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Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów• I Liga, Poland

#141.0:2.813:30Tomorrow · Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec0.6:2.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.34PINX3.50BFR22.86PINMargin at best6.3%Books10Markets48Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 20:51 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.333.532.846.5%
Dafabet2.333.502.807.2%
Betano2.323.402.808.2%
Betfair2.253.502.759.4%
BetVictor2.253.402.809.6%
1xBet2.233.322.8010.7%
William Hill2.303.202.7511.1%
Bet3652.253.302.7011.8%
Marathonbet2.213.322.7411.9%
SBO2.163.072.6117.2%
Best of all books2.333.532.846.5%
Average2.263.352.7610.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Stal MielecChrobry Głogów
Last 10#14Table position#111.09Points per game1.094Form pts · last 511.0Goals for · last 50.62.8Goals against · last 52.063Attack rating3842Defence rating5867Form rating3340H2H rating6045Goals model5552Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Stal Mielec

2W 3D 5L · goals 14:26 · per match 1.4 for, 2.6 against

17 OctAMiedz Legnica0-3L
11 OctHWarta Poznań2-1W
19 SepALechia Gdansk1-7L
14 SepHNieciecza1-2L
5 SepHOdra Opole1-1D
2 SepAGórnik Łęczna3-3D
29 AugAPogoń Siedlce0-2L
23 AugAŁKS Łódź0-4L
16 AugHPolonia Bytom5-2W
8 AugHStal Rzeszów1-1D

Chrobry Głogów

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

17 OctAPolonia Bytom2-3L
10 OctHPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0-4L
3 OctHWarta Poznań1-3L
19 SepAPolonia Warszawa0-2L
12 SepHPogoń Siedlce0-0D
5 SepAMiedz Legnica1-1D
2 SepAMiedz Legnica1-0W
30 AugHRuch Chorzów2-0W
21 AugHWarta Poznań0-1L
15 AugHPodbeskidzie1-1D

Head to head

2Stal Mielec wins
1draws
3Chrobry Głogów wins

6 meetings · goals 8:6 · last 6: 2W 1D 3L for Stal Mielec

17 Apr 2026I LigaI LigaChrobry Głogów2-1Stal Mielec
3 Oct 2025I LigaI LigaStal Mielec1-2Chrobry Głogów
14 Jul 2020I LigaI LigaStal Mielec1-0Chrobry Głogów
27 Oct 2019I LigaI LigaChrobry Głogów1-0Stal Mielec
28 Apr 2019I LigaI LigaStal Mielec5-1Chrobry Głogów
13 Oct 2018I LigaI LigaChrobry Głogów0-0Stal Mielec

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the I Liga table, Stal Mielec sit 14th with 12 points from 11 games, while Chrobry Głogów are 11th with 12 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1163219:9+1021
2Polonia Warszawa1162318:13+520
3Nieciecza1162318:14+420
4Lechia Gdansk1161421:17+419
5Warta Poznań1160519:15+418
6Ruch Chorzów1153314:11+318
7ŁKS Łódź1153314:11+318
8Miedz Legnica1152417:10+717
9Stal Rzeszów1152415:20-517
10Polonia Bytom1136218:19-115
11Chrobry Głogów1133513:15-212
12Pogoń Siedlce1133513:15-212
13Odra Opole113358:12-412
14Stal Mielec1133516:27-1112
15Arka Gdynia1132613:15-211
16Podbeskidzie1118213:15-211
17Unia Skierniewice1132612:18-611
18Puszcza Niepołomice1130811:16-59

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.26X27%3.34233%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.682.146.3%
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Betano1.672.107.5%
1xBet1.682.029.0%
BetVictor1.682.029.0%
Marathonbet1.682.029.0%
Best of all books1.702.155.3%
Average1.682.087.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.552.308.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.562.258.5%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
Marathonbet1.562.219.4%
Best of all books1.572.307.2%
Average1.562.258.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stal Mielec 45%Draw 45%Chrobry Głogów 10%

The statistical model rates Stal Mielec at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chrobry Głogów at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.26 | 3.34 | 2.77, which imply roughly 44.2% for a Stal Mielec win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Stal Mielec are 14th (12 pts, 16-27 goals), Chrobry Głogów 11th (12 pts, 13-15).

Over their last five matches, Stal Mielec averaged 1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Chrobry Głogów averaged 0.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Stal Mielec or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.263.352.76

Double chance

1XX212
1.381.541.27

Draw no bet

12
1.712.03

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.562.25

1st half

1X2
2.812.233.31

2nd half

1X2
2.582.553.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6013.226.7
HT X5.785.526.66
HT 224.013.34.51

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8213.42.05

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.3
1.51.204.07
2.51.682.08
3.52.701.41
4.54.991.14
5.59.601.05
6.517.31.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.10
1.251.085.50
1.751.223.50
21.283.08
2.251.492.40
2.751.871.84
32.121.63
3.252.401.49
3.753.211.27
44.301.15
4.254.661.12
4.756.401.05
59.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.671.41
-0.52.281.59
-0.251.971.76
01.682.06
+0.251.502.40
+0.51.422.79
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.701.02
-28.701.01
-1.755.681.10
-1.54.301.16
-1.253.941.21
-13.531.25
+0.751.273.41
+11.134.78
+1.251.115.32
+1.51.095.78
+1.751.027.80
+21.0110.5

Next I Liga matches

23 OctPolonia Warszawa – Miedz Legnica
24 OctUnia Skierniewice – Polonia Bytom
24 OctArka Gdynia – Nieciecza
24 OctPuszcza Niepołomice – Lechia Gdansk
25 OctOdra Opole – Pogoń Siedlce
25 OctRuch Chorzów – Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

19 OctNieciecza 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice
18 OctLechia Gdansk 2-1 Arka Gdynia
18 OctPogoń Siedlce 3-4 Stal Rzeszów
18 OctŁKS Łódź 1-0 Podbeskidzie
17 OctMiedz Legnica 3-0 Stal Mielec
17 OctPolonia Bytom 3-2 Chrobry Głogów