Ekranas vs Dainava• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#161.0:2.81-3FTToday0.8:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.991XBX4.91PIN21.40B365Margin at best6.1%Books5Markets48Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	5.50	4.75	1.40	10.7%
1xBet	6.99	4.80	1.32	10.9%
Marathonbet	6.65	4.80	1.31	12.2%
William Hill	6.00	4.33	1.36	13.3%
Pinnacle	5.10	4.91	1.36	13.5%
Best of all books	6.99	4.91	1.40	6.1%
Average	6.05	4.72	1.35	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EkranasDainava

Last 10#16Table position#60.56Points per game1.634Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 50.82.8Goals against · last 51.456Attack rating4433Defence rating6744Form rating5660H2H rating4027Goals model7346Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:50 UTC

Ekranas

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:26 · per match 1.0 for, 2.6 against

10 Oct	A	Transinvest 2	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	FA Šiauliai II	2-6	L
12 Sep	A	Kauno Žalgiris II	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Garliava	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Be1 NFA	0-5	L
21 Aug	A	Hegelmann II	2-3	L
14 Aug	H	Minija	0-5	L
7 Aug	A	Jonava	2-1	W
1 Aug	H	Žalgiris II	1-1	D
25 Jul	A	Babrungas	0-2	L

Dainava

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

9 Oct	A	Be1 NFA	2-2	D
2 Oct	A	Garliava	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Hegelmann II	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Minija	0-3	L
4 Sep	A	Jonava	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Minija	2-3	L
28 Aug	H	Žalgiris II	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Atmosfera	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	BFA	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	Babrungas	2-1	W

Head to head

12Ekranas wins

1draws

2Dainava wins

15 meetings · goals 35:13 · last 10: 8W 0D 2L for Ekranas

29 May 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Dainava2-0Ekranas
12 Aug 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Dainava2-1Ekranas
1 Apr 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Ekranas2-0Dainava
25 Sep 2014A Lyga	A Lyga	Ekranas2-1Dainava
27 Jul 2014A Lyga	A Lyga	Dainava1-2Ekranas
3 May 2014A Lyga	A Lyga	Ekranas6-0Dainava
16 Mar 2014A Lyga	A Lyga	Dainava0-3Ekranas
15 Sep 2013A Lyga	A Lyga	Ekranas2-1Dainava
23 Jun 2013A Lyga	A Lyga	Dainava0-3Ekranas
5 May 2013A Lyga	A Lyga	Ekranas2-1Dainava

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 16 Oct 20:41 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Ekranas sit 16th with 15 points from 27 games, while Dainava are 6th with 44 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Minija	25	22	1	2	68:13	+55	67
2	Babrungas	26	20	4	2	45:11	+34	64
3	Be1 NFA	26	17	3	6	47:27	+20	54
4	Žalgiris II	26	14	4	8	40:33	+7	46
5	Tauras	26	13	5	8	47:35	+12	44
6	Dainava	27	12	8	7	40:28	+12	44
7	Neptūną Klaipėda	27	14	2	11	33:33	0	44
8	BFA	27	13	4	10	40:40	0	43
9	Atmosfera	25	8	7	10	37:33	+4	31
10	Jonava	27	8	6	13	31:35	-4	30
11	Garliava	26	7	5	14	29:31	-2	26
12	Hegelmann II	27	8	2	17	35:60	-25	26
13	Transinvest 2	27	7	4	16	32:59	-27	25
14	Kauno Žalgiris II	27	7	2	18	26:48	-22	23
15	FA Šiauliai II	26	4	6	16	30:59	-29	18
16	Ekranas	27	4	3	20	27:62	-35	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%6.05X19%4.72266%1.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.74 → 6.05 +27.6%X3.95 → 4.72 +19.5%21.59 → 1.35 -15.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
1xBet	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.47	2.38	10.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.38	4.5%
Average	1.52	2.35	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.95	9.8%
Best of all books	1.71	2.05	7.3%
Average	1.70	1.99	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ekranas 10%Draw 45%Dainava 45%

The statistical model rated Ekranas at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dainava at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.05 | 4.72 | 1.35, which imply roughly 21.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Ekranas are 16th (15 pts, 27-62 goals), Dainava 6th (44 pts, 40-28).

Over their last five matches, Ekranas averaged 1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Dainava averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Dainava.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.05	4.72	1.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.74	1.07	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
4.50	1.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
5.87	2.53	1.81

2nd half

1	X	2
5.71	2.91	1.66

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	11.5	18.5	19.0
HT X	14.0	8.00	4.33
HT 2	50.5	18.0	1.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.86	18.8	1.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.11	4.90
2.5	1.52	2.35
3.5	2.26	1.52
4.5	4.00	1.17
5.5	7.00	1.07

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.14	4.40
2	1.17	3.94
2.25	1.34	2.86
2.75	1.60	2.11
3	1.79	1.86
3.25	2.02	1.65
3.75	2.62	1.39
4	3.34	1.24

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.63	1.37
+0.75	2.42	1.50
+1	2.15	1.64
+1.25	1.91	1.77
+1.5	1.69	1.97
+1.75	1.53	2.25

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	5.30	1.11
-0.25	6.00	1.06
0	4.53	1.18
+0.25	3.37	1.25
+2	1.35	2.75
+2.25	1.32	2.89
+2.5	1.22	3.50
+3	1.06	6.15
+3.5	1.04	6.95

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.88	1.92