Triglav vs Bilje• 2. SNL, Slovenia

#32.6:1.64-2FTToday · Stanko Mlakar Stadium, Kranj1.8:2.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.28B365X5.95PIN210.31XBMargin at best4.6%Books9Markets54Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.25	5.60	8.75	9.3%
Bet365	1.28	5.00	8.00	10.6%
1xBet	1.19	5.75	10.3	11.1%
William Hill	1.22	5.00	10.0	12.0%
Pinnacle	1.19	5.95	8.96	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.18	5.75	9.70	12.4%
Betfair	1.20	5.50	9.00	12.6%
SBO	1.19	5.03	7.53	17.2%
BetVictor	1.17	4.60	8.00	19.7%
Best of all books	1.28	5.95	10.3	4.6%
Average	1.21	5.35	8.92	12.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TriglavBilje

Last 10#3Table position#42.21Points per game1.7110Form pts · last 592.6Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 52.059Attack rating4156Defence rating4457Form rating43100H2H rating082Goals model1867Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 03:00 UTC

Triglav

7W 2D 1L · goals 26:10 · per match 2.6 for, 1.0 against

6 Nov	A	Ilirija	4-1	W
2 Nov	H	Krka	2-4	L
28 Oct	A	Beltinci	4-3	W
23 Oct	H	Nafta	1-1	D
16 Oct	H	Dekani	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Krško	2-0	W
4 Oct	H	Jesenice	4-0	W
26 Sep	H	Primorje	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Slovan Ljubljana	3-0	W
16 Sep	H	Brežice	4-0	W

Bilje

5W 0D 5L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against

7 Nov	H	Dren Vrhnika	3-0	W
31 Oct	H	Tabor Sežana	3-2	W
27 Oct	A	Ilirija	0-3	L
23 Oct	A	Bistrica	3-4	L
17 Oct	H	Krka	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Beltinci	1-5	L
6 Oct	H	Dekani	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Krško	1-3	L
20 Sep	H	Jesenice	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Primorje	3-2	W

Head to head

6Triglav wins

3draws

3Bilje wins

12 meetings · goals 29:11 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Triglav

21 Nov 20252. SNL	2. SNL	Triglav10-1Bilje
9 Aug 20252. SNL	2. SNL	Bilje0-1Triglav
27 Apr 20252. SNL	2. SNL	Triglav7-4Bilje
12 Oct 20242. SNL	2. SNL	Bilje0-4Triglav
7 Apr 20242. SNL	2. SNL	Triglav2-0Bilje
21 Sep 20232. SNL	2. SNL	Bilje1-1Triglav
13 Nov 20222. SNL	2. SNL	Triglav0-1Bilje
31 Jul 20222. SNL	2. SNL	Bilje2-0Triglav
4 May 20222. SNL	2. SNL	Bilje0-0Triglav
15 Oct 20212. SNL	2. SNL	Triglav3-0Bilje

2. SNL table2 SNLupdated 13 Nov 03:10 UTC

In the 2. SNL table, Triglav sit 3rd with 31 points from 14 games, while Bilje are 4th with 24 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tabor Sežana	14	11	1	2	27:10	+17	34
2	Beltinci	14	10	1	3	42:18	+24	31
3	Triglav	14	10	1	3	31:13	+18	31
4	Bilje	14	8	0	6	26:27	-1	24
5	Bistrica	14	7	2	5	19:17	+2	23
6	Ilirija	14	7	1	6	25:17	+8	22
7	Rudar	14	7	1	6	26:21	+5	22
8	Jesenice	14	5	4	5	22:21	+1	19
9	Dekani	14	5	4	5	8:8	0	19
10	Slovan Ljubljana	14	5	3	6	14:21	-7	18
11	Krka	14	5	1	8	18:22	-4	16
12	Primorje	14	4	4	6	13:18	-5	16
13	Dravinja	14	4	2	8	20:29	-9	14
14	Dren Vrhnika	14	4	2	8	12:25	-13	14
15	Krško	14	2	3	9	10:30	-20	9
16	Brežice	14	1	4	9	12:28	-16	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg173%1.21X17%5.35210%8.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.33 → 1.21 -9.0%X4.78 → 5.35 +11.9%26.55 → 8.92 +36.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.42	2.62	8.6%
Pinnacle	1.37	2.71	9.9%
1xBet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
BetVictor	1.33	2.25	19.6%
Best of all books	1.42	2.75	6.8%
Average	1.38	2.60	11.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
BetVictor	1.67	1.67	19.8%
Best of all books	1.83	1.86	8.4%
Average	1.79	1.81	11.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Triglav 45%Draw 45%Bilje 10%

The statistical model rated Triglav at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bilje at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.21 | 5.35 | 8.92, which imply roughly 82.6% for a Triglav win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. SNL table: Triglav are 3rd (31 pts, 31-13 goals), Bilje 4th (24 pts, 26-27).

Over their last five matches, Triglav averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Bilje averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Triglav and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.21	5.35	8.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.60	1.10

Draw no bet

1	2
1.06	5.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
1.59	2.73	7.31

2nd half

1	X	2
1.46	3.36	7.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.74	20.0	54.9
HT X	4.16	8.66	16.9
HT 2	17.8	21.3	14.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.27	21.5	3.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	19.0
1.5	1.10	4.72
2.5	1.38	2.60
3.5	1.96	1.67
4.5	3.03	1.26
5.5	5.00	1.09

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.13	4.60
2.25	1.26	3.20
2.75	1.45	2.31
3	1.56	2.07
3.25	1.80	1.81
3.75	2.17	1.51
4	2.50	1.38
4.25	2.81	1.34
4.75	3.66	1.22
5	4.90	1.11
5.25	4.50	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.50	1.42
-2.25	2.22	1.49
-2	1.99	1.64
-1.75	1.77	1.87
-1.5	1.67	2.00
-1.25	1.43	2.34

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.00	1.03
-3.5	4.25	1.15
-3.25	4.50	1.16
-3	3.58	1.21
-2.75	3.20	1.30
-1	1.28	3.10
-0.75	1.24	3.34
-0.25	1.11	4.90
0	1.03	7.70

Next 2. SNL matches

14 Nov	Bistrica – Beltinci
14 Nov	Dren Vrhnika – Tabor Sežana
14 Nov	Rudar – Dekani
14 Nov	Brežice – Ilirija
15 Nov	Slovan Ljubljana – Krško

All 2. SNL fixtures and the table

Latest 2. SNL results

8 Nov	Jesenice 0-0 Slovan Ljubljana
8 Nov	Beltinci 3-1 Dravinja
7 Nov	Krško 1-3 Rudar
7 Nov	Tabor Sežana 1-0 Primorje
7 Nov	Krka 1-0 Brežice
7 Nov	Bilje 3-0 Dren Vrhnika