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Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec• I Liga, Poland

#51.2:1.63-0FT17/10 · Legnica1.0:2.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67WHX4.11PIN24.49PINMargin at best6.5%Books6Markets85Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:46 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.674.204.605.4%
BetVictor1.654.004.209.4%
1xBet1.653.944.0610.6%
Bet3651.623.804.2011.9%
William Hill1.623.804.2011.9%
Marathonbet1.633.943.9811.9%
Best of all books1.674.204.605.4%
Average1.643.954.2110.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Miedz LegnicaStal Mielec
Last 10#5Table position#141.55Points per game1.091Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 52.655Attack rating4562Defence rating3850Form rating5050H2H rating5082Goals model1857Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Miedz Legnica

3W 1D 6L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

11 OctAOdra Opole0-1L
3 OctAZaglebie Lubin0-1L
19 SepHStal Rzeszów2-3L
13 SepALechia Gdansk1-2L
5 SepHChrobry Głogów1-1D
2 SepHChrobry Głogów0-1L
30 AugHWarta Poznań2-1W
23 AugHArka Gdynia2-0W
16 AugAUnia Skierniewice3-0W
8 AugHPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0-1L

Stal Mielec

2W 4D 4L · goals 17:26 · per match 1.7 for, 2.6 against

11 OctHWarta Poznań2-1W
19 SepALechia Gdansk1-7L
14 SepHNieciecza1-2L
5 SepHOdra Opole1-1D
2 SepAGórnik Łęczna3-3D
29 AugAPogoń Siedlce0-2L
23 AugAŁKS Łódź0-4L
16 AugHPolonia Bytom5-2W
8 AugHStal Rzeszów1-1D
2 AugHPodbeskidzie3-3D

Head to head

2Miedz Legnica wins
1draws
3Stal Mielec wins

6 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 6: 2W 1D 3L for Miedz Legnica

2 May 2026I LigaI LigaMiedz Legnica1-0Stal Mielec
26 Oct 2025I LigaI LigaStal Mielec1-2Miedz Legnica
17 Apr 2023EkstraklasaEkstraklasaStal Mielec1-1Miedz Legnica
2 Oct 2022EkstraklasaEkstraklasaMiedz Legnica0-2Stal Mielec
2 Jun 2020I LigaI LigaMiedz Legnica1-2Stal Mielec
26 Aug 2019I LigaI LigaStal Mielec1-0Miedz Legnica

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 17 Oct 17:40 UTC

In the I Liga table, Miedz Legnica sit 5th with 17 points from 11 games, while Stal Mielec are 14th with 12 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1163219:9+1021
2Polonia Warszawa1162318:13+520
3Warta Poznań1160519:15+418
4Ruch Chorzów1153314:11+318
5Miedz Legnica1152417:10+717
6Nieciecza1052316:14+217
7Lechia Gdansk1051419:16+316
8ŁKS Łódź1043313:11+215
9Polonia Bytom1136218:19-115
10Stal Rzeszów1042411:17-614
11Pogoń Siedlce1033410:11-112
12Chrobry Głogów1133513:15-212
13Odra Opole113358:12-412
14Stal Mielec1133516:27-1112
15Podbeskidzie1018113:14-111
16Arka Gdynia1032512:13-111
17Unia Skierniewice1132612:18-611
18Puszcza Niepołomice1030711:14-39

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.64X23%3.95222%4.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0114 Oct 20:301 1.64X 3.922 4.19
11.67 → 1.64 -1.8%X3.92 → 3.92 0.0%24.12 → 4.19 +1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.512.585.0%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.492.399.0%
1xBet1.452.4110.5%
Marathonbet1.452.4110.5%
Best of all books1.512.585.0%
Average1.482.468.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.532.387.4%
William Hill1.502.457.5%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
1xBet1.492.428.4%
Marathonbet1.492.389.1%
Best of all books1.532.456.2%
Average1.502.418.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Miedz Legnica 45%Draw 45%Stal Mielec 10%

The statistical model rated Miedz Legnica at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Stal Mielec at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.95 | 4.21, which imply roughly 61% for a Miedz Legnica win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Miedz Legnica are 5th (17 pts, 17-10 goals), Stal Mielec 14th (12 pts, 16-27).

Over their last five matches, Miedz Legnica averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Stal Mielec averaged 1 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Miedz Legnica.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.643.954.21

Double chance

1XX212
1.182.051.19

Draw no bet

12
1.293.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.502.41

1st half

1X2
2.132.494.43

2nd half

1X2
1.982.813.99

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4314.031.0
HT X4.836.839.87
HT 219.315.07.07

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5318.82.44

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.2
1.51.135.19
2.51.482.46
3.52.201.60
4.53.721.23
5.57.071.06
6.515.01.03
7.529.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.90
1.751.144.40
21.174.00
2.251.312.92
2.751.582.19
31.751.95
3.251.981.73
3.752.461.43
43.041.29
4.253.281.25
4.754.391.14
55.801.07
5.256.101.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.641.43
-1.252.381.52
-12.101.67
-0.751.811.90
-0.51.642.19
-0.251.462.52
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-38.501.01
-2.756.121.08
-2.54.801.13
-2.254.471.15
-24.131.18
-1.753.171.31
01.293.29
+0.251.243.68
+0.51.214.25
+0.751.125.18
+11.037.20
+1.51.027.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.065.54
8.51.213.53
9.51.442.52
10.51.751.97
11.52.071.66
12.52.801.35
13.53.781.18
14.55.491.06
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.075.31
81.085.08
8.251.154.14
8.751.233.38
91.263.21
9.251.352.81
9.751.482.41
101.552.30
10.251.642.11
10.751.821.88
111.941.79
11.252.041.70
11.752.301.53
122.511.46
12.252.631.40
12.753.051.29
133.461.22
13.253.621.20
13.754.321.13
145.121.08
14.255.301.07

Next I Liga matches

18 OctŁKS Łódź – Podbeskidzie
18 OctPogoń Siedlce – Stal Rzeszów
18 OctLechia Gdansk – Arka Gdynia
19 OctNieciecza – Puszcza Niepołomice

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

17 OctPolonia Bytom 3-2 Chrobry Głogów
17 OctPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0-1 Polonia Warszawa
16 OctRuch Chorzów 3-0 Odra Opole
16 OctWarta Poznań 1-0 Unia Skierniewice
15 OctPogoń Siedlce 1-3 Puszcza Niepołomice
12 OctStal Rzeszów 1-2 Lechia Gdansk