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Stoke City vs Bristol City• Championship, England

#91.8:1.20-0FT24/10 · bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent0.4:0.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.47PINX3.35DAF23.11PINMargin at best2.5%Books9Markets85Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 10:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.473.273.113.2%
Dafabet2.463.353.003.8%
Betano2.473.302.925.0%
Betfair2.403.303.005.3%
Bet3652.353.303.006.2%
BetVictor2.383.252.907.3%
1xBet2.453.182.847.5%
Marathonbet2.363.182.977.5%
William Hill2.403.002.909.5%
Best of all books2.473.353.112.5%
Average2.423.242.966.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Stoke CityBristol City
Last 10#9Table position#141.67Points per game1.2510Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 50.41.2Goals against · last 50.882Attack rating1840Defence rating6075Form rating2550H2H rating5058Goals model4261Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:03 UTC

Stoke City

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

24 OctHBristol City0-0D
17 OctADerby1-0W
13 OctHMiddlesbrough2-3L
10 OctABolton2-1W
19 SepHSheffield Utd2-1W
12 SepAWatford2-1W
8 SepACardiff1-1D
5 SepHCharlton4-0W
1 SepHNorwich1-0W
29 AugAWolves1-4L

Bristol City

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

24 OctAStoke City0-0D
17 OctHSheffield Utd0-1L
13 OctHBlackburn0-1L
10 OctACharlton1-1D
3 OctACrystal Palace2-0W
18 SepHWatford1-0W
15 SepHLincoln0-1L
12 SepASouthampton1-4L
5 SepABurnley2-1W
1 SepAPreston3-1W

Head to head

6Stoke City wins
2draws
9Bristol City wins

17 meetings · goals 22:23 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Stoke City

2 May 2026ChampionshipChampionshipBristol City2-0Stoke City
1 Nov 2025ChampionshipChampionshipStoke City5-1Bristol City
12 Feb 2025ChampionshipChampionshipBristol City2-0Stoke City
22 Oct 2024ChampionshipChampionshipStoke City2-2Bristol City
4 May 2024ChampionshipChampionshipStoke City4-0Bristol City
30 Sep 2023ChampionshipChampionshipBristol City2-3Stoke City
7 Apr 2023ChampionshipChampionshipStoke City1-2Bristol City
17 Dec 2022ChampionshipChampionshipBristol City1-2Stoke City
15 Apr 2022ChampionshipChampionshipStoke City0-1Bristol City
24 Nov 2021ChampionshipChampionshipBristol City1-0Stoke City

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Championship table, Stoke City sit 9th with 20 points from 12 games, while Bristol City are 14th with 15 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Middlesbrough1274127:17+1025
2Swansea1272316:13+323
3West Ham1264232:15+1722
4Wolves1263320:16+421
5West Brom1263316:13+321
6Southampton1273224:12+1220
7Birmingham1255220:12+820
8QPR1255220:12+820
9Stoke City1262418:16+220
10Blackburn1253419:16+318
11Portsmouth1253416:15+118
12Sheffield Utd1244416:15+116
13Millwall1243519:20-115
14Bristol City1243512:15-315
15Lincoln1243513:20-715
16Cardiff1235419:17+214
17Wrexham1235415:18-314
18Bolton1242616:23-714
19Charlton1235411:18-714
20Norwich1240820:22-212
21Watford1232710:20-1011
22Burnley1215617:25-88
23Derby1214710:21-117
24Preston1212910:25-155

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.37X29%3.24231%3.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0124 Oct 11:301 2.42X 3.242 2.96
12.27 → 2.42 +6.6%X3.32 → 3.24 -2.4%22.98 → 2.96 -0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.121.783.3%
Betano2.071.784.5%
Bet3652.101.735.4%
Betfair2.051.755.9%
1xBet2.011.756.9%
Marathonbet2.021.747.0%
BetVictor1.951.739.1%
Best of all books2.121.783.3%
Average2.051.756.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.802.005.6%
Betano1.781.957.5%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.751.977.9%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.771.928.6%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.771.967.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stoke City 45%Draw 45%Bristol City 10%

The statistical model rated Stoke City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bristol City at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.37 | 3.24 | 3.03, which imply roughly 42.2% for a Stoke City win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Stoke City are 9th (20 pts, 18-16 goals), Bristol City 14th (15 pts, 12-15).

Over their last five matches, Stoke City averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Bristol City averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Stoke City or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Stoke City

3-4-3

Coach: M. Robins

Goalkeeper

  • 1V. Johansson

Defence

  • 16B. Wilmot
  • 18B. Lawal
  • 5L. Graham

Midfield

  • 2B. Johnson
  • 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
  • 8E. Galbraith
  • 21L. Bombino

Attack

  • 7J. McGlynn
  • 11L. Cissé
  • 13J. Devenny
Substitutes (9)
  • 10Bae Jun-Ho
  • 9R. Boženík
  • 23B. Gibson
  • 24J. Griffiths
  • 15G. Hirst
  • 4B. Pearson
  • 19T. Rigo
  • 40M. Talovierov
  • 22J. Tchamadeu

Bristol City

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Skubala

Goalkeeper

  • 40B. Collins

Defence

  • 19G. Tanner
  • 2L. Eissat
  • 15L. McNally
  • 3C. Pring

Midfield

  • 12J. Knight
  • 27G. Yah
  • 21Rio Cardines
  • 9L. Tolaj
  • 8J. Williams

Attack

  • 23D. Ballard
Substitutes (9)
  • 5R. Atkinson
  • 11S. Bell
  • 6B. De Keersmaecker
  • 20S. Greenwood
  • 7Y. Hirakawa
  • 4A. Randell
  • 1S. Tickle
  • 10S. Twine
  • 17J. Wallace

Match Statistics

Stoke CityBristol City
0.71Expected Goals0.79
479Passes accurate238
7Shots insidebox4
4Shots outsidebox4
3Blocked Shots2
13Free Kicks7
1Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal6
2Offsides1
586Total passes330
11Total Shots8
1Yellow Cards2
5Corner Kicks6
0Goalkeeper Saves1
7Fouls13
0Red Cards0
63%Ball Possession37%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.423.242.96

Double chance

1XX212
1.381.531.32

Draw no bet

12
1.682.08

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.771.96

1st half

1X2
3.052.093.54

2nd half

1X2
2.732.383.15

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.8913.833.0
HT X5.664.806.61
HT 229.214.44.80

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.908.852.15

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.63
1.51.333.18
2.52.051.75
3.53.521.27
4.57.251.08
5.514.11.02
6.524.81.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.60
11.066.52
1.251.183.97
1.751.402.73
21.532.39
2.251.771.96
2.752.311.57
32.821.39
3.253.051.31
3.754.141.17
45.901.07
4.256.331.06
59.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.881.38
-0.52.401.56
-0.252.041.72
01.732.07
+0.251.512.44
+0.51.412.87
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.701.02
-29.101.02
-1.756.371.07
-1.54.861.14
-1.254.411.18
-13.891.23
+0.751.263.57
+11.145.10
+1.251.115.53
+1.51.096.10
+1.751.028.00
+2.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.353.01
31.472.59
3.51.831.88
42.271.60
4.52.671.44

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.039.75
6.51.076.48
7.51.184.16
8.51.372.82
9.51.682.09
10.52.101.67
11.52.751.38
12.53.761.21
13.55.321.11
14.57.551.07
15.510.11.02
16.511.31.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.036.59
71.036.32
7.251.094.93
7.751.173.92
81.193.72
8.251.273.16
8.751.392.66
91.512.44
9.251.542.28
9.751.722.00
101.901.87
10.251.921.79
10.752.161.61
112.451.51
11.252.471.46
11.752.861.33
123.231.26
12.253.391.23
12.754.041.16
134.781.10
13.254.971.09

Next Championship matches

30 OctSheffield Utd – Wrexham
31 OctLincoln – Birmingham
31 OctStoke City – Preston
31 OctNorwich – Watford
31 OctSouthampton – QPR
31 OctSwansea – Blackburn

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

24 OctQPR 5-0 Swansea
24 OctLincoln 4-1 Burnley
24 OctBlackburn 2-0 Wrexham
24 OctCardiff 1-0 Birmingham
24 OctPreston 1-1 West Brom
24 OctWest Ham 2-3 Southampton