Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#41.0:0.42-3FT17/101.4:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.71PINX3.60B36522.55B365Margin at best3.9%Books5Markets39Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.71	3.24	2.30	11.2%
Bet365	2.25	3.60	2.55	11.4%
1xBet	2.62	3.30	2.28	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.62	3.30	2.28	12.3%
William Hill	2.60	3.10	2.40	12.4%
Best of all books	2.71	3.60	2.55	3.9%
Average	2.56	3.31	2.36	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Žalgiris IIAtmosfera

Last 10#4Table position#91.70Points per game1.319Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 51.642Attack rating5880Defence rating2071Form rating2938H2H rating6252Goals model4853Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 00:01 UTC

Žalgiris II

7W 1D 2L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Atmosfera	2-3	L
9 Oct	A	BFA	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Babrungas	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Tauras	1-0	W
7 Sep	H	Neptūną Klaipėda	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Dainava	1-0	W
25 Aug	H	Transinvest 2	4-3	W
14 Aug	A	FA Šiauliai II	4-1	W
10 Aug	H	Kauno Žalgiris II	2-1	W
1 Aug	A	Ekranas	1-1	D

Atmosfera

2W 4D 4L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Žalgiris II	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Garliava	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	BFA	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Babrungas	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Tauras	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	Neptūną Klaipėda	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Dainava	1-1	D
14 Aug	A	Transinvest 2	0-2	L
8 Aug	H	FA Šiauliai II	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Kauno Žalgiris II	1-3	L

Head to head

4Žalgiris II wins

5draws

2Atmosfera wins

11 meetings · goals 24:21 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Žalgiris II

30 May 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera2-0Žalgiris II
23 Aug 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera5-0Žalgiris II
26 Apr 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Žalgiris II2-1Atmosfera
27 Aug 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Žalgiris II4-4Atmosfera
15 Apr 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera1-1Žalgiris II
13 Aug 20211 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera3-3Žalgiris II
17 Apr 20211 Lyga	1 Lyga	Žalgiris II5-0Atmosfera
16 Oct 20201 Lyga	1 Lyga	Atmosfera2-2Žalgiris II
10 Jul 20201 Lyga	1 Lyga	Žalgiris II3-0Atmosfera
1 Sep 20191 Lyga	1 Lyga	Žalgiris II2-2Atmosfera

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 21 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Žalgiris II sit 4th with 46 points from 27 games, while Atmosfera are 9th with 34 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Minija	26	22	1	3	70:16	+54	67
2	Babrungas	27	21	4	2	48:13	+35	67
3	Be1 NFA	26	17	3	6	47:27	+20	54
4	Žalgiris II	27	14	4	9	42:36	+6	46
5	Tauras	26	13	5	8	47:35	+12	44
6	Dainava	27	12	8	7	40:28	+12	44
7	Neptūną Klaipėda	27	14	2	11	33:33	0	44
8	BFA	27	13	4	10	40:40	0	43
9	Atmosfera	26	9	7	10	40:35	+5	34
10	Jonava	27	8	6	13	31:35	-4	30
11	Garliava	27	8	5	14	32:33	-1	29
12	Hegelmann II	27	8	2	17	35:60	-25	26
13	Transinvest 2	27	7	4	16	32:59	-27	25
14	Kauno Žalgiris II	27	7	2	18	26:48	-22	23
15	FA Šiauliai II	27	4	6	17	32:62	-30	18
16	Ekranas	27	4	3	20	27:62	-35	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.56X27%3.31238%2.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.68 → 2.56 -4.5%X3.65 → 3.31 -9.3%22.26 → 2.36 +4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.12	7.8%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.12	6.0%
Average	1.65	2.10	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.51	2.34	9.0%
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.29	9.9%
Best of all books	1.55	2.34	7.3%
Average	1.52	2.29	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Žalgiris II 35%Draw 35%Atmosfera 30%

The statistical model rated Žalgiris II at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Atmosfera at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.56 | 3.31 | 2.36, which imply roughly 39.1% for a Žalgiris II win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Žalgiris II are 4th (46 pts, 42-36 goals), Atmosfera 9th (34 pts, 40-35).

Over their last five matches, Žalgiris II averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Atmosfera averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Žalgiris II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.56	3.31	2.36

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.39	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.83	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.29

1st half

1	X	2
3.10	2.22	2.86

2nd half

1	X	2
2.87	2.52	2.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.00	15.0	23.5
HT X	6.45	6.00	6.25
HT 2	23.5	15.0	3.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.97	13.6	1.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.0
1.5	1.16	4.15
2.5	1.65	2.11
3.5	2.55	1.41
4.5	4.70	1.12
5.5	9.00	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.20	3.72
2	1.26	3.29
2.25	1.44	2.49
2.75	1.79	1.88
3	2.03	1.66
3.25	2.29	1.52
3.75	3.05	1.29
4	3.98	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.66	1.40
-0.25	2.31	1.51
0	1.93	1.79
+0.25	1.69	1.99
+0.5	1.56	2.29
+0.75	1.37	2.69

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.5	5.40	1.09
-1	4.50	1.13
-0.75	3.14	1.28
+1	1.22	3.53
+1.25	1.16	4.10
+1.5	1.13	4.50
+2	1.01	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.73	2.00
11	1.98	1.82

Next 1 Lyga matches

23 Oct	Garliava – Žalgiris II
24 Oct	Neptūną Klaipėda – Ekranas
24 Oct	Tauras – Be1 NFA
24 Oct	BFA – Minija
24 Oct	Atmosfera – Jonava

All 1 Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest 1 Lyga results

17 Oct	FA Šiauliai II 2-3 Garliava
17 Oct	Minija 2-3 Babrungas
16 Oct	Jonava 3-0 BFA
16 Oct	Ekranas 1-3 Dainava
16 Oct	Hegelmann II 4-4 Tauras
16 Oct	Kauno Žalgiris II 0-2 Transinvest 2