
2.75	2.14	1.64
3	2.59	1.45
3.25	2.82	1.35
3.75	3.79	1.20
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	5.70	1.08
5	8.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.20	1.34
-0.25	2.79	1.39
0	2.40	1.54
+0.25	1.95	1.82
+0.5	1.71	2.13
+0.75	1.50	2.43

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.5	6.93	1.07
-1.25	6.60	1.07
-1	6.10	1.06
-0.75	4.08	1.20
+1	1.32	3.20
+1.25	1.25	3.55
+1.5	1.20	3.93
+1.75	1.13	5.11
+2	1.03	7.20
+2.25	1.03	7.70
+2.5	1.03	8.23

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.80	1.91
4.5	2.02	1.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	13.8
5.5	1.05	8.25
6.5	1.10	5.45
7.5	1.24	3.53
8.5	1.48	2.48
9.5	1.84	1.90
10.5	2.33	1.55
11.5	3.14	1.30
12.5	4.44	1.16
13.5	6.63	1.07
14.5	9.13	1.04
15.5	11.8	1.02

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.32
6.25	1.06	5.49
6.75	1.06	5.63
7	1.07	5.38
7.25	1.14	4.29
7.75	1.22	3.46
8	1.25	3.26
8.25	1.34	2.83
8.75	1.48	2.41
9	1.58	2.28
9.25	1.65	2.10
9.75	1.84	1.86
10	1.99	1.77
10.25	2.08	1.66
10.75	2.36	1.50
11	2.60	1.41
11.25	2.74	1.36
11.75	3.22	1.26
12	3.71	1.19
12.25	3.88	1.17
12.75	4.69	1.11
13	5.67	1.06
13.25	5.88	1.05

Next Championship matches

30 Oct	Sheffield Utd – Wrexham
31 Oct	Stoke City – Preston
31 Oct	Norwich – Watford
31 Oct	Southampton – QPR
31 Oct	Swansea – Blackburn
31 Oct	West Ham – West Brom

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

24 Oct	Wolves 1-0 Watford
24 Oct	Cardiff 1-0 Birmingham
24 Oct	Stoke City 0-0 Bristol City
24 Oct	Blackburn 2-0 Wrexham
24 Oct	QPR 5-0 Swansea
24 Oct	Preston 1-1 West Brom