Minija vs Babrungas• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#13.0:0.42-3FT17/101.6:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.56PINX4.00B36525.721XBMargin at best6.6%Books5Markets45Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 08:55 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.51	3.68	5.72	10.9%
Bet365	1.50	4.00	5.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.50	3.68	5.45	12.2%
William Hill	1.55	3.60	5.00	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.56	3.63	4.73	12.8%
Best of all books	1.56	4.00	5.72	6.6%
Average	1.52	3.72	5.18	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MinijaBabrungas

Last 10#1Table position#22.58Points per game2.489Form pts · last 5123.0Goals for · last 51.60.4Goals against · last 50.865Attack rating3567Defence rating3356Form rating447H2H rating9362Goals model3851Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Minija

8W 0D 2L · goals 28:10 · per match 2.8 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	H	Babrungas	2-3	L
11 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris	0-3	L
2 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris II	5-0	W
19 Sep	H	Neptūną Klaipėda	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Dainava	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Transinvest 2	3-0	W
1 Sep	H	Dainava	3-2	W
28 Aug	A	FA Šiauliai II	2-1	W
14 Aug	A	Ekranas	5-0	W
8 Aug	H	Be1 NFA	3-0	W

Babrungas

7W 1D 2L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	A	Minija	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Jonava	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Žalgiris II	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Atmosfera	3-2	W
4 Sep	A	BFA	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Garliava	1-0	W
21 Aug	H	Tauras	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Neptūną Klaipėda	4-0	W
8 Aug	A	Dainava	1-2	L
3 Aug	A	Transinvest 2	1-0	W

Head to head

1Minija wins

3draws

7Babrungas wins

11 meetings · goals 8:19 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Minija

29 May 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas1-0Minija
22 Jul 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija0-1Babrungas
8 Mar 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas1-0Minija
14 Sep 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija0-4Babrungas
26 Apr 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas0-0Minija
4 Nov 20231 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija1-3Babrungas
23 Jun 20231 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas1-1Minija
29 Oct 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija1-1Babrungas
24 Jun 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas3-0Minija
21 Aug 20211 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas1-4Minija

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Minija sit 1st with 67 points from 26 games, while Babrungas are 2nd with 67 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Minija	26	22	1	3	70:16	+54	67
2	Babrungas	27	21	4	2	48:13	+35	67
3	Be1 NFA	26	17	3	6	47:27	+20	54
4	Žalgiris II	27	14	4	9	42:36	+6	46
5	Tauras	26	13	5	8	47:35	+12	44
6	Dainava	27	12	8	7	40:28	+12	44
7	Neptūną Klaipėda	27	14	2	11	33:33	0	44
8	BFA	27	13	4	10	40:40	0	43
9	Atmosfera	26	9	7	10	40:35	+5	34
10	Jonava	27	8	6	13	31:35	-4	30
11	Garliava	27	8	5	14	32:33	-1	29
12	Hegelmann II	27	8	2	17	35:60	-25	26
13	Transinvest 2	27	7	4	16	32:59	-27	25
14	Kauno Žalgiris II	27	7	2	18	26:48	-22	23
15	FA Šiauliai II	27	4	6	17	32:62	-30	18
16	Ekranas	27	4	3	20	27:62	-35	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.52X24%3.72217%5.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 1.52 -14.1%X3.40 → 3.72 +9.4%24.34 → 5.18 +19.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.82	1.89	7.9%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.82	1.89	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.81	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Average	1.82	1.83	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Minija 45%Draw 45%Babrungas 10%

The statistical model rated Minija at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Babrungas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 3.72 | 5.18, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Minija win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Minija are 1st (67 pts, 70-16 goals), Babrungas 2nd (67 pts, 48-13).

Over their last five matches, Minija averaged 3 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Babrungas averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Minija or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.52	3.72	5.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.17	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.11	2.19	5.38

2nd half

1	X	2
1.90	2.53	5.09

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.40	17.5	45.5
HT X	4.55	5.90	11.3
HT 2	21.0	18.5	8.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.43	11.3	3.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	9.60
1.5	1.22	3.50
2.5	1.82	1.89
3.5	2.97	1.30
4.5	5.80	1.11
5.5	12.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.70
1.75	1.29	3.07
2	1.37	2.69
2.25	1.59	2.15
2.75	2.01	1.66
3	2.38	1.47
3.25	2.69	1.37
3.75	3.70	1.20
4	5.05	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.51	1.42
-1.25	2.24	1.53
-1	1.92	1.80
-0.75	1.68	1.99
-0.5	1.55	2.23
-0.25	1.35	2.75

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.00	1.10
-2	4.15	1.16
-1.75	3.03	1.29
0	1.18	3.98
+0.25	1.12	4.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10	1.80	2.00
10.5	2.00	1.73

Next 1 Lyga matches

23 Oct	Garliava – Žalgiris II
24 Oct	Neptūną Klaipėda – Ekranas
24 Oct	Tauras – Be1 NFA
24 Oct	BFA – Minija
24 Oct	Atmosfera – Jonava
25 Oct	Babrungas – Hegelmann II

All 1 Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest 1 Lyga results

17 Oct	FA Šiauliai II 2-3 Garliava
17 Oct	Žalgiris II 2-3 Atmosfera
16 Oct	Ekranas 1-3 Dainava
16 Oct	Hegelmann II 4-4 Tauras
16 Oct	Jonava 3-0 BFA
16 Oct	Kauno Žalgiris II 0-2 Transinvest 2