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Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza• I Liga, Poland

#150.8:2.013:30Tomorrow · Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, Gdynia1.8:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.19PINX3.71PIN22.94PINMargin at best6.6%Books10Markets48Rating32 · 69Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:59 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.193.712.946.6%
Dafabet2.263.552.906.9%
Betano2.203.552.927.9%
Betfair2.153.702.809.3%
BetVictor2.153.502.889.8%
1xBet2.113.482.9010.6%
William Hill2.153.402.8011.6%
Marathonbet2.093.482.8411.8%
Bet3652.153.402.7512.3%
SBO2.093.192.6317.2%
Best of all books2.263.712.945.2%
Average2.153.502.8410.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arka GdyniaNieciecza
Last 10#15Table position#31.00Points per game1.823Form pts · last 5130.8Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 50.831Attack rating6929Defence rating717Form rating9320H2H rating8064Goals model3632Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Arka Gdynia

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

18 OctALechia Gdansk1-2L
10 OctHPolonia Warszawa1-2L
3 OctHIFK Goteborg3-2W
20 SepAPogoń Siedlce1-2L
12 SepAWarta Poznań0-3L
6 SepHŁKS Łódź1-1D
2 SepAResovia Rzeszów4-0W
30 AugHPolonia Bytom1-1D
23 AugAMiedz Legnica0-2L
17 AugHPuszcza Niepołomice3-0W

Nieciecza

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

19 OctHPuszcza Niepołomice2-0W
10 OctAUnia Skierniewice2-2D
3 OctACracovia Krakow3-2W
19 SepHOdra Opole1-0W
14 SepAStal Mielec2-1W
4 SepHLechia Gdansk2-1W
1 SepAWigry Suwałki5-1W
28 AugAPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2-2D
22 AugHPolonia Warszawa1-3L
16 AugAŁKS Łódź1-2L

Head to head

2Arka Gdynia wins
2draws
6Nieciecza wins

10 meetings · goals 12:17 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Arka Gdynia

18 May 2026EkstraklasaEkstraklasaArka Gdynia2-3Nieciecza
21 Nov 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaNieciecza2-0Arka Gdynia
4 May 2025I LigaI LigaArka Gdynia2-1Nieciecza
26 Oct 2024I LigaI LigaNieciecza2-1Arka Gdynia
11 Dec 2023I LigaI LigaNieciecza2-1Arka Gdynia
21 Jul 2023I LigaI LigaArka Gdynia2-2Nieciecza
3 Jun 2023I LigaI LigaNieciecza2-1Arka Gdynia
6 Nov 2022I LigaI LigaArka Gdynia1-2Nieciecza
21 Apr 2021I LigaI LigaArka Gdynia1-1Nieciecza
25 Sep 2020I LigaI LigaNieciecza0-1Arka Gdynia

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the I Liga table, Arka Gdynia sit 15th with 11 points from 11 games, while Nieciecza are 3rd with 20 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1163219:9+1021
2Polonia Warszawa1162318:13+520
3Nieciecza1162318:14+420
4Lechia Gdansk1161421:17+419
5Warta Poznań1160519:15+418
6Ruch Chorzów1153314:11+318
7ŁKS Łódź1153314:11+318
8Miedz Legnica1152417:10+717
9Stal Rzeszów1152415:20-517
10Polonia Bytom1136218:19-115
11Chrobry Głogów1133513:15-212
12Pogoń Siedlce1133513:15-212
13Odra Opole113358:12-412
14Stal Mielec1133516:27-1112
15Arka Gdynia1132613:15-211
16Podbeskidzie1118213:15-211
17Unia Skierniewice1132612:18-611
18Puszcza Niepołomice1130811:16-59

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.14X26%3.49232%2.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.652.215.9%
Betfair1.602.306.0%
Bet3651.622.256.2%
Betano1.652.157.1%
1xBet1.592.179.0%
Marathonbet1.592.179.0%
BetVictor1.612.139.1%
Best of all books1.652.304.1%
Average1.622.207.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.502.506.7%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
Betano1.552.327.6%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
1xBet1.502.388.7%
Marathonbet1.502.349.4%
Best of all books1.552.504.5%
Average1.522.378.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arka Gdynia 10%Draw 45%Nieciecza 45%

The statistical model rates Arka Gdynia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nieciecza at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.49 | 2.85, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Arka Gdynia are 15th (11 pts, 13-15 goals), Nieciecza 3rd (20 pts, 18-14).

Over their last five matches, Arka Gdynia averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Nieciecza averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nieciecza.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.153.502.84

Double chance

1XX212
1.351.601.25

Draw no bet

12
1.652.13

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.37

1st half

1X2
2.682.293.36

2nd half

1X2
2.472.603.10

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.4113.125.9
HT X5.755.866.84
HT 222.213.34.63

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7815.52.06

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.6
1.51.174.43
2.51.622.20
3.52.521.46
4.54.501.17
5.58.621.04
6.515.91.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.80
1.251.066.15
1.751.183.93
21.233.42
2.251.432.57
2.751.761.94
31.991.72
3.252.251.56
3.752.931.32
43.781.19
4.254.161.16
4.755.651.08
58.001.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.491.46
-0.52.171.65
-0.251.901.83
01.622.17
+0.251.462.50
+0.51.402.89
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.501.01
-27.601.03
-1.755.151.12
-1.53.971.19
-1.253.551.25
-13.211.30
+0.751.253.55
+11.125.03
+1.251.105.50
+1.51.085.97
+1.751.028.00

Next I Liga matches

23 OctPolonia Warszawa – Miedz Legnica
24 OctStal Mielec – Chrobry Głogów
24 OctUnia Skierniewice – Polonia Bytom
24 OctPuszcza Niepołomice – Lechia Gdansk
25 OctOdra Opole – Pogoń Siedlce
25 OctRuch Chorzów – Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

19 OctNieciecza 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice
18 OctLechia Gdansk 2-1 Arka Gdynia
18 OctPogoń Siedlce 3-4 Stal Rzeszów
18 OctŁKS Łódź 1-0 Podbeskidzie
17 OctMiedz Legnica 3-0 Stal Mielec
17 OctPolonia Bytom 3-2 Chrobry Głogów