Norwich vs Watford• Championship, England

#201.4:1.812:30Tomorrow · Carrow Road, Norwich0.6:2.2#21

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55WHX4.60DAF25.75B365Margin at best3.6%Books10Markets90Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 09:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.55	4.60	5.60	4.1%
Betano	1.55	4.40	5.60	5.1%
Pinnacle	1.54	4.36	5.66	5.5%
Bet365	1.53	4.20	5.75	6.6%
1xBet	1.54	4.40	5.16	7.0%
BetVictor	1.53	4.33	5.25	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.52	4.40	5.25	7.6%
Betfair	1.55	4.33	5.00	7.6%
William Hill	1.55	4.00	5.00	9.5%
SBO	1.46	3.92	4.81	14.8%
Best of all books	1.55	4.60	5.75	3.6%
Average	1.53	4.29	5.31	7.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NorwichWatford

Last 10#20Table position#211.00Points per game0.923Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 50.61.8Goals against · last 52.270Attack rating3055Defence rating4550Form rating5060H2H rating4082Goals model1863Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:03 UTC

Norwich

3W 0D 7L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

24 Oct	A	Charlton	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Portsmouth	0-1	L
14 Oct	H	Southampton	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Swansea	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Bolton	3-4	L
17 Sep	A	Manchester City	0-5	L
12 Sep	A	Middlesbrough	3-4	L
9 Sep	H	Birmingham	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Sheffield Utd	3-1	W
1 Sep	A	Stoke City	0-1	L

Watford

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:18 · per match 0.7 for, 1.8 against

24 Oct	A	Wolves	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Charlton	2-0	W
13 Oct	A	Cardiff	1-5	L
10 Oct	H	Burnley	0-4	L
18 Sep	A	Bristol City	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Stoke City	1-2	L
8 Sep	H	Preston	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	West Brom	0-1	L
1 Sep	A	Swansea	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	West Ham	1-1	D

Head to head

9Norwich wins

0draws

11Watford wins

20 meetings · goals 34:29 · last 10: 5W 0D 5L for Norwich

29 Dec 2025Championship	Championship	Norwich0-1Watford
6 Dec 2025Championship	Championship	Watford3-2Norwich
12 Aug 2025League Cup	League Cup	Watford1-2Norwich
1 Feb 2025Championship	Championship	Watford0-1Norwich
21 Sep 2024Championship	Championship	Norwich4-1Watford
13 Feb 2024Championship	Championship	Norwich4-2Watford
28 Nov 2023Championship	Championship	Watford3-2Norwich
2 Jan 2023Championship	Championship	Norwich0-1Watford
15 Oct 2022Championship	Championship	Watford2-1Norwich
21 Jan 2022Premier League	Premier League	Watford0-3Norwich

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Championship table, Norwich sit 20th with 12 points from 12 games, while Watford are 21st with 11 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	+10	25
2	Swansea	12	7	2	3	16:13	+3	23
3	West Ham	12	6	4	2	32:15	+17	22
4	Wolves	12	6	3	3	20:16	+4	21
5	West Brom	12	6	3	3	16:13	+3	21
6	Southampton	12	7	3	2	24:12	+12	20
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	20:12	+8	20
8	QPR	12	5	5	2	20:12	+8	20
9	Stoke City	12	6	2	4	18:16	+2	20
10	Blackburn	12	5	3	4	19:16	+3	18
11	Portsmouth	12	5	3	4	16:15	+1	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	4	4	4	16:15	+1	16
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19:20	-1	15
14	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	12:15	-3	15
15	Lincoln	12	4	3	5	13:20	-7	15
16	Cardiff	12	3	5	4	19:17	+2	14
17	Wrexham	12	3	5	4	15:18	-3	14
18	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16:23	-7	14
19	Charlton	12	3	5	4	11:18	-7	14
20	Norwich	12	4	0	8	20:22	-2	12
21	Watford	12	3	2	7	10:20	-10	11
22	Burnley	12	1	5	6	17:25	-8	8
23	Derby	12	1	4	7	10:21	-11	7
24	Preston	12	1	2	9	10:25	-15	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.53X22%4.29218%5.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.56 → 1.53 -1.9%X4.21 → 4.29 +1.9%25.00 → 5.31 +6.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.57	2.47	4.2%
Pinnacle	1.57	2.45	4.5%
Bet365	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betfair	1.50	2.45	7.5%
BetVictor	1.53	2.29	9.0%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.57	2.47	4.2%
Average	1.53	2.39	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.59	2.21	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.18	8.8%
Best of all books	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Average	1.60	2.22	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Norwich 45%Draw 45%Watford 10%

The statistical model rates Norwich at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Watford at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 4.29 | 5.31, which imply roughly 65.4% for a Norwich win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Norwich are 20th (12 pts, 20-22 goals), Watford 21st (11 pts, 10-20).

Over their last five matches, Norwich averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Watford averaged 0.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Norwich or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.53	4.29	5.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.40	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	4.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
2.00	2.48	5.04

2nd half

1	X	2
1.84	2.89	4.80

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.25	15.3	40.9
HT X	4.48	7.04	11.6
HT 2	18.8	15.9	8.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	17.9	2.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.8
1.5	1.15	4.95
2.5	1.53	2.39
3.5	2.34	1.58
4.5	4.08	1.21
5.5	7.38	1.07
6.5	14.2	1.03
7.5	24.8	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.80
1.75	1.17	4.15
2	1.20	3.77
2.25	1.35	2.79
2.75	1.63	2.14
3	1.84	1.90
3.25	2.08	1.70
3.75	2.58	1.42
4	3.14	1.28
4.25	3.37	1.25
4.75	4.51	1.13
5	6.00	1.06
5.25	6.30	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.79	1.38
-1.5	2.39	1.53
-1.25	2.11	1.66
-1	1.88	1.91
-0.75	1.64	2.16
-0.5	1.53	2.46

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.90	1.04
-3	6.95	1.04
-2.75	5.25	1.11
-2.5	4.22	1.18
-2.25	3.89	1.20
-2	3.56	1.25
-0.25	1.35	2.95
0	1.20	4.10
+0.25	1.16	4.46
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.07	6.43
+1.5	1.02	9.73

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.69	2.08

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.8
5.5	1.06	7.70
6.5	1.09	5.73
7.5	1.23	3.63
8.5	1.44	2.55
9.5	1.79	1.97
10.5	2.23	1.60
11.5	3.01	1.33
12.5	4.22	1.17
13.5	6.21	1.08
14.5	9.13	1.04
15.5	11.6	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.25
7	1.05	5.98
7.25	1.11	4.70
7.75	1.18	3.76
8	1.21	3.56
8.25	1.29	3.05
8.75	1.42	2.57
9	1.50	2.45
9.25	1.58	2.22
9.75	1.76	1.95
10	1.89	1.87
10.25	1.97	1.74
10.75	2.22	1.57
11	2.44	1.51
11.25	2.56	1.42
11.75	2.97	1.31
12	3.38	1.23
12.25	3.54	1.21
12.75	4.24	1.14
13	5.05	1.09
13.25	5.25	1.08

Next Championship matches

30 Oct	Sheffield Utd – Wrexham
31 Oct	Lincoln – Birmingham
31 Oct	Stoke City – Preston
31 Oct	Southampton – QPR
31 Oct	Swansea – Blackburn
31 Oct	West Ham – West Brom

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

24 Oct	Wolves 1-0 Watford
24 Oct	Cardiff 1-0 Birmingham
24 Oct	Stoke City 0-0 Bristol City
24 Oct	Blackburn 2-0 Wrexham
24 Oct	QPR 5-0 Swansea
24 Oct	Preston 1-1 West Brom