Lincoln vs Burnley• Championship, England

#180.8:2.614:00Today · Sincil Bank, Lincoln1.8:1.6#22

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.88B365X3.57PIN22.50BTNMargin at best2.7%Books9Markets87Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 22:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.85	3.50	2.49	3.8%
Pinnacle	2.76	3.59	2.51	3.9%
Betano	2.85	3.35	2.50	4.9%
Bet365	2.80	3.40	2.45	5.9%
Betfair	2.70	3.40	2.50	6.4%
1xBet	2.77	3.42	2.38	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.77	3.42	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	2.75	3.40	2.40	7.4%
William Hill	2.62	3.30	2.40	10.1%
Best of all books	2.85	3.59	2.51	2.8%
Average	2.76	3.42	2.45	6.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LincolnBurnley

Last 10#18Table position#221.09Points per game0.734Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.82.6Goals against · last 51.631Attack rating6938Defence rating6244Form rating56100H2H rating022Goals model7834Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

Lincoln

3W 3D 4L · goals 7:18 · per match 0.7 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	A	Millwall	2-2	D
14 Oct	H	West Ham	0-6	L
10 Oct	A	Sheffield Utd	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Swansea	1-2	L
15 Sep	A	Bristol City	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Preston	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Bournemouth	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Southampton	1-1	D
1 Sep	H	Blackburn	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Bolton	1-0	W

Burnley

1W 5D 4L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

16 Oct	H	Wolves	1-2	L
13 Oct	H	Charlton	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Watford	4-0	W
19 Sep	H	Derby	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Swansea	1-3	L
8 Sep	A	Wrexham	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Bristol City	1-2	L
2 Sep	H	Middlesbrough	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Norwich	1-4	L
26 Aug	A	Bradford	0-0	D

Head to head

1Lincoln wins

0draws

0Burnley wins

1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Lincoln

18 Feb 2017FA Cup

FA Cup

Burnley0-1Lincoln

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 23 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Championship table, Lincoln sit 18th with 12 points from 11 games, while Burnley are 22nd with 8 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	+10	25
2	Swansea	11	7	2	2	16:8	+8	23
3	West Ham	11	6	4	1	30:12	+18	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	20:11	+9	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	15:12	+3	20
6	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	18:16	+2	19
7	Wolves	11	5	3	3	19:16	+3	18
8	Southampton	11	6	3	2	21:10	+11	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	15:12	+3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	17:16	+1	15
11	Sheffield Utd	11	4	3	4	15:14	+1	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	18:18	0	15
13	Portsmouth	11	4	3	4	14:14	0	15
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	15:16	-1	14
15	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	12:15	-3	14
16	Charlton	11	3	5	3	10:15	-5	14
17	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16:23	-7	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	9:19	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	18:17	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	10:19	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	17:21	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16:21	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	9:20	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	9:24	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.80X27%3.43239%2.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.91 → 2.80 -3.8%X3.38 → 3.43 +1.5%22.29 → 2.41 +5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.91	1.96	3.4%
Betano	1.93	1.93	3.6%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
1xBet	1.85	1.89	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.89	7.0%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.93	1.96	2.8%
Average	1.88	1.91	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.06	8.8%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.66	2.11	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lincoln 10%Draw 45%Burnley 45%

The statistical model rates Lincoln at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Burnley at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.80 | 3.43 | 2.41, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Lincoln are 18th (12 pts, 9-19 goals), Burnley 22nd (8 pts, 16-21).

Over their last five matches, Lincoln averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Burnley averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Burnley.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.76	3.42	2.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.53	1.41	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.99	1.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.11

1st half

1	X	2
3.37	2.18	3.01

2nd half

1	X	2
3.11	2.47	2.67

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.48	13.8	27.8
HT X	6.52	5.30	5.86
HT 2	29.6	13.6	3.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	11.6	1.85

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.1
1.5	1.26	3.57
2.5	1.88	1.91
3.5	3.13	1.33
4.5	6.08	1.10
5.5	11.8	1.04
6.5	22.5	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.14	4.51
1.75	1.31	3.01
2	1.42	2.72
2.25	1.63	2.17
2.75	2.07	1.70
3	2.48	1.49
3.25	2.70	1.38
3.75	3.64	1.22
4	5.05	1.10
4.25	5.40	1.09
5	8.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.72	1.45
-0.25	2.34	1.55
0	2.01	1.77
+0.25	1.70	2.06
+0.5	1.55	2.42
+0.75	1.38	2.84

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.0	1.02
-1.75	7.40	1.03
-1.5	5.59	1.11
-1.25	5.19	1.12
-1	4.69	1.15
-0.75	3.32	1.29
+1	1.22	3.88
+1.25	1.17	4.28
+1.5	1.14	4.74
+1.75	1.09	6.10
+2.5	1.02	9.60

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.44	2.61
4	1.66	2.14
4.5	1.94	1.80
5	2.56	1.47
5.5	2.78	1.41

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	13.8
5.5	1.05	8.25
6.5	1.10	5.54
7.5	1.23	3.57
8.5	1.47	2.50
9.5	1.80	1.91
10.5	2.28	1.56
11.5	3.10	1.31
12.5	4.36	1.16
13.5	6.59	1.07
14.5	9.13	1.04
15.5	11.8	1.02

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.12
6.25	1.07	5.36
6.75	1.06	5.73
7	1.07	5.48
7.25	1.13	4.36
7.75	1.22	3.50
8	1.24	3.32
8.25	1.33	2.87
8.75	1.47	2.44
9	1.68	2.13
9.25	1.64	2.12
9.75	1.83	1.87
10	1.98	1.79
10.25	2.06	1.68
10.75	2.34	1.51
11	2.56	1.46
11.25	2.71	1.38
11.75	3.17	1.27
12	3.64	1.20
12.25	3.82	1.18
12.75	4.61	1.11
13	5.55	1.06
13.25	5.76	1.05

Next Championship matches

24 Oct	Portsmouth – Millwall
24 Oct	Sheffield Utd – Derby
24 Oct	Charlton – Norwich
24 Oct	Blackburn – Wrexham
24 Oct	QPR – Swansea
24 Oct	Wolves – Watford

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

23 Oct	Bolton 1-5 Middlesbrough
20 Oct	Wolves 1-1 Portsmouth
17 Oct	Wrexham 4-1 Preston
17 Oct	West Brom 3-2 Blackburn
17 Oct	Bristol City 0-1 Sheffield Utd
17 Oct	Norwich 0-1 Portsmouth