Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów• I Liga, Poland

#111.0:1.015:00Today · Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce1.6:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.41PINX3.40BVC22.90B365Margin at best5.4%Books6Markets82Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 05:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.44	3.46	2.85	5.0%
BetVictor	2.25	3.40	2.80	9.6%
1xBet	2.26	3.34	2.74	10.7%
Bet365	2.25	3.30	2.70	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.24	3.34	2.68	11.9%
William Hill	2.30	3.10	2.70	12.8%
Best of all books	2.44	3.46	2.85	5.0%
Average	2.29	3.32	2.74	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pogoń SiedlceStal Rzeszów

Last 10#11Table position#101.20Points per game1.407Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.038Attack rating6250Defence rating5037Form rating6338H2H rating6251Goals model4943Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:30 UTC

Pogoń Siedlce

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

15 Oct	H	Puszcza Niepołomice	1-3	L
9 Oct	A	Podbeskidzie	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Arka Gdynia	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Chrobry Głogów	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Kluczevia Stargard	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	Stal Mielec	2-0	W
21 Aug	A	Lechia Gdansk	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Polonia Warszawa	1-0	W
7 Aug	A	Polonia Bytom	2-2	D
5 Aug	H	Jastrzębie	3-0	W

Stal Rzeszów

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

12 Oct	H	Lechia Gdansk	1-2	L
2 Oct	A	Karviná	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Miedz Legnica	3-2	W
13 Sep	A	Odra Opole	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Polonia Warszawa	2-1	W
1 Sep	H	Podbeskidzie	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Unia Skierniewice	1-0	W
24 Aug	H	Ruch Chorzów	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Stal Mielec	1-1	D

Head to head

3Pogoń Siedlce wins

2draws

5Stal Rzeszów wins

10 meetings · goals 17:20 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Pogoń Siedlce

10 May 2026I Liga	I Liga	Pogoń Siedlce1-2Stal Rzeszów
2 Nov 2025I Liga	I Liga	Stal Rzeszów1-1Pogoń Siedlce
30 Mar 2025I Liga	I Liga	Stal Rzeszów2-4Pogoń Siedlce
1 Sep 2024I Liga	I Liga	Pogoń Siedlce1-1Stal Rzeszów
1 May 2022II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Pogoń Siedlce1-4Stal Rzeszów
23 Oct 2021II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Stal Rzeszów3-0Pogoń Siedlce
7 Apr 2021II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Stal Rzeszów1-5Pogoń Siedlce
5 Sep 2020II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Pogoń Siedlce0-2Stal Rzeszów
17 Nov 2019II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Pogoń Siedlce2-1Stal Rzeszów
27 Jul 2019II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Stal Rzeszów3-2Pogoń Siedlce

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 17 Oct 17:40 UTC

In the I Liga table, Pogoń Siedlce sit 11th with 12 points from 10 games, while Stal Rzeszów are 10th with 14 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	11	6	3	2	19:9	+10	21
2	Polonia Warszawa	11	6	2	3	18:13	+5	20
3	Warta Poznań	11	6	0	5	19:15	+4	18
4	Ruch Chorzów	11	5	3	3	14:11	+3	18
5	Miedz Legnica	11	5	2	4	17:10	+7	17
6	Nieciecza	10	5	2	3	16:14	+2	17
7	Lechia Gdansk	10	5	1	4	19:16	+3	16
8	ŁKS Łódź	10	4	3	3	13:11	+2	15
9	Polonia Bytom	11	3	6	2	18:19	-1	15
10	Stal Rzeszów	10	4	2	4	11:17	-6	14
11	Pogoń Siedlce	10	3	3	4	10:11	-1	12
12	Chrobry Głogów	11	3	3	5	13:15	-2	12
13	Odra Opole	11	3	3	5	8:12	-4	12
14	Stal Mielec	11	3	3	5	16:27	-11	12
15	Podbeskidzie	10	1	8	1	13:14	-1	11
16	Arka Gdynia	10	3	2	5	12:13	-1	11
17	Unia Skierniewice	11	3	2	6	12:18	-6	11
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	10	3	0	7	11:14	-3	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.26X27%3.34233%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.19 → 2.26 +3.2%X3.30 → 3.34 +1.2%22.93 → 2.77 -5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.77	2.08	4.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
BetVictor	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.77	2.08	4.6%
Average	1.73	2.02	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.59	2.19	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.15	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.60	2.18	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pogoń Siedlce 10%Draw 45%Stal Rzeszów 45%

The statistical model rates Pogoń Siedlce at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Stal Rzeszów at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.26 | 3.34 | 2.77, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Pogoń Siedlce are 11th (12 pts, 10-11 goals), Stal Rzeszów 10th (14 pts, 11-17).

Over their last five matches, Pogoń Siedlce averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Stal Rzeszów averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Stal Rzeszów.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.29	3.32	2.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.53	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.72	2.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
2.87	2.24	3.38

2nd half

1	X	2
2.56	2.48	3.15

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.57	13.5	28.3
HT X	5.63	5.47	6.73
HT 2	24.3	13.5	4.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	12.0	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.6
1.5	1.21	3.88
2.5	1.73	2.02
3.5	2.79	1.38
4.5	5.22	1.13
5.5	9.75	1.04
6.5	23.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	1.01	8.80
1.25	1.10	5.00
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.34	2.81
2.25	1.54	2.32
2.75	1.91	1.79
3	2.20	1.58
3.25	2.48	1.46
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.30	1.15
4.25	4.64	1.12
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.69	1.41
-0.5	2.32	1.58
-0.25	1.99	1.74
0	1.70	2.06
+0.25	1.51	2.39
+0.5	1.42	2.85

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.60	1.01
-2	7.90	1.02
-1.75	5.52	1.11
-1.5	4.25	1.17
-1.25	3.89	1.21
-1	3.55	1.25
+0.75	1.28	3.36
+1	1.15	4.73
+1.25	1.12	5.10
+1.5	1.10	5.50
+1.75	1.04	6.85

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.30
7.5	1.07	5.34
8.5	1.23	3.44
9.5	1.46	2.48
10.5	1.78	1.93
11.5	2.15	1.64
12.5	2.86	1.33
13.5	3.91	1.17
14.5	5.72	1.06

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.03
7	1.02	6.75
7.25	1.08	5.22
7.75	1.08	5.11
8	1.10	4.88
8.25	1.16	4.00
8.75	1.25	3.28
9	1.28	3.11
9.25	1.37	2.74
9.75	1.50	2.36
10	1.59	2.23
10.25	1.67	2.07
10.75	1.85	1.85
11	1.99	1.75
11.25	2.08	1.66
11.75	2.35	1.51
12	2.53	1.46
12.25	2.70	1.38
12.75	3.14	1.27
13	3.58	1.21
13.25	3.74	1.19
13.75	4.48	1.12
14	5.34	1.07
14.25	5.53	1.06

Next I Liga matches

18 Oct	ŁKS Łódź – Podbeskidzie
18 Oct	Lechia Gdansk – Arka Gdynia
19 Oct	Nieciecza – Puszcza Niepołomice

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

17 Oct	Miedz Legnica 3-0 Stal Mielec
17 Oct	Polonia Bytom 3-2 Chrobry Głogów
17 Oct	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0-1 Polonia Warszawa
16 Oct	Ruch Chorzów 3-0 Odra Opole
16 Oct	Warta Poznań 1-0 Unia Skierniewice
15 Oct	Pogoń Siedlce 1-3 Puszcza Niepołomice