Pogoń Siedlce vs
Puszcza Niepołomice• I Liga, Poland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 12:26 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.69 | 3.34 | 2.65 | 4.9% |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 7.3% |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.15 | 2.55 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 9.2% |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.38 | 10.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.28 | 2.42 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 3.28 | 2.42 | 11.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 12.3% |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 12.3% |
| SBO | 2.54 | 3.08 | 2.42 | 13.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.70 | 3.34 | 2.65 | 4.7% |
| Average | 2.59 | 3.21 | 2.48 | 10.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:30 UTC
Pogoń Siedlce
5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against
| 15 Oct | H | Puszcza Niepołomice | 1-3 | L |
| 9 Oct | A | Podbeskidzie | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Arka Gdynia | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Chrobry Głogów | 0-0 | D |
| 1 Sep | A | Kluczevia Stargard | 3-2 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Stal Mielec | 2-0 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | Lechia Gdansk | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Polonia Warszawa | 1-0 | W |
| 7 Aug | A | Polonia Bytom | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Aug | H | Jastrzębie | 3-0 | W |
Puszcza Niepołomice
4W 0D 6L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against
| 15 Oct | A | Pogoń Siedlce | 3-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Polonia Bytom | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Oct | A | Wieczysta Kraków | 3-4 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Warta Poznań | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | ŁKS Łódź | 1-2 | L |
| 1 Sep | A | Wisła Płock II | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Podbeskidzie | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Unia Skierniewice | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Arka Gdynia | 0-3 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | Odra Opole | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 0:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Pogoń Siedlce
| 6 Mar 2026I Liga | I Liga | Puszcza Niepołomice3-0Pogoń Siedlce |
| 24 Aug 2025I Liga | I Liga | Pogoń Siedlce0-0Puszcza Niepołomice |
I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 18 Oct 20:50 UTC
In the I Liga table, Pogoń Siedlce sit 12th with 12 points from 11 games, while Puszcza Niepołomice are 18th with 9 points from 10.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:9 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | +5 | 20 |
| 3 | Warta Poznań | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19:15 | +4 | 18 |
| 4 | Ruch Chorzów | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | ŁKS Łódź | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Miedz Legnica | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 17 |
| 7 | Nieciecza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Stal Rzeszów | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:20 | -5 | 17 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 |
| 10 | Polonia Bytom | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:19 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Chrobry Głogów | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Pogoń Siedlce | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Stal Mielec | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 | Podbeskidzie | 11 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 | Unia Skierniewice | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| SBO | 1.93 | 1.91 | 4.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 1.90 | 4.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Betano | 1.88 | 1.85 | 7.2% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 1.82 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 1.86 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 1.86 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.91 | 3.6% |
| Average | 1.88 | 1.86 | 7.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 2.05 | 7.6% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 2.07 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 2.10 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 2.05 | 8.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 2.07 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.15 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.67 | 2.08 | 8.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Pogoń Siedlce at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Puszcza Niepołomice at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.60 | 3.21 | 2.48, which imply roughly 38.5% for a Pogoń Siedlce win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the I Liga table: Pogoń Siedlce are 12th (12 pts, 13-15 goals), Puszcza Niepołomice 18th (9 pts, 11-14).
Over their last five matches, Pogoń Siedlce averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Puszcza Niepołomice averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Pogoń Siedlce or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 3.21 | 2.48 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | 1.42 | 1.29 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.90 | 1.84 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.67 | 2.08 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 2.13 | 3.10 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.88 | 2.43 | 2.81 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.24 | 13.3 | 26.0 |
| HT X | 6.20 | 5.14 | 5.93 |
| HT 2 | 26.5 | 13.4 | 4.01 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.98 | 11.5 | 1.94 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 9.65 |
| 1.5 | 1.26 | 3.46 |
| 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.86 |
| 3.5 | 3.15 | 1.32 |
| 4.5 | 6.16 | 1.10 |
| 5.5 | 11.8 | 1.03 |
| 6.5 | 23.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 50.5 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.98 |
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| 1.75 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| 2 | 1.41 | 2.66 |
| 2.25 | 1.64 | 2.15 |
| 2.75 | 2.07 | 1.67 |
| 3 | 2.48 | 1.47 |
| 3.25 | 2.70 | 1.36 |
| 3.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| 4.25 | 5.30 | 1.09 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.60 | 1.47 |
| -0.25 | 2.22 | 1.59 |
| 0 | 1.88 | 1.84 |
| +0.25 | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| +0.5 | 1.49 | 2.52 |
| +0.75 | 1.34 | 3.02 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 9.50 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 6.83 | 1.06 |
| -1.5 | 5.23 | 1.12 |
| -1.25 | 4.80 | 1.14 |
| -1 | 4.37 | 1.17 |
| -0.75 | 3.14 | 1.32 |
| +1 | 1.19 | 4.17 |
| +1.25 | 1.15 | 4.50 |
| +1.5 | 1.13 | 5.02 |
| +1.75 | 1.07 | 6.66 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 9.60 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.01 | 7.10 |
| 7.5 | 1.14 | 4.24 |
| 8.5 | 1.33 | 2.88 |
| 9.5 | 1.59 | 2.19 |
| 10.5 | 1.96 | 1.76 |
| 11.5 | 2.53 | 1.43 |
| 12.5 | 3.47 | 1.22 |
| 13.5 | 5.00 | 1.09 |
23 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.02 | 6.82 |
| 7 | 1.03 | 6.55 |
| 7.25 | 1.08 | 5.08 |
| 7.75 | 1.16 | 4.04 |
| 8 | 1.18 | 3.83 |
| 8.25 | 1.25 | 3.24 |
| 8.75 | 1.37 | 2.72 |
| 9 | 1.44 | 2.59 |
| 9.25 | 1.52 | 2.33 |
| 9.75 | 1.69 | 2.04 |
| 10 | 1.79 | 1.94 |
| 10.25 | 1.89 | 1.82 |
| 10.75 | 2.12 | 1.64 |
| 11 | 2.30 | 1.56 |
| 11.25 | 2.42 | 1.48 |
| 11.75 | 2.79 | 1.35 |
| 12 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 12.25 | 3.30 | 1.25 |
| 12.75 | 3.92 | 1.17 |
| 13 | 4.62 | 1.11 |
| 13.25 | 4.81 | 1.10 |
| 13.75 | 5.87 | 1.05 |
| 14 | 7.25 | 1.01 |
Next I Liga matches
| 19 Oct | Nieciecza – Puszcza Niepołomice |