Neptūną Klaipėda vs Hegelmann II• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#71.2:1.20-1FT10/101.8:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62WHX4.50B36524.741XBMargin at best5.0%Books9Markets55Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.62	4.10	4.10	10.5%
Betfair	1.53	4.50	4.33	10.7%
1xBet	1.53	4.10	4.74	10.8%
Betano	1.62	3.85	4.25	11.2%
Bet365	1.38	4.50	5.75	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.51	4.10	4.65	12.1%
William Hill	1.62	4.00	3.80	13.0%
Pinnacle	1.60	3.97	3.60	15.5%
BetVictor	1.50	3.70	3.80	20.0%
Best of all books	1.62	4.50	4.74	5.0%
Average	1.55	4.09	4.34	12.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Neptūną KlaipėdaHegelmann II

Last 10#7Table position#121.63Points per game0.963Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 52.240Attack rating6065Defence rating3550Form rating5080H2H rating2069Goals model3163Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Neptūną Klaipėda

4W 0D 6L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

16 Oct	A	Be1 NFA	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Hegelmann II	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Minija	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Jonava	2-0	W
7 Sep	A	Žalgiris II	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Atmosfera	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	BFA	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Babrungas	0-4	L
8 Aug	A	Tauras	2-0	W
1 Aug	A	Garliava	1-0	W

Hegelmann II

4W 1D 5L · goals 18:22 · per match 1.8 for, 2.2 against

16 Oct	H	Tauras	4-4	D
10 Oct	A	Neptūną Klaipėda	1-0	W
18 Sep	H	Dainava	0-1	L
11 Sep	A	Transinvest 2	1-4	L
4 Sep	H	FA Šiauliai II	5-1	W
29 Aug	A	Kauno Žalgiris II	0-3	L
21 Aug	H	Ekranas	3-2	W
14 Aug	A	Be1 NFA	1-2	L
7 Aug	H	Garliava	3-1	W
31 Jul	H	Minija	0-4	L

Head to head

4Neptūną Klaipėda wins

0draws

1Hegelmann II wins

5 meetings · goals 12:4 · last 5: 4W 0D 1L for Neptūną Klaipėda

22 May 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Hegelmann II2-3Neptūną Klaipėda
31 Oct 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Hegelmann II0-1Neptūną Klaipėda
22 Jun 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Neptūną Klaipėda2-0Hegelmann II
3 Nov 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Hegelmann II2-1Neptūną Klaipėda
14 Jun 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Neptūną Klaipėda5-0Hegelmann II

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Neptūną Klaipėda sit 7th with 44 points from 27 games, while Hegelmann II are 12th with 26 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Minija	26	22	1	3	70:16	+54	67
2	Babrungas	27	21	4	2	48:13	+35	67
3	Be1 NFA	26	17	3	6	47:27	+20	54
4	Žalgiris II	27	14	4	9	42:36	+6	46
5	Tauras	26	13	5	8	47:35	+12	44
6	Dainava	27	12	8	7	40:28	+12	44
7	Neptūną Klaipėda	27	14	2	11	33:33	0	44
8	BFA	27	13	4	10	40:40	0	43
9	Atmosfera	26	9	7	10	40:35	+5	34
10	Jonava	27	8	6	13	31:35	-4	30
11	Garliava	27	8	5	14	32:33	-1	29
12	Hegelmann II	27	8	2	17	35:60	-25	26
13	Transinvest 2	27	7	4	16	32:59	-27	25
14	Kauno Žalgiris II	27	7	2	18	26:48	-22	23
15	FA Šiauliai II	27	4	6	17	32:62	-30	18
16	Ekranas	27	4	3	20	27:62	-35	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.55X22%4.09221%4.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.56 → 1.55 -0.6%X4.20 → 4.09 -2.6%24.64 → 4.34 -6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betfair	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Pinnacle	1.40	2.58	10.2%
1xBet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Best of all books	1.40	2.83	6.8%
Average	1.37	2.75	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.40	2.66	9.0%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.60	9.9%
BetVictor	1.30	2.30	20.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.66	4.3%
Average	1.40	2.52	11.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Neptūną Klaipėda 45%Draw 45%Hegelmann II 10%

The statistical model rated Neptūną Klaipėda at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hegelmann II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 4.09 | 4.34, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Neptūną Klaipėda win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Neptūną Klaipėda are 7th (44 pts, 33-33 goals), Hegelmann II 12th (26 pts, 35-60).

Over their last five matches, Neptūną Klaipėda averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Hegelmann II averaged 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Neptūną Klaipėda or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.55	4.09	4.34

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.30	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.20	3.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.52

1st half

1	X	2
1.99	2.52	4.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	21.5	2.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	21.0
1.5	1.09	6.25
2.5	1.37	2.75
3.5	1.88	1.74
4.5	3.06	1.31
5.5	5.75	1.10

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.09	5.30
2.25	1.23	3.39
2.75	1.39	2.59
3	1.48	2.31
3.25	1.67	1.91
3.75	2.07	1.61
4	2.42	1.44
4.25	2.69	1.36
4.75	3.50	1.22
5	4.65	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.38	1.50
-1.5	2.13	1.58
-1.25	2.02	1.59
-1	1.87	1.70
-0.75	1.67	1.91
-0.5	1.60	2.10

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.10	1.02
-3	7.30	1.03
-2.5	3.66	1.23
-2.25	3.46	1.24
-2	3.12	1.29
-0.25	1.39	2.59
0	1.24	3.37

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.36	2.81
8.5	1.55	2.23
9	1.37	2.74
9.5	1.56	2.21
10	1.76	1.98
10.5	2.00	1.73
11	2.35	1.50
11.5	2.66	1.39

Next 1 Lyga matches

23 Oct	Garliava – Žalgiris II
24 Oct	Neptūną Klaipėda – Ekranas
24 Oct	Tauras – Be1 NFA
24 Oct	BFA – Minija
24 Oct	Atmosfera – Jonava
25 Oct	Babrungas – Hegelmann II

All 1 Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest 1 Lyga results

17 Oct	FA Šiauliai II 2-3 Garliava
17 Oct	Žalgiris II 2-3 Atmosfera
17 Oct	Minija 2-3 Babrungas
16 Oct	Ekranas 1-3 Dainava
16 Oct	Hegelmann II 4-4 Tauras
16 Oct	Jonava 3-0 BFA