BFA vs 
Minija• 1 Lyga, Lithuania
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:29 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 4.74 | 3.65 | 1.65 | 9.1% |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 3.65 | 1.63 | 10.0% |
| Betano | 4.50 | 3.55 | 1.65 | 11.0% |
| Best of all books | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.65 | 5.6% |
| Average | 4.74 | 3.71 | 1.63 | 9.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC
BFA
4W 3D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against
| 16 Oct | A | Jonava | 0-3 | L |
| 9 Oct | H | Žalgiris II | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Panevėžys | 0-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Atmosfera | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Garliava | 3-2 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | Babrungas | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Tauras | 2-2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Neptūną Klaipėda | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Dainava | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Transinvest 2 | 4-2 | W |
Minija
8W 0D 2L · goals 28:10 · per match 2.8 for, 1.0 against
| 17 Oct | H | Babrungas | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Kauno Žalgiris | 0-3 | L |
| 2 Oct | H | Kauno Žalgiris II | 5-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Neptūną Klaipėda | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Dainava | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Transinvest 2 | 3-0 | W |
| 1 Sep | H | Dainava | 3-2 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | FA Šiauliai II | 2-1 | W |
| 14 Aug | A | Ekranas | 5-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | Be1 NFA | 3-0 | W |
Head to head
15 meetings · goals 18:24 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for BFA
| 13 Jun 20261 Lyga | 1 Lyga | Minija3-0BFA |
| 30 Aug 20251 Lyga | 1 Lyga | Minija1-1BFA |
| 3 May 20251 Lyga | 1 Lyga | BFA1-0Minija |
| 17 Aug 20241 Lyga | 1 Lyga | BFA1-1Minija |
| 23 Mar 20241 Lyga | 1 Lyga | Minija0-1BFA |
| 28 Oct 20231 Lyga | 1 Lyga | BFA2-0Minija |
| 10 Jun 20231 Lyga | 1 Lyga | Minija1-1BFA |
| 30 Sep 20221 Lyga | 1 Lyga | BFA2-3Minija |
| 10 Aug 20221 Lyga | 1 Lyga | Minija3-1BFA |
| 3 Aug 20211 Lyga | 1 Lyga | Minija3-0BFA |
1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC
In the 1 Lyga table, BFA sit 8th with 43 points from 27 games, while Minija are 1st with 67 points from 26.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 70:16 | +54 | 67 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 48:13 | +35 | 67 |
| 3 | Be1 NFA | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 47:27 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 | Žalgiris II | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 42:36 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 | Tauras | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 47:35 | +12 | 44 |
| 6 | Dainava | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 40:28 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | BFA | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 40:35 | +5 | 34 |
| 10 | Jonava | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Garliava | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 32:33 | -1 | 29 |
| 12 | Hegelmann II | 27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 35:60 | -25 | 26 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 32:59 | -27 | 25 |
| 14 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 27 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 26:48 | -22 | 23 |
| 15 | FA Šiauliai II | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 32:62 | -30 | 18 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 27 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 27:62 | -35 | 15 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 1.91 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| Average | 1.73 | 1.96 | 9.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 1.97 | 7.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 1.97 | 7.9% |
| Average | 1.75 | 1.97 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates BFA at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Minija at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.74 | 3.71 | 1.62, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1 Lyga table: BFA are 8th (43 pts, 40-40 goals), Minija 1st (67 pts, 70-16).
Over their last five matches, BFA averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Minija averaged 3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Minija.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.74 | 3.71 | 1.62 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.13 | 1.14 | 1.21 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.20 | 1.27 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.97 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.94 | 2.25 | 2.15 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.44 | 2.63 | 1.99 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 8.05 | 15.5 | 23.0 |
| HT X | 9.75 | 5.40 | 4.35 |
| HT 2 | 47.5 | 14.8 | 2.44 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.22 | 3.75 |
| 2.5 | 1.73 | 1.96 |
| 3.5 | 2.88 | 1.36 |
| 4.5 | 5.50 | 1.13 |
| 5.5 | 10.0 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.40 | 1.26 |
| +0.5 | 2.05 | 1.62 |
| +1.5 | 1.40 | 2.59 |
| +2.5 | 1.13 | 4.85 |
Next 1 Lyga matches
| 23 Oct | Garliava – Žalgiris II |
| 24 Oct | Neptūną Klaipėda – Ekranas |
| 24 Oct | Tauras – Be1 NFA |
| 24 Oct | Atmosfera – Jonava |
| 25 Oct | Babrungas – Hegelmann II |
| 25 Oct | Dainava – Kauno Žalgiris II |
Latest 1 Lyga results
| 17 Oct | FA Šiauliai II 2-3 Garliava |
| 17 Oct | Žalgiris II 2-3 Atmosfera |
| 17 Oct | Minija 2-3 Babrungas |
| 16 Oct | Ekranas 1-3 Dainava |
| 16 Oct | Hegelmann II 4-4 Tauras |
| 16 Oct | Jonava 3-0 BFA |