Monaco vs Lille• Ligue 1, France

#51.4:1.214:0025/10 · Stade Louis II, Monaco1.2:0.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.151XBX3.45DAF23.87PINMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets89Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 20:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.15	3.44	3.86	1.5%
Pinnacle	2.12	3.29	3.87	3.4%
Dafabet	2.13	3.45	3.55	4.1%
Marathonbet	2.09	3.35	3.75	4.4%
Bet365	2.05	3.40	3.70	5.2%
Betano	2.07	3.40	3.60	5.5%
Betfair	2.00	3.40	3.80	5.7%
William Hill	2.10	3.20	3.40	8.3%
BetVictor	2.05	3.40	3.30	8.5%
SBO	2.06	3.13	3.07	13.1%
Best of all books	2.15	3.45	3.87	1.3%
Average	2.08	3.35	3.59	5.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MonacoLille

Last 10#5Table position#42.00Points per game2.0010Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.654Attack rating4633Defence rating6744Form rating5629H2H rating7146Goals model5440Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 22:10 UTC

Monaco

7W 2D 1L · goals 20:8 · per match 2.0 for, 0.8 against

22 Oct	H	SC Freiburg	3-0	W
18 Oct	A	Lorient	0-1	L
15 Oct	A	CSKA Sofia	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Toulouse	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Pisa	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	Lens	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Strasbourg	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Paris Saint Germain	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Marseille	2-0	W
27 Aug	H	Gornik Zabrze	4-1	W

Lille

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

21 Oct	H	Galatasaray	2-4	L
17 Oct	H	Stade Brestois 29	1-1	D
13 Oct	A	Arsenal	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Le Havre	1-0	W
2 Oct	H	Zulte Waregem	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Nice	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Estac Troyes	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Real Betis	2-3	L
3 Sep	A	Toulouse	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Paris Saint Germain	2-2	D

Head to head

11Monaco wins

8draws

10Lille wins

29 meetings · goals 38:32 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Monaco

10 May 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Monaco0-1Lille
24 Aug 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lille1-0Monaco
22 Feb 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lille2-1Monaco
18 Oct 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Monaco0-0Lille
24 Apr 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Monaco1-0Lille
29 Oct 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lille2-0Monaco
14 May 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Monaco0-0Lille
23 Oct 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lille4-3Monaco
6 May 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lille1-2Monaco
19 Nov 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Monaco2-2Lille

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Monaco sit 5th with 14 points from 7 games, while Lille are 4th with 14 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lyon	7	4	2	1	13:5	+8	14
2	Paris Saint Germain	7	4	2	1	14:9	+5	14
3	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14
4	Lille	7	4	2	1	10:5	+5	14
5	Monaco	7	4	2	1	10:6	+4	14
6	Rennes	7	4	1	2	15:14	+1	13
7	Lorient	7	3	2	2	7:6	+1	11
8	Lens	7	3	1	3	14:11	+3	10
9	Marseille	7	3	0	4	14:10	+4	9
10	Stade Brestois 29	7	2	3	2	13:10	+3	9
11	Toulouse	7	2	3	2	12:11	+1	9
12	Auxerre	7	3	0	4	11:17	-6	9
13	Nice	7	2	2	3	6:9	-3	8
14	Strasbourg	7	2	1	4	12:15	-3	7
15	Angers	7	2	1	4	9:15	-6	7
16	Le Mans	7	1	3	3	10:15	-5	6
17	Estac Troyes	7	1	1	5	5:16	-11	4
18	Le Havre	7	0	2	5	5:11	-6	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.08X28%3.35226%3.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 2.08 -2.8%X3.37 → 3.35 -0.6%23.43 → 3.59 +4.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.89	2.06	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.85	2.05	2.8%
SBO	1.86	1.98	4.3%
Betano	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	2.00	4.6%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
BetVictor	1.77	1.91	8.9%
Best of all books	1.89	2.06	1.5%
Average	1.83	2.01	4.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.62	2.22	6.8%
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
1xBet	1.65	2.13	7.6%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.11	8.0%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Best of all books	1.70	2.25	3.3%
Average	1.65	2.15	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Monaco 10%Draw 45%Lille 45%

The statistical model rates Monaco at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lille at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.59, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Monaco are 5th (14 pts, 10-6 goals), Lille 4th (14 pts, 10-5).

Over their last five matches, Monaco averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Lille averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lille.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.08	3.35	3.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.74	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.48	2.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
2.60	2.17	4.08

2nd half

1	X	2
2.36	2.54	3.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.24	13.2	31.5
HT X	5.15	5.20	7.86
HT 2	24.0	14.1	6.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	9.70	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.99
1.5	1.26	3.75
2.5	1.83	2.01
3.5	2.94	1.39
4.5	5.46	1.13
5.5	9.74	1.04
6.5	15.8	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.98
1	1.05	7.68
1.25	1.15	4.80
1.75	1.31	3.32
2	1.39	2.97
2.25	1.61	2.32
2.75	2.03	1.78
3	2.34	1.59
3.25	2.60	1.46
3.75	3.40	1.29
4	4.43	1.17
4.25	4.70	1.13
5	8.43	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.97	1.38
-0.75	2.37	1.57
-0.5	2.06	1.77
-0.25	1.78	2.06
0	1.50	2.63
+0.25	1.36	3.07

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	7.34	1.05
-2	6.39	1.09
-1.75	4.47	1.16
-1.5	3.60	1.25
-1.25	3.33	1.30
+0.5	1.29	3.53
+0.75	1.19	4.64
+1	1.09	6.71
+1.25	1.08	6.99
+1.5	1.06	7.54
+1.75	1.01	10.4
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.29	3.40
3	1.35	3.01
3.5	1.65	2.18
4	1.94	1.84
4.5	2.16	1.65
5	3.20	1.32
5.5	3.25	1.31
6.5	4.90	1.16

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.03	10.3
5.5	1.05	6.75
6.5	1.13	4.53
7.5	1.28	3.09
8.5	1.54	2.30
9.5	1.96	1.82
10.5	2.47	1.47
11.5	3.27	1.25
12.5	4.51	1.14
13.5	6.10	1.07
14.5	8.75	1.05
15.5	10.8	1.03
16.5	12.5	1.01
17.5	15.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.27
7	1.15	3.72
7.75	1.30	2.97
8	1.35	2.72
8.25	1.42	2.53
8.75	1.59	2.18
9	1.69	2.05
9.25	1.82	1.92
9.75	2.03	1.68
10	2.20	1.61
10.25	2.34	1.50
10.75	2.70	1.37
11	2.83	1.32
11.25	3.14	1.27
12	3.65	1.16
13	4.80	1.08

Next Ligue 1 matches

23 Oct	Stade Brestois 29 – Nice
24 Oct	Lens – Paris FC
25 Oct	Toulouse – Estac Troyes
25 Oct	Angers – Lorient
25 Oct	Auxerre – Le Mans
25 Oct	Rennes – Strasbourg

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

18 Oct	Lyon 2-1 Nice
18 Oct	Paris FC 4-3 Rennes
18 Oct	Lorient 1-0 Monaco
18 Oct	Le Havre 1-3 Auxerre
18 Oct	Angers 2-5 Marseille
17 Oct	Estac Troyes 1-3 Lens