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Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice• I Liga, Poland

#61.8:1.216:00Tomorrow · Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza, Nieciecza1.6:1.4#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83DAFX3.88PIN24.041XBMargin at best5.2%Books6Markets56Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.793.863.957.1%
BetVictor1.753.704.009.2%
1xBet1.713.723.9610.6%
William Hill1.753.603.8011.2%
Bet3651.803.403.7511.6%
Marathonbet1.693.723.8811.8%
Best of all books1.803.864.006.5%
Average1.753.673.8910.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NiecieczaPuszcza Niepołomice
Last 10#6Table position#181.70Points per game0.9013Form pts · last 531.8Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.453Attack rating4754Defence rating4665Form rating3550H2H rating5060Goals model4056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

Nieciecza

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against

10 OctAUnia Skierniewice2-2D
3 OctACracovia Krakow3-2W
19 SepHOdra Opole1-0W
14 SepAStal Mielec2-1W
4 SepHLechia Gdansk2-1W
1 SepAWigry Suwałki5-1W
28 AugAPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2-2D
22 AugHPolonia Warszawa1-3L
16 AugAŁKS Łódź1-2L
9 AugHWarta Poznań1-2L

Puszcza Niepołomice

4W 0D 6L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

15 OctAPogoń Siedlce3-1W
11 OctHPolonia Bytom0-1L
2 OctAWieczysta Kraków3-4L
18 SepAWarta Poznań2-3L
11 SepHŁKS Łódź1-2L
1 SepAWisła Płock II2-0W
29 AugHPodbeskidzie2-0W
23 AugHUnia Skierniewice0-1L
17 AugAArka Gdynia0-3L
8 AugHOdra Opole3-1W

Head to head

4Nieciecza wins
4draws
5Puszcza Niepołomice wins

13 meetings · goals 20:15 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Nieciecza

8 Jul 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsPuszcza Niepołomice0-3Nieciecza
12 Jul 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNieciecza1-1Puszcza Niepołomice
12 Jan 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsPuszcza Niepołomice2-1Nieciecza
11 Jun 2023I LigaI LigaNieciecza2-3Puszcza Niepołomice
12 Apr 2023I LigaI LigaNieciecza2-1Puszcza Niepołomice
15 Aug 2022I LigaI LigaPuszcza Niepołomice0-0Nieciecza
28 Apr 2021I LigaI LigaNieciecza4-0Puszcza Niepołomice
25 Nov 2020I LigaI LigaPuszcza Niepołomice0-0Nieciecza
19 Aug 2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsPuszcza Niepołomice2-1Nieciecza
26 Jun 2020I LigaI LigaNieciecza1-3Puszcza Niepołomice

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 18 Oct 14:30 UTC

In the I Liga table, Nieciecza sit 6th with 17 points from 10 games, while Puszcza Niepołomice are 18th with 9 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1163219:9+1021
2Polonia Warszawa1162318:13+520
3Warta Poznań1160519:15+418
4Ruch Chorzów1153314:11+318
5Miedz Legnica1152417:10+717
6Nieciecza1052316:14+217
7Lechia Gdansk1051419:16+316
8ŁKS Łódź1043313:11+215
9Polonia Bytom1136218:19-115
10Stal Rzeszów1042411:17-614
11Pogoń Siedlce1033410:11-112
12Chrobry Głogów1133513:15-212
13Odra Opole113358:12-412
14Stal Mielec1133516:27-1112
15Podbeskidzie1018113:14-111
16Arka Gdynia1032512:13-111
17Unia Skierniewice1132612:18-611
18Puszcza Niepołomice1030711:14-39

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.76X25%3.68223%3.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 00:0116 Oct 03:201 1.76X 3.682 3.90
11.74 → 1.76 +1.1%X3.70 → 3.68 -0.5%23.95 → 3.90 -1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.672.195.5%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
BetVictor1.642.089.1%
1xBet1.622.119.1%
Marathonbet1.622.119.1%
Best of all books1.702.194.5%
Average1.652.127.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.602.188.4%
BetVictor1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.602.149.2%
Best of all books1.672.185.8%
Average1.622.148.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nieciecza 45%Draw 45%Puszcza Niepołomice 10%

The statistical model rates Nieciecza at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Puszcza Niepołomice at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.68 | 3.90, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Nieciecza win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Nieciecza are 6th (17 pts, 16-14 goals), Puszcza Niepołomice 18th (9 pts, 11-14).

Over their last five matches, Nieciecza averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Puszcza Niepołomice averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nieciecza or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.753.673.89

Double chance

1XX212
1.201.911.22

Draw no bet

12
1.353.05

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.14

1st half

1X2
2.282.344.40

2nd half

1X2
2.092.613.94

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6514.233.7
HT X4.776.009.20
HT 221.715.06.63

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5914.12.42

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.1
1.51.184.26
2.51.652.12
3.52.601.43
4.54.831.14
5.59.231.03
6.521.01.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.35
1.251.085.70
1.751.203.68
21.263.20
2.251.462.50
2.751.791.89
32.051.66
3.252.331.53
3.753.041.29
43.901.18
4.254.251.15
4.755.751.07
58.101.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.951.35
-1.252.651.42
-12.331.54
-0.751.951.76
-0.51.772.01
-0.251.532.33
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.01.01
-39.201.02
-2.757.401.03
-2.55.771.10
-2.255.481.11
-25.051.13
-1.753.591.24
01.333.03
+0.251.263.47
+0.51.234.04
+0.751.125.10
+11.037.60
+1.251.027.68
+1.51.018.50

Next I Liga matches

18 OctPogoń Siedlce – Stal Rzeszów
18 OctLechia Gdansk – Arka Gdynia

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

18 OctŁKS Łódź 1-0 Podbeskidzie
17 OctMiedz Legnica 3-0 Stal Mielec
17 OctPolonia Bytom 3-2 Chrobry Głogów
17 OctPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0-1 Polonia Warszawa
16 OctRuch Chorzów 3-0 Odra Opole
16 OctWarta Poznań 1-0 Unia Skierniewice