Brežice vs Ilirija• 2. SNL, Slovenia

#160.8:2.016:00Tomorrow2.0:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.481XBX3.60B36521.93BTNMargin at best8.3%Books5Markets43Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 16:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.45	3.70	1.92	8.1%
Betano	3.45	3.60	1.93	8.6%
1xBet	3.48	3.52	1.86	10.9%
Bet365	3.40	3.60	1.85	11.2%
Marathonbet	3.40	3.52	1.84	12.2%
Best of all books	3.48	3.70	1.93	7.6%
Average	3.44	3.59	1.88	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BrežiceIlirija

Last 10#16Table position#60.50Points per game1.577Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.429Attack rating7141Defence rating5936Form rating6480H2H rating2018Goals model8244Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 06:00 UTC

Brežice

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:22 · per match 1.2 for, 2.2 against

7 Nov	A	Krka	0-1	L
2 Nov	H	Beltinci	0-6	L
27 Oct	A	Dekani	0-0	D
23 Oct	H	Aluminij	4-2	W
18 Oct	H	Krško	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Jesenice	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Primorje	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Slovan Ljubljana	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Rudar	3-4	L
16 Sep	A	Triglav	0-4	L

Ilirija

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

6 Nov	H	Triglav	1-4	L
31 Oct	A	Dren Vrhnika	4-1	W
27 Oct	H	Bilje	3-0	W
16 Oct	H	Tabor Sežana	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Krka	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Beltinci	2-4	L
25 Sep	A	Dekani	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Krško	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Jesenice	1-3	L
4 Sep	H	Primorje	0-0	D

Head to head

2Brežice wins

2draws

0Ilirija wins

4 meetings · goals 8:5 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Brežice

20 Nov 20212. SNL	2. SNL	Brežice2-1Ilirija
8 Aug 20212. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija2-2Brežice
4 May 20192. SNL	2. SNL	Brežice3-1Ilirija
13 Oct 20182. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija1-1Brežice

2. SNL table2 SNLupdated 13 Nov 20:40 UTC

In the 2. SNL table, Brežice sit 16th with 7 points from 14 games, while Ilirija are 6th with 22 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Triglav	15	11	1	3	35:15	+20	34
2	Tabor Sežana	14	11	1	2	27:10	+17	34
3	Beltinci	14	10	1	3	42:18	+24	31
4	Bilje	15	8	0	7	28:31	-3	24
5	Bistrica	14	7	2	5	19:17	+2	23
6	Ilirija	14	7	1	6	25:17	+8	22
7	Rudar	14	7	1	6	26:21	+5	22
8	Jesenice	14	5	4	5	22:21	+1	19
9	Dekani	14	5	4	5	8:8	0	19
10	Slovan Ljubljana	14	5	3	6	14:21	-7	18
11	Dravinja	15	5	2	8	23:29	-6	17
12	Krka	15	5	1	9	18:25	-7	16
13	Primorje	14	4	4	6	13:18	-5	16
14	Dren Vrhnika	14	4	2	8	12:25	-13	14
15	Krško	14	2	3	9	10:30	-20	9
16	Brežice	14	1	4	9	12:28	-16	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.41X25%3.56248%1.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.67	2.07	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.15	9.8%
Best of all books	1.60	2.19	8.2%
Average	1.59	2.16	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Brežice 10%Draw 45%Ilirija 45%

The statistical model rates Brežice at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ilirija at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.41 | 3.56 | 1.87, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. SNL table: Brežice are 16th (7 pts, 12-28 goals), Ilirija 6th (22 pts, 25-17).

Over their last five matches, Brežice averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Ilirija averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Ilirija and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.44	3.59	1.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.77	1.23	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
2.56	1.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.16

1st half

1	X	2
3.90	2.23	2.43

2nd half

1	X	2
3.58	2.59	2.21

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.63	15.3	20.7
HT X	8.13	5.93	5.08
HT 2	30.3	14.7	2.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.30	13.4	1.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.19	3.90
2.5	1.67	2.07
3.5	2.63	1.39
4.5	4.73	1.13
5.5	6.80	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.27	3.14
2.25	1.47	2.38
2.75	1.82	1.82
3	2.10	1.59
3.25	2.38	1.47
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.30	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.93	1.31
0	2.60	1.41
+0.25	2.04	1.63
+0.5	1.85	1.90
+0.75	1.59	2.13
+1	1.38	2.62

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.80	1.02
-1	6.70	1.05
-0.75	4.35	1.14
+1.25	1.30	2.97
+1.5	1.24	3.34
+1.75	1.21	4.00
+2	1.06	6.25
+2.25	1.09	6.00
+2.5	1.04	7.10

Next 2. SNL matches

14 Nov	Bistrica – Beltinci
14 Nov	Dren Vrhnika – Tabor Sežana
14 Nov	Rudar – Dekani
15 Nov	Slovan Ljubljana – Krško

All 2. SNL fixtures and the table

Latest 2. SNL results

13 Nov	Triglav 4-2 Bilje
13 Nov	Dravinja 3-0 Krka
8 Nov	Beltinci 3-1 Dravinja
8 Nov	Jesenice 0-0 Slovan Ljubljana
7 Nov	Krško 1-3 Rudar
7 Nov	Tabor Sežana 1-0 Primorje