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Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice• I Liga, Poland

#120.8:0.61-3FT15/10 · Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce1.0:1.4#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75PINX3.34PIN22.59PINMargin at best4.9%Books10Markets76Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 12:26 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.693.342.654.9%
Dafabet2.653.302.557.3%
Betano2.703.152.558.0%
BetVictor2.603.252.509.2%
Betfair2.603.302.3810.8%
1xBet2.503.282.4211.8%
Marathonbet2.503.282.4211.8%
Bet3652.553.102.4512.3%
William Hill2.623.002.4512.3%
SBO2.543.082.4213.2%
Best of all books2.703.342.654.7%
Average2.593.212.4810.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pogoń SiedlcePuszcza Niepołomice
Last 10#12Table position#181.09Points per game0.907Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 51.444Attack rating5670Defence rating3070Form rating3020H2H rating8084Goals model1658Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:30 UTC

Pogoń Siedlce

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

15 OctHPuszcza Niepołomice1-3L
9 OctAPodbeskidzie0-1L
20 SepHArka Gdynia2-1W
12 SepAChrobry Głogów0-0D
1 SepAKluczevia Stargard3-2W
29 AugHStal Mielec2-0W
21 AugALechia Gdansk0-1L
15 AugHPolonia Warszawa1-0W
7 AugAPolonia Bytom2-2D
5 AugHJastrzębie3-0W

Puszcza Niepołomice

4W 0D 6L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

15 OctAPogoń Siedlce3-1W
11 OctHPolonia Bytom0-1L
2 OctAWieczysta Kraków3-4L
18 SepAWarta Poznań2-3L
11 SepHŁKS Łódź1-2L
1 SepAWisła Płock II2-0W
29 AugHPodbeskidzie2-0W
23 AugHUnia Skierniewice0-1L
17 AugAArka Gdynia0-3L
8 AugHOdra Opole3-1W

Head to head

0Pogoń Siedlce wins
1draws
1Puszcza Niepołomice wins

2 meetings · goals 0:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Pogoń Siedlce

6 Mar 2026I LigaI LigaPuszcza Niepołomice3-0Pogoń Siedlce
24 Aug 2025I LigaI LigaPogoń Siedlce0-0Puszcza Niepołomice

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 18 Oct 20:50 UTC

In the I Liga table, Pogoń Siedlce sit 12th with 12 points from 11 games, while Puszcza Niepołomice are 18th with 9 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1163219:9+1021
2Polonia Warszawa1162318:13+520
3Warta Poznań1160519:15+418
4Ruch Chorzów1153314:11+318
5ŁKS Łódź1153314:11+318
6Miedz Legnica1152417:10+717
7Nieciecza1052316:14+217
8Stal Rzeszów1152415:20-517
9Lechia Gdansk1051419:16+316
10Polonia Bytom1136218:19-115
11Chrobry Głogów1133513:15-212
12Pogoń Siedlce1133513:15-212
13Odra Opole113358:12-412
14Stal Mielec1133516:27-1112
15Arka Gdynia1032512:13-111
16Podbeskidzie1118213:15-211
17Unia Skierniewice1132612:18-611
18Puszcza Niepołomice1030711:14-39

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.60X28%3.21237%2.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12 Oct 00:0015 Oct 10:401 2.60X 3.212 2.47
12.59 → 2.60 +0.4%X3.25 → 3.21 -1.2%22.48 → 2.47 -0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
SBO1.931.914.2%
Pinnacle1.931.904.4%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betano1.881.857.2%
Betfair1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.851.829.0%
1xBet1.811.869.0%
Marathonbet1.811.869.0%
Best of all books1.951.913.6%
Average1.881.867.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
Betano1.672.078.2%
1xBet1.642.108.6%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.642.079.3%
Best of all books1.702.155.3%
Average1.672.088.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pogoń Siedlce 45%Draw 45%Puszcza Niepołomice 10%

The statistical model rated Pogoń Siedlce at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Puszcza Niepołomice at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.60 | 3.21 | 2.48, which imply roughly 38.5% for a Pogoń Siedlce win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Pogoń Siedlce are 12th (12 pts, 13-15 goals), Puszcza Niepołomice 18th (9 pts, 11-14).

Over their last five matches, Pogoń Siedlce averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Puszcza Niepołomice averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pogoń Siedlce or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.603.212.48

Double chance

1XX212
1.461.421.29

Draw no bet

12
1.901.84

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.08

1st half

1X2
3.202.133.10

2nd half

1X2
2.882.432.81

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.2413.326.0
HT X6.205.145.93
HT 226.513.44.01

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9811.51.94

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.65
1.51.263.46
2.51.881.86
3.53.151.32
4.56.161.10
5.511.81.03
6.523.01.01
7.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.98
11.018.70
1.251.124.75
1.751.283.08
21.412.66
2.251.642.15
2.752.071.67
32.481.47
3.252.701.36
3.753.581.21
44.951.11
4.255.301.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.601.47
-0.252.221.59
01.881.84
+0.251.632.17
+0.51.492.52
+0.751.343.02
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-29.501.01
-1.756.831.06
-1.55.231.12
-1.254.801.14
-14.371.17
-0.753.141.32
+11.194.17
+1.251.154.50
+1.51.135.02
+1.751.076.66
+21.019.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.017.10
7.51.144.24
8.51.332.88
9.51.592.19
10.51.961.76
11.52.531.43
12.53.471.22
13.55.001.09
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.82
71.036.55
7.251.085.08
7.751.164.04
81.183.83
8.251.253.24
8.751.372.72
91.442.59
9.251.522.33
9.751.692.04
101.791.94
10.251.891.82
10.752.121.64
112.301.56
11.252.421.48
11.752.791.35
123.141.27
12.253.301.25
12.753.921.17
134.621.11
13.254.811.10
13.755.871.05
147.251.01

Next I Liga matches

19 OctNieciecza – Puszcza Niepołomice

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

18 OctLechia Gdansk 2-1 Arka Gdynia
18 OctPogoń Siedlce 3-4 Stal Rzeszów
18 OctŁKS Łódź 1-0 Podbeskidzie
17 OctMiedz Legnica 3-0 Stal Mielec
17 OctPolonia Bytom 3-2 Chrobry Głogów
17 OctPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0-1 Polonia Warszawa