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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa• I Liga, Poland

#12.2:1.00-1FT17/10 · Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.8:1.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.29PINX3.60BFR22.12BTNMargin at best5.3%Books6Markets79Rating64 · 37Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:46 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.253.602.155.1%
BetVictor3.003.602.059.9%
1xBet3.093.542.0010.6%
Bet3652.883.402.1011.8%
Marathonbet3.023.541.9811.9%
William Hill2.903.302.1012.4%
Best of all books3.253.602.155.1%
Average3.023.502.0610.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
Last 10#1Table position#21.91Points per game1.829Form pts · last 5102.2Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.855Attack rating4564Defence rating3659Form rating4180H2H rating2058Goals model4264Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

10 OctAChrobry Głogów4-0W
2 OctARadomiak Radom2-7L
19 SepHŁKS Łódź2-0W
13 SepAUnia Skierniewice2-3L
4 SepHWarta Poznań1-0W
1 SepAPodhale Nowy Targ1-3L
28 AugHNieciecza2-2D
22 AugAPolonia Bytom2-2D
14 AugHStal Rzeszów1-1D
8 AugAMiedz Legnica1-0W

Polonia Warszawa

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

10 OctAArka Gdynia2-1W
3 OctAJagiellonia2-1W
19 SepHChrobry Głogów2-0W
11 SepHPolonia Bytom2-2D
5 SepAStal Rzeszów1-2L
2 SepAGórnik Polkowice1-0W
29 AugHLechia Gdansk2-4L
22 AugANieciecza3-1W
15 AugAPogoń Siedlce0-1L
7 AugHRuch Chorzów1-1D

Head to head

5Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki wins
1draws
1Polonia Warszawa wins

7 meetings · goals 17:10 · last 7: 5W 1D 1L for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

14 Mar 2026I LigaI LigaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3-2Polonia Warszawa
30 Aug 2025I LigaI LigaPolonia Warszawa2-1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
18 Jan 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3-1Polonia Warszawa
12 Jul 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsPolonia Warszawa2-4Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
15 May 2021III Liga - Group 1III Liga - Group 1Polonia Warszawa0-2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
3 Apr 2021III Liga - Group 1III Liga - Group 1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3-3Polonia Warszawa
13 Mar 2021III Liga - Group 1III Liga - Group 1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1-0Polonia Warszawa

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 17 Oct 17:40 UTC

In the I Liga table, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st with 21 points from 11 games, while Polonia Warszawa are 2nd with 20 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1163219:9+1021
2Polonia Warszawa1162318:13+520
3Warta Poznań1160519:15+418
4Ruch Chorzów1153314:11+318
5Miedz Legnica1152417:10+717
6Nieciecza1052316:14+217
7Lechia Gdansk1051419:16+316
8ŁKS Łódź1043313:11+215
9Polonia Bytom1136218:19-115
10Stal Rzeszów1042411:17-614
11Pogoń Siedlce1033410:11-112
12Chrobry Głogów1133513:15-212
13Odra Opole113358:12-412
14Stal Mielec1133516:27-1112
15Podbeskidzie1018113:14-111
16Arka Gdynia1032512:13-111
17Unia Skierniewice1132612:18-611
18Puszcza Niepołomice1030711:14-39

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.93X26%3.46243%2.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0114 Oct 20:301 3.06X 3.452 2.04
13.18 → 3.06 -3.8%X3.52 → 3.45 -2.0%22.00 → 2.04 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.622.315.0%
Bet3651.622.256.2%
BetVictor1.592.179.0%
1xBet1.582.189.2%
Marathonbet1.582.189.2%
Best of all books1.622.315.0%
Average1.602.227.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.532.387.4%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
William Hill1.502.408.3%
1xBet1.512.368.6%
Marathonbet1.512.329.3%
Best of all books1.532.407.0%
Average1.512.378.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 45%Draw 45%Polonia Warszawa 10%

The statistical model rated Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Polonia Warszawa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.93 | 3.46 | 2.13, which imply roughly 34.1% for a Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 1st (21 pts, 19-9 goals), Polonia Warszawa 2nd (20 pts, 18-13).

Over their last five matches, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Polonia Warszawa averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.023.502.06

Double chance

1XX212
1.641.321.25

Draw no bet

12
2.251.60

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.37

1st half

1X2
3.582.322.63

2nd half

1X2
3.252.602.36

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.9713.823.0
HT X7.505.905.53
HT 228.713.73.19

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1315.81.75

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.4
1.51.164.52
2.51.602.22
3.52.461.48
4.54.441.17
5.58.781.03
6.519.01.02
7.537.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.80
1.251.066.25
1.751.173.94
21.223.48
2.251.432.59
2.751.731.97
31.951.75
3.252.221.58
3.752.921.31
43.781.19
4.254.151.16
4.755.651.08
58.101.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.661.42
02.291.55
+0.251.921.80
+0.51.702.09
+0.751.512.39
+11.343.04
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-29.901.01
-1.56.331.07
-1.255.911.09
-15.421.11
-0.753.781.23
-0.53.111.37
+1.251.273.41
+1.51.223.73
+1.751.144.76
+21.066.97
+2.251.037.40
+2.51.027.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.104.76
8.51.273.17
9.51.502.37
10.51.841.87
11.52.221.60
12.53.081.28
13.54.391.13
14.56.581.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.124.54
81.134.32
8.251.203.60
8.751.312.98
91.342.82
9.251.442.52
9.751.592.19
101.642.14
10.251.771.94
10.751.981.74
112.071.69
11.252.231.57
11.752.551.43
122.641.43
12.252.971.31
12.753.491.22
134.041.16
13.254.221.14
13.755.091.08
146.171.04
14.256.381.03

Next I Liga matches

18 OctŁKS Łódź – Podbeskidzie
18 OctPogoń Siedlce – Stal Rzeszów
18 OctLechia Gdansk – Arka Gdynia
19 OctNieciecza – Puszcza Niepołomice

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

17 OctMiedz Legnica 3-0 Stal Mielec
17 OctPolonia Bytom 3-2 Chrobry Głogów
16 OctRuch Chorzów 3-0 Odra Opole
16 OctWarta Poznań 1-0 Unia Skierniewice
15 OctPogoń Siedlce 1-3 Puszcza Niepołomice
12 OctStal Rzeszów 1-2 Lechia Gdansk