Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki• I Liga, Poland

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Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX4.09PIN24.85PINMargin at best5.7%Books6Markets56Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.61	4.09	4.85	7.2%
BetVictor	1.60	3.90	4.75	9.2%
1xBet	1.57	3.90	4.70	10.6%
William Hill	1.60	3.75	4.60	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.55	3.90	4.60	11.9%
Bet365	1.57	3.70	4.50	12.9%
Best of all books	1.61	4.09	4.85	7.2%
Average	1.58	3.87	4.67	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ruch ChorzówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Last 10#6Table position#11.64Points per game1.918Form pts · last 562.2Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 50.855Attack rating4550Defence rating5055Form rating4567H2H rating3336Goals model6454Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

Ruch Chorzów

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

16 Oct	H	Odra Opole	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	ŁKS Łódź	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Lechia Gdansk	1-3	L
18 Sep	A	Polonia Bytom	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Podbeskidzie	3-3	D
7 Sep	H	Unia Skierniewice	3-1	W
2 Sep	A	Lechia Zielona Góra	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Chrobry Głogów	0-2	L
24 Aug	A	Stal Rzeszów	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Lechia Gdansk	1-0	W

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

3W 3D 4L · goals 17:19 · per match 1.7 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	H	Polonia Warszawa	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Chrobry Głogów	4-0	W
2 Oct	A	Radomiak Radom	2-7	L
19 Sep	H	ŁKS Łódź	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Unia Skierniewice	2-3	L
4 Sep	H	Warta Poznań	1-0	W
1 Sep	A	Podhale Nowy Targ	1-3	L
28 Aug	H	Nieciecza	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Polonia Bytom	2-2	D
14 Aug	H	Stal Rzeszów	1-1	D

Head to head

1Ruch Chorzów wins

3draws

0Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki wins

4 meetings · goals 9:6 · last 4: 1W 3D 0L for Ruch Chorzów

27 Apr 2026I Liga	I Liga	Ruch Chorzów2-2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
17 Oct 2025I Liga	I Liga	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2-2Ruch Chorzów
12 Mar 2022II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Ruch Chorzów4-1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
28 Aug 2021II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1-1Ruch Chorzów

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the I Liga table, Ruch Chorzów sit 6th with 18 points from 11 games, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 1st with 21 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	11	6	3	2	19:9	+10	21
2	Polonia Warszawa	11	6	2	3	18:13	+5	20
3	Nieciecza	11	6	2	3	18:14	+4	20
4	Lechia Gdansk	11	6	1	4	21:17	+4	19
5	Warta Poznań	11	6	0	5	19:15	+4	18
6	Ruch Chorzów	11	5	3	3	14:11	+3	18
7	ŁKS Łódź	11	5	3	3	14:11	+3	18
8	Miedz Legnica	11	5	2	4	17:10	+7	17
9	Stal Rzeszów	11	5	2	4	15:20	-5	17
10	Polonia Bytom	11	3	6	2	18:19	-1	15
11	Chrobry Głogów	11	3	3	5	13:15	-2	12
12	Pogoń Siedlce	11	3	3	5	13:15	-2	12
13	Odra Opole	11	3	3	5	8:12	-4	12
14	Stal Mielec	11	3	3	5	16:27	-11	12
15	Arka Gdynia	11	3	2	6	13:15	-2	11
16	Podbeskidzie	11	1	8	2	13:15	-2	11
17	Unia Skierniewice	11	3	2	6	12:18	-6	11
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	11	3	0	8	11:16	-5	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.59X23%3.86220%4.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.63	2.24	6.0%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
BetVictor	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Best of all books	1.65	2.24	5.2%
Average	1.62	2.17	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.65	2.08	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.65	2.10	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ruch Chorzów 45%Draw 45%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 10%

The statistical model rates Ruch Chorzów at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.86 | 4.64, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Ruch Chorzów win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Ruch Chorzów are 6th (18 pts, 14-11 goals), Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1st (21 pts, 19-9).

Over their last five matches, Ruch Chorzów averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ruch Chorzów or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	3.87	4.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.16	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
2.09	2.37	5.00

2nd half

1	X	2
1.93	2.67	4.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.34	14.4	38.7
HT X	4.55	6.40	11.0
HT 2	20.3	15.4	8.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	15.0	2.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.7
1.5	1.18	4.24
2.5	1.62	2.17
3.5	2.54	1.45
4.5	4.50	1.16
5.5	8.70	1.03
6.5	19.0	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.10
1.25	1.08	5.60
1.75	1.20	3.70
2	1.25	3.28
2.25	1.44	2.54
2.75	1.76	1.93
3	1.99	1.70
3.25	2.25	1.55
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.74	1.19
4.25	4.05	1.16
4.75	5.40	1.09
5	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.56	1.44
-1.25	2.30	1.55
-1	2.00	1.72
-0.75	1.74	1.98
-0.5	1.60	2.26
-0.25	1.41	2.67

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.90	1.01
-3	8.30	1.01
-2.75	6.07	1.09
-2.5	4.77	1.14
-2.25	4.37	1.16
-2	4.00	1.19
-1.75	3.06	1.32
0	1.24	3.63
+0.25	1.19	4.11
+0.5	1.18	4.65
+0.75	1.09	5.93
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.02	9.00

Next I Liga matches

23 Oct	Polonia Warszawa – Miedz Legnica
24 Oct	Stal Mielec – Chrobry Głogów
24 Oct	Unia Skierniewice – Polonia Bytom
24 Oct	Arka Gdynia – Nieciecza
24 Oct	Puszcza Niepołomice – Lechia Gdansk
25 Oct	Odra Opole – Pogoń Siedlce

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

19 Oct	Nieciecza 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice
18 Oct	Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Arka Gdynia
18 Oct	Pogoń Siedlce 3-4 Stal Rzeszów
18 Oct	ŁKS Łódź 1-0 Podbeskidzie
17 Oct	Miedz Legnica 3-0 Stal Mielec
17 Oct	Polonia Bytom 3-2 Chrobry Głogów