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Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica• I Liga, Poland

#21.6:1.016:00Today · Stadion Polonii, Warsaw1.4:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98DAFX3.80BFR23.77PINMargin at best3.3%Books10Markets83Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 05:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.883.793.805.9%
Dafabet1.983.703.406.9%
Betano1.913.653.557.9%
BetVictor1.873.753.409.6%
1xBet1.883.523.4610.5%
Betfair1.853.803.3010.7%
Marathonbet1.863.523.3811.8%
Bet3651.833.603.4011.8%
William Hill1.913.403.3012.1%
SBO1.933.222.9416.9%
Best of all books1.983.803.803.1%
Average1.893.603.3910.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Polonia WarszawaMiedz Legnica
Last 10#2Table position#81.82Points per game1.5513Form pts · last 531.6Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.453Attack rating4758Defence rating4271Form rating2938H2H rating6233Goals model6750Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Polonia Warszawa

6W 1D 3L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

17 OctAPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1-0W
10 OctAArka Gdynia2-1W
3 OctAJagiellonia2-1W
19 SepHChrobry Głogów2-0W
11 SepHPolonia Bytom2-2D
5 SepAStal Rzeszów1-2L
2 SepAGórnik Polkowice1-0W
29 AugHLechia Gdansk2-4L
22 AugANieciecza3-1W
15 AugAPogoń Siedlce0-1L

Miedz Legnica

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

17 OctHStal Mielec3-0W
11 OctAOdra Opole0-1L
3 OctAZaglebie Lubin0-1L
19 SepHStal Rzeszów2-3L
13 SepALechia Gdansk1-2L
5 SepHChrobry Głogów1-1D
2 SepHChrobry Głogów0-1L
30 AugHWarta Poznań2-1W
23 AugHArka Gdynia2-0W
16 AugAUnia Skierniewice3-0W

Head to head

1Polonia Warszawa wins
2draws
3Miedz Legnica wins

6 meetings · goals 9:11 · last 6: 1W 2D 3L for Polonia Warszawa

21 Mar 2026I LigaI LigaPolonia Warszawa1-1Miedz Legnica
14 Sep 2025I LigaI LigaMiedz Legnica1-1Polonia Warszawa
2 Mar 2025I LigaI LigaMiedz Legnica2-3Polonia Warszawa
17 Aug 2024I LigaI LigaPolonia Warszawa0-1Miedz Legnica
23 Feb 2024I LigaI LigaMiedz Legnica2-1Polonia Warszawa
14 Aug 2023I LigaI LigaPolonia Warszawa3-4Miedz Legnica

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the I Liga table, Polonia Warszawa sit 2nd with 20 points from 11 games, while Miedz Legnica are 8th with 17 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1163219:9+1021
2Polonia Warszawa1162318:13+520
3Nieciecza1162318:14+420
4Lechia Gdansk1161421:17+419
5Warta Poznań1160519:15+418
6Ruch Chorzów1153314:11+318
7ŁKS Łódź1153314:11+318
8Miedz Legnica1152417:10+717
9Stal Rzeszów1152415:20-517
10Polonia Bytom1136218:19-115
11Chrobry Głogów1133513:15-212
12Pogoń Siedlce1133513:15-212
13Odra Opole113358:12-412
14Stal Mielec1133516:27-1112
15Arka Gdynia1132613:15-211
16Podbeskidzie1118213:15-211
17Unia Skierniewice1132612:18-611
18Puszcza Niepołomice1130811:16-59

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.89X25%3.57227%3.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Oct 00:0022 Oct 10:301 1.89X 3.572 3.39
11.92 → 1.89 -1.6%X3.59 → 3.57 -0.6%23.31 → 3.39 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.552.445.5%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Betano1.572.326.8%
Betfair1.502.408.3%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
1xBet1.472.3510.6%
Marathonbet1.472.3510.6%
Best of all books1.572.444.7%
Average1.522.368.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.502.506.7%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
Betano1.522.378.0%
BetVictor1.472.508.0%
1xBet1.442.558.7%
William Hill1.502.388.7%
Marathonbet1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.532.554.6%
Average1.492.458.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Polonia Warszawa 10%Draw 45%Miedz Legnica 45%

The statistical model rates Polonia Warszawa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Miedz Legnica at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.57 | 3.39, which imply roughly 28% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Polonia Warszawa are 2nd (20 pts, 18-13 goals), Miedz Legnica 8th (17 pts, 17-10).

Over their last five matches, Polonia Warszawa averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Miedz Legnica averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Miedz Legnica.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.893.603.39

Double chance

1XX212
1.261.801.22

Draw no bet

12
1.442.61

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.492.45

1st half

1X2
2.382.373.77

2nd half

1X2
2.202.723.47

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9013.328.2
HT X5.176.188.20
HT 220.013.35.64

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6517.12.23

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.6
1.51.144.93
2.51.522.36
3.52.301.56
4.53.971.21
5.57.401.06
6.514.41.02
7.529.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.90
1.751.134.50
21.174.00
2.251.322.88
2.751.622.13
31.831.88
3.252.031.69
3.752.571.40
43.141.27
4.253.511.22
4.754.751.12
56.401.05
5.256.751.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.891.36
-12.571.45
-0.752.131.64
-0.51.891.87
-0.251.652.11
01.432.64
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.501.07
-2.256.031.08
-25.681.10
-1.754.041.19
-1.53.241.30
+0.251.343.04
+0.51.293.61
+0.751.174.25
+11.086.25
+1.251.076.73
+1.51.057.13

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.046.05
8.51.193.80
9.51.382.68
10.51.632.15
11.51.961.74
12.52.521.44
13.53.501.22
14.55.001.09
15.57.311.01
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.055.81
81.065.57
8.251.124.49
8.751.203.64
91.223.46
9.251.303.00
9.751.422.56
101.492.44
10.251.572.22
10.751.741.97
111.851.89
11.251.941.77
11.752.181.60
122.371.52
12.252.481.45
12.752.851.34
133.201.26
13.253.341.24
13.753.961.16
144.641.11
14.254.821.10
14.755.841.05
157.151.01
15.257.111.01

Next I Liga matches

24 OctStal Mielec – Chrobry Głogów
24 OctUnia Skierniewice – Polonia Bytom
24 OctArka Gdynia – Nieciecza
24 OctPuszcza Niepołomice – Lechia Gdansk
25 OctOdra Opole – Pogoń Siedlce
25 OctRuch Chorzów – Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

19 OctNieciecza 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice
18 OctLechia Gdansk 2-1 Arka Gdynia
18 OctPogoń Siedlce 3-4 Stal Rzeszów
18 OctŁKS Łódź 1-0 Podbeskidzie
17 OctMiedz Legnica 3-0 Stal Mielec
17 OctPolonia Bytom 3-2 Chrobry Głogów