Babrungas vs Hegelmann II• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#22.0:1.212:0025/102.2:2.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42BTNX4.301XB26.761XBMargin at best8.5%Books3Markets16Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 20:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.41	4.30	6.76	9.0%
Betano	1.42	4.15	6.20	10.6%
Dafabet	1.39	4.20	6.40	11.4%
Best of all books	1.42	4.30	6.76	8.5%
Average	1.41	4.22	6.45	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BabrungasHegelmann II

Last 10#2Table position#122.48Points per game0.9612Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 52.21.2Goals against · last 52.048Attack rating5263Defence rating3863Form rating3780H2H rating2093Goals model769Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Babrungas

7W 1D 2L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	A	Minija	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Jonava	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Žalgiris II	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Atmosfera	3-2	W
4 Sep	A	BFA	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Garliava	1-0	W
21 Aug	H	Tauras	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Neptūną Klaipėda	4-0	W
8 Aug	A	Dainava	1-2	L
3 Aug	A	Transinvest 2	1-0	W

Hegelmann II

4W 1D 5L · goals 18:22 · per match 1.8 for, 2.2 against

16 Oct	H	Tauras	4-4	D
10 Oct	A	Neptūną Klaipėda	1-0	W
18 Sep	H	Dainava	0-1	L
11 Sep	A	Transinvest 2	1-4	L
4 Sep	H	FA Šiauliai II	5-1	W
29 Aug	A	Kauno Žalgiris II	0-3	L
21 Aug	H	Ekranas	3-2	W
14 Aug	A	Be1 NFA	1-2	L
7 Aug	H	Garliava	3-1	W
31 Jul	H	Minija	0-4	L

Head to head

4Babrungas wins

0draws

1Hegelmann II wins

5 meetings · goals 13:6 · last 5: 4W 0D 1L for Babrungas

12 Jun 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Hegelmann II0-1Babrungas
25 Oct 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas4-1Hegelmann II
17 Jun 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Hegelmann II4-2Babrungas
26 Oct 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas2-1Hegelmann II
8 Jun 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Hegelmann II0-4Babrungas

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Babrungas sit 2nd with 67 points from 27 games, while Hegelmann II are 12th with 26 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Minija	26	22	1	3	70:16	+54	67
2	Babrungas	27	21	4	2	48:13	+35	67
3	Be1 NFA	26	17	3	6	47:27	+20	54
4	Žalgiris II	27	14	4	9	42:36	+6	46
5	Tauras	26	13	5	8	47:35	+12	44
6	Dainava	27	12	8	7	40:28	+12	44
7	Neptūną Klaipėda	27	14	2	11	33:33	0	44
8	BFA	27	13	4	10	40:40	0	43
9	Atmosfera	26	9	7	10	40:35	+5	34
10	Jonava	27	8	6	13	31:35	-4	30
11	Garliava	27	8	5	14	32:33	-1	29
12	Hegelmann II	27	8	2	17	35:60	-25	26
13	Transinvest 2	27	7	4	16	32:59	-27	25
14	Kauno Žalgiris II	27	7	2	18	26:48	-22	23
15	FA Šiauliai II	27	4	6	17	32:62	-30	18
16	Ekranas	27	4	3	20	27:62	-35	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.41X22%4.22214%6.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.41 → 1.41 0.0%X4.30 → 4.22 -1.9%26.76 → 6.45 -4.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.48	2.35	10.1%
Best of all books	1.48	2.35	10.1%
Average	1.48	2.35	10.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.77	2.05	5.3%
Best of all books	1.77	2.05	5.3%
Average	1.77	2.05	5.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Babrungas 45%Draw 45%Hegelmann II 10%

The statistical model rates Babrungas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hegelmann II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 4.22 | 6.45, which imply roughly 70.9% for a Babrungas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Babrungas are 2nd (67 pts, 48-13 goals), Hegelmann II 12th (26 pts, 35-60).

Over their last five matches, Babrungas averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Hegelmann II averaged 2.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Babrungas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.41	4.22	6.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.50	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	4.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
1.84	2.51	5.96

2nd half

1	X	2
1.67	2.92	5.20

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.07	15.5	50.0
HT X	3.95	6.70	13.0
HT 2	18.0	16.5	11.3

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.48	2.35
3	1.75	1.90
3.5	2.17	1.58
4.5	3.60	1.23

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	3.30	1.27
-1.5	2.03	1.66
0	1.14	4.70

Next 1 Lyga matches

23 Oct	Garliava – Žalgiris II
24 Oct	Neptūną Klaipėda – Ekranas
24 Oct	Tauras – Be1 NFA
24 Oct	BFA – Minija
24 Oct	Atmosfera – Jonava
25 Oct	Dainava – Kauno Žalgiris II

All 1 Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest 1 Lyga results

17 Oct	FA Šiauliai II 2-3 Garliava
17 Oct	Žalgiris II 2-3 Atmosfera
17 Oct	Minija 2-3 Babrungas
16 Oct	Jonava 3-0 BFA
16 Oct	Ekranas 1-3 Dainava
16 Oct	Hegelmann II 4-4 Tauras